Don’t Sleep, There Are Snakes by Daniel Everett

I just finished the book Don’t Sleep, There Are Snakes: Life and Language in the Amazonian Jungle by Daniel L. Everett. Thank you to Perran for recommending it.

A riveting account of the astonishing experiences and discoveries made by linguist Daniel Everett while he lived with the Pirahã, a small tribe of Amazonian Indians in central Brazil.

Everett, then a Christian missionary, arrived among the Pirahã in 1977–with his wife and three young children–intending to convert them. What he found was a language that defies all existing linguistic theories and reflects a way of life that evades contemporary understanding: The Pirahã have no counting system and no fixed terms for color. They have no concept of war or of personal property. They live entirely in the present. Everett became obsessed with their language and its cultural and linguistic implications, and with the remarkable contentment with which they live–so much so that he eventually lost his faith in the God he’d hoped to introduce to them.

Over three decades, Everett spent a total of seven years among the Pirahã, and his account of this lasting sojourn is an engrossing exploration of language that questions modern linguistic theory. It is also an anthropological investigation, an adventure story, and a riveting memoir of a life profoundly affected by exposure to a different culture. Written with extraordinary acuity, sensitivity, and openness, it is fascinating from first to last, rich with unparalleled insight into the nature of language, thought, and life itself.

I read the book hoping to find some evidence either supporting or contradicting Ajit Varki’s MORT theory. It was an enjoyable and very interesting read. The author is smart, articulate, and an engaging expert on languages and anthropology.

Everett describes in detail the Pirahã (pronounced Pita-hah) which is (was?) a rare tribe whose culture has (had?) not yet been significantly modified or subsumed by contact with modern industrial civilization.

The Pirahã are unusual in that they have no origin myths or well defined religion, although they do believe in spirits, but Everett was very vague on how these spirits influence their culture. The Pirahã have no interest in, and resist conversion to, other religions like Christianity.

I was most interested to learn whether the Pirahã believe in life after death because this is central to Varki’s MORT theory. I found it very odd that the author, a former Christian missionary, would discuss almost everything about their culture except their belief, or lack thereof, in life after death. Everett did say the Pirahã bury their dead with the few valuable items they own, which to me suggests they do believe in life after death, otherwise why not keep the wealth for the living?

I found it difficult to identify Pirahã behaviors that suggested they do or do not deny unpleasant realities. Perhaps this is a side effect of them living in the moment and therefore having many fewer unpleasant things to deny.

In summary then, with respect to support for or against Varki’s MORT theory, I’d say there was evidence for denial of death, but not much else.

The book offered, as a pleasant surprise, some genuine inspiration on how to lead a happier and more sustainable life.

The behavior of the Pirahã suggests that the Maximum Power Principle (MPP) may not be a primary driver in all human cultures, as I had previously assumed. The Pirahã work hard to acquire enough resources to survive, and will fight to protect those resources if necessary, but do not acquire nor desire more resources than required to survive.

The Pirahã live in and enjoy the moment. They do not obsess about bad events in the past. They do not worry about the future. They forgive quickly. They laugh, tell stories, and dance. They are proud of their way of life. Everyone is expected and does contribute to the tribe, unless they are physically unable, in which case the tribe looks after them.

I very much like stories with happy endings and this book delivered. Everett began his work as a devout missionary trying to convert the Pirahã to Christianity. Over time his scientific training that required evidence based reasoning, and the obvious fact that the Pirahã led happy fulfilling lives without Jesus, caused Everett to abandon Christianity and become an atheist. Hallelujah!

I wish the Pirahã would turn the table and send out missionaries to convert the 8 billion lost souls that need salvation.

P.S. Everett did a nice take-down of Noam Chomsky’s linguistic theories, which I enjoyed, because Chomsky irritates me as yet another famous polymath who knows a lot about everything, except what matters.

P.P.S I’ve started another book by Daniel Everett, How Language Began: The Story of Humanity’s Greatest Invention.

P.P.P.S. Here are a few videos of Everett talking about the Pirahã.

78 thoughts on “Don’t Sleep, There Are Snakes by Daniel Everett”

  1. I think I might need to read the book again and read his other books. He’s certainly got some interesting talks. Thanks for the links.
    It certainly had an impact on me when I read it the first time.

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  2. An “expert” explains MMT (Modern Monetary Theory aka Magic Money Tree)
    – The government can print money.
    – A government’s deficit is someone else’s asset.
    – It’s good to import more than you export.

    As usual, she did not discuss anything that matters:
    – The relationship between energy and wealth.
    – The implications of rising energy cost of energy.
    – The implications of the end of growth.
    – How low interest rates affect the wealth gap and social unrest.
    – What should be the goal given the destination?

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  3. Gotta keep our denial genes happy. It’s time to change our goal from a dangerous target we will not achieve to a more dangerous target we will not achieve.

    The planet is on course to break the 1.5C warming barrier in the next few years, according to the World Meteorological Organisation, only five years after the limit was agreed at the landmark 2015 Paris climate agreement.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-crisis-change-temperature-degree-wmo-met-office-emissions-2020-a9609481.html

    h/t Panopticon

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  4. Rob, you’re on fire with your recent posts and comments. Thank you for your consistently excellent work here. I learn so much here which expands and deepens my understanding of many supremely important topics you present and which speak to present reality. I also appreciate the comments from others here as the general quality of them is also very good.

    I am primarily here to learn, and though I should comment more often you and others set a pretty high bar to meet so I stay pretty quiet (with a few exceptions 😉). Just wanted to let you know I read, appreciate, and benefit from every post.

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  5. I like today’s essay by Ugo Bardi on his new blog. It’s a nice big picture view of our predicament. He blames our refusal to act wisely on culture: “Imagine a banker stranded on a remote island trying to get food by building a automated cash teller.” I’m thinking it’s genetic reality denial, not culture, that explains the banker’s action. Bardi’s concluding paragraph is milk-toast in that he was not brave enough to discuss the only action that could change things in a permanently positive direction: rapid population reduction. The rest of the essay is very good.

    https://theproudholobionts.blogspot.com/

    The Holobiont as a New Vision of the World

    The American geologist Marion King Hubbert deserves the credit of having been the first to see the main trends of the 21st century, nearly 50 years before it were to start. In his 1956 paper, Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels, Hubbert presented the figure above: a bold attempt to place the human experience with energy on a 10,000 years scale.

    Of course, Hubbert was overly optimistic about nuclear energy which, in reality, started declining before fossil fuels did. But, with this graphic, Hubbert had laid down the human predicament several years in advance with respect to “The Limits to Growth” (1972). Catton’s “overshoot” (1980), and many others. Without a miracle that could replace fossils well before they would start declining, the human world as it was in the 20th center was doomed. Nuclear energy was not, and could not have been, that miracle.

    Hubbert’s may not have been always cited, but the debate on the decline of the natural resources raged for decades — with most of it based on various interpretation of the concept of technological progress. In the most optimistic views, depletion was not considered a pressing problem but, in any case, it was believed that technology would chase the problem away, automatically, and without pain for anyone, purely on the basis of market forces. In this view, it made no sense to slow down in order to save resources: on the contrary, accelerating the exploitation would lead to economic growth and to the consequent availability of more and more advanced technologies. The opposite attitude was that the problem was important and imminent, but that predictive models could lead to planning efforts based on slowing down the exploitation of the remaining resources and a technology switch toward higher efficiency/new sources. Over time, the debate veered more and more toward the concept that climate change was a much more important problem than resource depletion. But the attitudes didn’t change.

    All the debate led to nothing. Nothing was decided, nothing was done. Society turned out to be impervious to early alerts and technology unable to be the miracle that was touted to be. In 2020, we have arrived to a critical point: the start of the irreversible decline of the technological society that had been developed over about two centuries of use of fossil fuels as energy source. We are seeing the “Seneca Cliff,” the unavoidable destiny of a system that has expanded beyond its limits, that has gone in heavy “overshoot” to use Catton’s definition?

    And now? Clearly, it is too late to deploy miracle technologies: we are starting to go down and the question how to face the decline: can we still avoid to turn it into a crash? The data show that it would still be possible to soften the decline and to go down on a relatively smooth slope. But the resistance to the unavoidable is actually worsening the situation. Politicians and most of the public are still convinced that the way to go is to “restart growth” without realizing that they are hastening collapse and making it faster and harsher.

    How did we arrive here? It was not a failure of science and technology. It was a cultural failure. We tried to manage the future without the right tools. In retrospect, it was obvious that tools developed in an age of abundance wouldn’t be useful, actually counterproductive, in an age of scarcity. Imagine a banker stranded on a remote island trying to get food by building a automated cash teller. You get the point.

    At this point, we could say that we need a new vision of the ecosystem. That’s correct, although reductive. It is not a question of what we “need.” It is a question of an unavoidable cultural transformation that’s going to come, whether we like it or not. We have to come to terms with the ecosystem. In different terms, we could say that the ecosystem is going to decide what it is going to do with us — not consciously (probably) but just practically. Either it is going to get rid of an obnoxious species — the humans — that has done only damage to everything, or that species is going to take a different attitude that will make it less obnoxious.

    That’s the challenge we face, not an easy one, but not impossible either. The cultural tools we need have been partly developed and are being developed. A basic one is the concept of “Holobiont” the idea that the fundamental components of the ecosystem are not organisms, but holobionts intended as colonies of creatures that hang together for mutual benefit. Human beings are holobionts, trees, forests, steppes, and tundras are holobionts. The whole ecosystem is a holobionts. And we can be proud of being good holobionts and learn to live together with the greater holobiont we call “Gaia.” Will we be able to do that?

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  6. A recent interview with Steve Keen, one of the only economists on the planet with a clue, in which he explains why the wealth gap is growing and what we should be doing instead. I observe that Keen fades in and out of denial. I know he understands the thermodynamics of the economy and the coming permanent contraction. Yet he frequently discusses what we should be doing in the short term to avoid collapse while ignoring the fact that his prescriptions will make the medium term worse.

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  7. COVID whistleblower speaks out, accuses Beijing of cover-up.

    h/t Zerohedge who asks the obvious question, “Why would China go to such great lengths to cover up a naturally occurring outbreak of an ultra-virulent coronavirus that they insist wasn’t created in one of their labs?”

    Liked by 1 person

  8. Every time I read Wolf Richter presenting the data and trying to articulate just how insane our economies have become, I marvel at the power and ubiquity of genetic reality denial. These are vital facts that people should understand and act on. Yet none of our main stream news sources ever even mention them. How is this possible without Varki’s MORT?

    Richter understands the what much better than most, but like most analysts, has no clue about the why. It’s too bad Richter doesn’t understand the underlying rising energy cost of energy that is driving the insanity, then he could connect the dots and see further into the future. I often wonder why smart guys like Richter never ask WHY. Could this be another side-effect of denial?

    https://creditbubblebulletin.blogspot.com/2020/07/weekly-commentary-utmost-crazy.html

    “Like millions of amateur investors across China, Min Hang has become infatuated with the country’s surging stock market. ‘There’s no way I can lose,’ said the 36-year-old, who works at a technology startup… ‘Right now, I’m feeling invincible.’ Five years after China’s last big equity boom ended in tears, signs of euphoria among the nation’s investing masses are popping up everywhere. Turnover has soared, margin debt has risen at the fastest pace since 2015 and online trading platforms have struggled to keep up. Over the past eight days alone, Chinese stocks have added more than $1 trillion of value — far outpacing gains in every other market worldwide.”

    It’s not easy to place China’s ongoing historic Credit expansion in context. While not a perfect comparison, U.S. Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded a record $3.3 TN over the four quarters ended March 31st. In booming 2007, U.S. NFD expanded about $2.5 TN. Chinese Total Aggregate Financing has expanded almost $3.0 TN in six months.

    In the face of economic contraction, TAF increased a blistering $4.39 TN, or 12.8%, over the past year. For perspective, y-o-y growth began 2020 at 10.7% – and is now expanding at the strongest pace since February 2018. Beijing is targeting TAF growth of $4.3 TN (30 TN yuan) for 2020, about 25% ahead of record 2019 growth (and up 45% from 2018 growth).

    China’s M2 money supply expanded $496 billion during June to $30.5 TN, an almost 20% annualized pace. Over six months, M2 surged $2.120 TN, or 14.7% annualized. At 11.1%, year-over-year M2 growth is running at the strongest pace since January 2017. M2 expanded 20.6% over two years; 30.9% over three; and 60.1% in five years, in one of history’s spectacular monetary expansions.

    For perspective, U.S. M2 rose a record $950 billion during 2019. China’s M2 expansion more than doubled this amount in only six months. And with U.S. M2 up over $3 TN, combined Chinese and U.S. first-half “money” supply growth approached an incredible $5.2 TN.

    “Analysts fret that U.S. markets have become irrational thanks to so-called ‘Robinhood’ retail traders with plenty of time on their hands. But American markets have nothing on China. Chinese stock markets have been on a tear lately: the CSI 300 index, a gauge of the largest companies listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, has gained 14% just in the past week… What really seems to have gotten Chinese investors excited however, is state media’s sudden switch to a bullish tone. A Monday front-page editorial in the state-owned China Securities Journal said it’s now important to foster a ‘healthy bull market’—in part because of more ‘complicated’ global trade and economic relations.”

    It is a central tenet of Credit Bubble analysis that things turn “Crazy” near the end of cycles. And with the thesis that we’re in the concluding (“terminal”) phase of a multi-decade, super-cycle global Bubble, there’s been every reason to foresee Utmost Craziness.

    In the most simplified terms, Bubbles inherently gather momentum and inflate to dangerous extremes. Mounting fragilities ensure policymakers employ the increasingly outrageous measures demanded to hold collapse at bay. Craziness is cultivated by a confluence of late-cycle intense monetary inflation (i.e. QE and speculative leverage) and deeply ingrained speculative impulses.

    The bigger the Bubble, the more intense the speculative fervor; the greater the attendant government intervention; and the more convinced market participants become that officials won’t allow a bust. Throw Trillions at systems already acutely prone to Bubble excess and you’re courting disaster (that’s you, Washington and Beijing).

    The global nature of Bubble Dynamics makes this period unique. And while Europe, Japan and EM are important contributors, the global Bubble is foremost underpinned by historic U.S. and Chinese monetary inflation. That these two countries are increasingly bitter rivals adds unique challenges to Bubble analysis.

    The irony of it all: China’s communist party readily promoting the stock market. Do they have much choice? The Federal Reserve over three decades shifted away from the traditional model of affecting bank lending – elevating the financial markets to the primary policy stimulus mechanism. Instead of measured interest-rate reductions, on the margin, stimulating bank lending, the Fed has resorted to Trillions of securities purchases (QE) and zero rates to directly trigger market speculation and asset inflation. This model proved an absolute boon to U.S. markets, the economic expansion, the dollar and broader U.S. global influence. To compete, Beijing knew what it had to do.

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  9. My favorite denial mutant kills another sacred cow.

    http://backreaction.blogspot.com/2020/07/do-we-need-theory-of-everything.html

    Do we need a Theory of Everything?

    I get constantly asked if I could please comment on other people’s theories of everything. That could be Garrett Lisi’s E8 theory or Eric Weinstein’s geometric unity or Stephen Wolfram’s idea that the universe is but a big graph, and so on. Good, then. Let me tell you what I think about this. But I’m afraid it may not be what you wanted to hear.

    Before we start, let me remind you what physicists mean by a “Theory of Everything”. For all we currently know, the universe and everything in it is held together by four fundamental interactions. That’s the electromagnetic force, the strong and the weak nuclear force, and gravity. All other forces that you are familiar with, say, the van der Waals force, or muscle force, or the force that’s pulling you down an infinite sequence of links on Wikipedia, these are all non-fundamental forces that derive from the four fundamental interactions. At least in principle.

    Now, three of the fundamental interactions, the electromagnetic and the strong and weak nuclear force, are of the same type. They are collected in what is known as the standard model of particle physics. The three forces in the standard model are described by quantum field theories which means, in a nutshell, that all particles obey the principles of quantum mechanics, like the uncertainty principle, and they can be entangled and so on. Gravity, however, is described by Einstein’s theory of General Relativity and does not know anything about quantum mechanics, so it stands apart from the other three forces. That’s a problem because we know that all the quantum particles in the standard model have a gravitational pull. But we do not know how this works. We just do not have a theory to describe how elementary particles gravitate. For this, we would need a theory for the quantum behavior of gravity, a theory of “quantum gravity,” as it’s called.

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    1. The moral of the story is that if someone pisses on your leg, urine big trouble. Hopefully, none of the pee bounces off you thigh and makes it’s way to Uranus.

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  10. Nice overview of intelligence but no mention of the most interesting questions:
    1) Why has no other species evolved intelligence similar to that in humans?
    2) What genetic change occurred about 100,000 years ago that must be both modest in complexity and extreme in effect to explain the explosive emergence and dominance of behaviorally modern humans?
    3) Why are humans the only species that has gods and denies death?
    4) Why are humans unable to use their intelligence to solve or prevent (or even discuss) the extinction threatening problems their intelligence has created?

    More questions here:
    https://un-denial.com/2017/06/25/why-my-interest-in-denial/

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  11. Charles Hugh Smith with a nice analogy between the virus and the Titanic.

    https://www.oftwominds.com/blogjuly20/titanic7-20.html

    Now we have the Great Pumps of Federal Reserve money-printing and Stimulus, which in a close analogy are pumping trillions of dollars into the sinking U.S. economy. But just as the engines of the Titanic lost power as the water extinguished the boilers supplying steam to the engines, so the stimulus is only keeping the rising water temporarily at bay– it is not actually saving the “engines” of the economy from sputtering.

    And what are those engines?
    1. Debt, which must increase to fuel spending, income and thus taxes
    2. Rising assets, which provide the basis for ever-more borrowing
    3. Government borrowing, which enables government spending to keep rising without regard to actual tax revenues or the health of those being taxed
    4. Rising employment as vast borrowing and spending creates new jobs

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  12. Some days Mac10 is hilarious, but he’s always serious.

    https://zensecondlife.blogspot.com/2020/07/here-comes-extreme-deflation.html

    Global central banks have now squandered their ammo creating a global asset bubble in the midst of economic depression. Global GDP is now inversely correlated to asset prices for the first time in human history.

    Ironically, as I write this, Tesla just took down the price of their latest car model due to falling demand. In other words, the stock price is going vertical while sales volumes and prices are falling.

    ALL of the MAGA (Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Apple) stocks made new highs this past week. As Barron’s points out, due to dumb money indexing, all passive investors are Tech investors now.

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  13. Nice heartfelt essay by Chris Martenson about the ugly reality of living in the US.
    They’re bailing out pedophiles now.

    https://www.peakprosperity.com/a-serious-message-from-chris-martenson/

    Like a windstorm toppling a hollowed-out tree, SARS-CoV-2 didn’t cause the current recession so much as it exposed how rotten things already were.

    Even before SARS-CoV-2, households were struggling. Far too many were limping along without any savings at all, one crisis away from financial ruin.

    Debts at every level were at record highs before SARS-CoV-2 came along, and the Federal Reserve was already busy bailing out the US financial system before the virus hit.

    The shale oil industry had failed to generate any profits for over a decade before anyone ever heard of Covid19.

    The worldwide wealth gap was already record levels before we were forced into lockdown.

    What the coronavirus pandemic has done, though, is give the ruling authorities aircover to accelerate all of these trends to warp speed.

    Billionaires have been, by far, the largest winners in this story so far. Ditto for mega corporations. Main Street and small and medium-sized businesses have been utterly crushed.

    Where the Great Financial Crisis in 2008 could have been — and should have been — a wake-up call to operate the system more equitably and sustainably, it was used instead as an excuse to make things even worse.

    No bank executives were charged or even went to jail for any crimes they played in bringing the financial system to the brink of disaster. Accounting deceit, wire fraud, and forgery — anybody remember ‘robosigning’? That was forgery, a felony, and not one charge was ever leveled. Instead, the Too Big To Fail banks were bailed out and got bigger at the expense of smaller, more responsible firms.

    My point here is that SARS-CoV-2 has laid bare our true value systems. Some countries have done an admirable job of showing they care about their citizens, making public safety and health their top priority. Other countries, such as mine (the US), have demonstrated the opposite.

    When it comes to making judgment, I look at actions much more than words. What have been the actions of the US authorities so far?

    1. The Federal Reserve swooped in to assure that the wealthy got even wealthier.
    2. The CDC couldn’t get effective test kits prepared or deployed until months after many other countries did.
    3. $Billions and $billions were smoothly and rapidly delivered to the largest institutions, corporations and wealthiest households.
    4. But only a single $1200 stimulus check has been sent to the poorest of American families. Well, most of them, but many are still waiting for their stimulus checks. Every household sandwiched between the rich and the poor has received nothing.

    In other words, the Fed has made its #1 priority the preservation of the financial advantages of the already-rich, while the federal government has made clear that public health isn’t really a priority at all.

    The unfairness and legal and moral wrongness of this next bit of news stunned even long-time skeptics like myself:

    I object strenuously to any taxpayer money, my money, being sent to any and all religious organizations (I’m a big believer in the separation of church and state). But to do so to help the Catholic church cover shortfalls due to payouts to victims of institutionalized pedophilia? Really, that’s just…I’m out of words.

    But more often than not, that’s the business the federal government is in: protecting the abusers, not the victims.

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  14. I used to read Dave Pollard’s blog regularly. He’s written quite prolifically on our predicament but in the last couple of years he’s started writing about radical non duality. I don’t really get it and frankly I think it’s probably horse shit. However Dave is a smart guy so I don’t feel like I can simply dismiss the theory. I’d be interested to hear your opinion. Here’s his latest
    https://howtosavetheworld.ca/2020/07/12/evolutions-misstep/

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    1. I’m not sure what Pollard’s saying but I think it may be something like “nothing is real and therefore nothing matters so be happy”. I agree with your horseshit assessment.

      Pollard’s done good work in the past and is probably a good person so what’s going on here?

      When you go down the rabbit hole of human overshoot and deeply understand that we are screwed from many different directions, and with that knowledge observe your fellow species going about their lives oblivious to and making the outcome worse, it can make even the stoutest person a little crazy. Without naming names you can see this phenomenon in many overshoot thinkers.

      I think Pollard may be seeking an explanation for why a highly intelligent species can behave so badly. He’s latched on to radical non-duality, as I latched on to denial. I prefer denial because it’s grounded in evolution by natural selection and thermodynamics, and explains many other wacky things about our species.

      Liked by 1 person

  15. http://www.climatecodered.org/2020/07/as-warming-approaches-15c-target-talk.html

    There’s a lot of delusional talk about how much “carbon budget” (or new emissions) are allowable that would still keep global heating to the Paris target of 1.5 degrees Celsius (°C). The reality is that over the last year, global average warming was already close to 1.5°C, based on a true, pre-industrial baseline.

    And the warming already in the system may well be enough to take the planet past 2°C, without any more emissions. The propositions pushed by governments, big business and many large climate movement NGOs that we have a “carbon budget” available for the Paris targets runs contrary to the evidence and suggests a world of politically convenient make-believe.

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  16. A friend sent me this article on falling fertility rates.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53409521

    Fertility rate: ‘Jaw-dropping’ global crash in children being born

    I replied to my friend as follows:

    They predict fertility will drop from 2.4 today to 1.7 in 2100 which means population will peak at 9.7 billion around 2064 before falling to 8.8 billion by 2100.

    Unfortunately that’s not fast enough if our goal is to maintain a modern civilization with minimal loss of life from starvation over the next 80 years.

    The problem is declining affordability of non-renewable energy due to depletion (and by extension, declining renewable energy because it requires non-renewable energy for manufacture, installation and maintenance).

    We can expect total energy consumption to fall about 4 to 6 % per year starting about now. Due to the magic of compounding this means we will have 50% of the energy we enjoy today in 2037 and 25% that of today in 2051.

    Wealth (and the amount of food we produce) is proportional to the energy we consume so to maintain our lifestyle we need the population to fall to 4 billion by 2037 and 2 billion by 2051.

    In addition, there are many poor people on the planet that would like the same lifestyle you and I enjoy. To permit them to consume more we need the population to fall even faster.

    In addition, rising temperatures and extreme weather due to climate change will soon reduce crop yields which means we need the population to fall even faster.

    If our goal is to have a medieval lifestyle (at best) in 2100 with billions dying from starvation along the way then we are on the correct path.

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    1. It simply cannot be overstated that without a massive, rapid reduction in human population all of the commonly accepted goals towards a more sustainable existence on the planet are nearly (if not completely) impossible to satisfy. And that doing so with the least possible amount of suffering (likely to be colossal, regardless) should be the highest priority for our species. The denial of this reality by 95 percent (maybe less, maybe more, but certainly the vast, vast majority) of humans is a supreme validation of MORT. Your repeated emphasis on this astoundingly important topic never fails to inspire and encourage me, as nearly everywhere else I’m met with extremely defensive positions and hostility when discussing it.

      I need to search un-Denial more thoroughly to locate content describing how it is that a small minority of humans deny reality less than the average (and sometimes very significantly less). I’m struggling to understand how some of us have come to be less affected by MORT. Has MORT just not had enough time yet to completely infiltrate the human nervous system, and thus the human intellect, via evolution? Or were some humans 100,000 years ago not, or not as much, affected by MORT which has carried through successive generations until the present allowing for a minority to still more accurately comprehend reality?

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      1. Someday I think, if they look, researchers will find the mutation that caused reality denial and the emergence of behaviorally modern humans. My guess is that it won’t be that complicated because of our rapid emergence from one small group in Africa.

        Some small percentage of humans today are apparently born with defective denial systems. I often refer to us as mutants, which is intended to be both humorous and factual.

        Most of the mutants probably go through life as clinically depressed people that lack optimism and hope.

        A few of the mutants were also born curious about how the world works and were lucky enough to have the time and ability to study and connect the dots.

        I suspect reality awareness does not spread back into the general population because most mutants will be less successful and breed less.

        To end on a brighter note for any mutants reading this, I can attest that understanding the insanity we swim in has made me a much happier person.

        When I interact with other people now I feel like Darwin must have felt on the Galapagos.

        Liked by 2 people

        1. Thanks, I’ve watched this in the past and thought it was very interesting.

          There’s seems to be a clear link between autism and scientific genius, and also with a reduced theory of mind.

          Do you see evidence of a link between autism and reality denial?

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  17. Tim Watkins does a nice job today of explaining the predicament that governments face.

    I struggle to imagine how this plays out and doubt what Watkins predicts will occur in an orderly manner. Reality denying fire apes who feel entitled to a modern middle class lifestyle but instead face scarcity of everything including food may react in unpleasant ways.

    https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2020/07/16/a-taxing-predicament/

    In the short-term business failures and growing unemployment will likely encourage even more demand for government bonds – as an apparently safer investment than private investment vehicles. This will guarantee low interest rates (when the price of bonds goes up, the rate of interest falls and vice versa). Problems begin when investors raise questions about the UK government’s ability to repay the debt. Business failures and unemployment mean a big hit to the government’s tax income just at the point when public spending – such as on unemployment benefits – is rising. If economic growth cannot be restored relatively quickly, the risk is that investors lose confidence in the government’s ability to repay its debts, and seek safer investments elsewhere. This might mean swapping UK debt for US or Euro debt if these are considered safer, or it might mean a flight to precious metals or some other asset believed to have more long-term value.

    If this happens, the UK government would have little choice but to increase interest rates in order to lure investors back. This, though, raises two additional problems. First, it makes the repayment of government debt even harder. Second and more profound, it risks creating another round of insolvencies and job losses as businesses and households which had been just about getting by find that they can no longer service their private debts. Were this to happen, it is doubtful that the banking and financial sector could withstand the shock. And with government debt already too high there would be no possibility of bailing them out. That which was “too big to fail” last time around will be “too big to save” this time.

    Generalised tax increases look inevitable in the medium-term, since this is the only means by which the government can avoid losing control of interest rates. The question is which taxes have to rise, and by how much? For the moment, the establishment media are pinning their hopes on peripheral taxes; for example attempting to close loopholes used by the wealthy to avoid taxes. But while such changes would no doubt be popular, the problem is that there are too few wealthy people domiciled in the UK for this to be sufficient. Moreover, the usual duties for government to hike – fuel, alcohol, road vehicle and tobacco – are in decline because of the recession. Further increases are more likely to deter use of the things being taxed than to raise additional income for the Treasury. For better or worse, four taxes – income tax, corporation and capital taxes, national insurance and value added tax – make up 60 percent of the UK government’s tax income. And while we have yet to discover just how much these taxes would have to increase, in the worst case we might be looking at an economy-crushing 50 percent increase on all four for decades to come; particularly if the OBR’s worst case scenario proves optimistic.

    At this point, what initially appeared as a crisis begins to look more like a predicament – it cannot be solved but must somehow be lived with:

    – Increased taxes and spending cuts will result in little or no economic growth
    – Little or no economic growth mean no increase in revenue based on current tax and spending rates
    – No tax revenue growth threatens confidence in bonds, meaning higher interest rates
    – Higher interest rates crush economic growth, making it even harder to raise tax revenue.

    Although this may take months, if not years, to become apparent, interest rates will very likely be a trigger point. So long as the UK government – and, indeed, governments around the world – maintains control over interest rates, borrowing can continue to be used both to cushion the impact of recession on businesses and households and to attempt to kick-start economic growth. Once the government loses control of the interest rate, only one further option presents itself… “Helicopter money!” This is the idea that government can simply print and distribute as much new currency as it chooses – including dropping newly printed banknotes from helicopters so that people pick them up and spend them.

    A more sensible approach would be some version of Steve Keen’s Debt Jubilee in which newly created currency is distributed equally to every adult in the economy with two requirements:

    – If a recipient has debt, the currency must be used to pay off the debt
    – If the recipient doesn’t have debt the currency must be spent.

    The former writes down the value of investments (many of which are based on “fraudulent” debt-based currency anyway) the latter writes down the value of the currency itself. Everyone gets the nominal value, but the amount of value of the energy – either direct or embodied in goods and services – that the currency is a claim upon will have fallen. For importing economies like the UK, this means an uncomfortable period during which imported goods (including foods and medicines) which we used to take for granted will become too expensive. Eventually, however, a more localised, less energy-intensive and less material domestic economy should rise from the ashes.

    Like

  18. Steve St. Angelo wonders why new cars are not much lighter than the cars of yesteryear despite using a a lot more plastic.

    https://srsroccoreport.com/the-green-electric-car-myth-772-pounds-of-petro-chemical-plastics-in-each-vehicle/

    I guess he’s not old enough to remember the cars of my childhood that had no:
    – power steering
    – power brakes
    – ABS
    – air bags
    – air conditioning
    – power windows
    – manual or power sunroofs
    – power mirrors
    – power seats
    – rear wipers
    – radios with more than one speaker
    – navigation systems
    – etc.

    If you were really thrifty back then, you drove a VW beetle which also got rid of the radiator and water pump, and the need for 4 wheel drive.

    I also remember new middle class homes being about 1000 sq ft which is less than half those built today, and an international trip was a once in a lifetime treat.

    We were very happy and were not aware that we were making do with a lot less.

    Why is it that we are unable to even discuss a planned contraction, which would be so much better than an unplanned collapse? Denial of course.

    St. Angelo also makes the case that electric cars are not green because of the 700+ lbs of fossil fuel based plastic they use. He’s right but new internal combustion cars are also not green.

    The greenest car is an old used car that is only driven for essential activities.

    Like

  19. There was some drama in my yard today.

    I have three blue heron nests with chicks in my trees. An eagle grabbed one of the large chicks and both came crashing to the ground.

    I was planning to let the eagle enjoy its meal but one of my neighbors chased off the eagle and phoned the local wildlife rescue organization to pick up the injured blue heron chick.

    It would seem my neighbors deny the reality of nature.

    I’ll leave these videos and photos on the server for a week or so before deleting them.

    https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1lm7DBlU9Rl1AU4Bq-BAMbQid5QAp-Aaa?usp=sharing

    Like

  20. Some nice prose this morning from Kunstler about the good ol’ days.

    https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/a-bigger-picture/

    The Covid-19 virus itself didn’t run the United States into a ditch but it exposed the weakness and rot in the nation’s drive-train, and now all of us passengers on that disabled bus must decide whether to stay helplessly inside the smoldering wreckage arguing over who’s to blame, or begin a long, uncertain march down the road on our own two feet to a place of new arrangements.

    In 1918, the country was lashed by a far deadlier pandemic disease at the same time it was fighting a world war, and daily life barely missed a step. The economy then was emphatically one of production, not the mere consumption of things made elsewhere in the world (exchanged for US IOUs), nor of tanning parlors, nail salons, streaming services, and Pilates studios. The economy was a mix of large, medium, and small enterprises, not just floundering giants, especially in the retail commerce of goods. We lived distributed in towns, cities not-yet-overgrown, and a distinctly rural landscape devoted to rural activities — not the vast demolition derby of entropic suburbia that has no future as a human habitat. Banking was only five percent of the economy, not the bloated matrix of rackets now swollen to more than forty percent of so-called GDP. Government at the federal and state levels was miniscule compared to the suffocating, parasitic leviathan it is now.

    What happened? Like Hemingway’s old quip about a man going broke slowly and then all-at-once, we allowed everything in American life to creep into hapless giantism too cumbersome to adapt to new conditions, and suddenly conditions have changed. And now it’s all coming apart: the dying chain stores, the giant zombie companies that can only exist by borrowing money to buy back their own stocks, the auto-makers who have run out of lending schemes for non-creditworthy customers, the shale oil fracking companies that could never make a red cent, the agri-biz farmers grown morbidly obese on a diet of credit and government subsidies (just like their end-customers grew obese on engineered snack-foods), the Wall Street lords of financialization hypothecating fortunes by leveraging the stripped assets of everything not nailed down from sea to shining sea, the swelling underclass conditioned to helplessness, addiction, and vice, the inescapable ambient tyranny of media hype, propaganda, and disinformation, and, of course, the catastrophe that government has become.

    Get this: none of these things now wobbling and staggering will be resurrected. They’re all going extinct, like the Baluchitherium of the Oligocene. To keep propping them up — as the Federal Reserve sedulously props up financial markets — will only promote the illusion that we don’t have to move on and conduct daily human life differently. A worldwide contraction was already underway before Covid-19 stepped onstage. The contraction was sending a very loud and clear message: giantism went as far as it could go and now it’s up to the smaller and nimbler to carry on. Beware the promises of the sclerotic authorities asking you to remain in thrall to them — and dependent on them.

    Like

    1. You might be asking yourself why I think the artist is in denial when she’s discussing COVID, recession, climate change, and biodiversity collapse?

      Good question.

      1) We’ve had many pandemics in the past and we’ve always recovered. The brain is saying to itself, no big deal.

      2) We’ve had many economic recessions in the past and we’ve always recovered. The brain is saying to itself, no big deal.

      3) The artist knows that climate change is a big problem but also believes there is a solution because she hasn’t studied Tim Garrett’s work on the thermodynamics of our economy. All we need to do is constrain the evil fossil energy companies from influencing our politics and then we’ll all switch to solar panels and electric cars and climate change will be solved. The brain is saying to itself, no big deal.

      4) The artist knows that biodiversity collapse is a big problem but thinks it is caused by our evil capitalist system and to solve the problem all we need to do is vote for the Green Party. The brain is saying to itself, no big deal.

      Now compare these issues with affordable energy depletion. If you dig into and understand energy depletion you will realize there is no solution, and that socialism or any other “ism” won’t help, and that it will very soon make worse at least 3 and maybe all 4 of the previously discussed problems, and that the best path forward is for everyone to consume a lot less of everything, and to mostly stop having children.

      The brain simply can’t accept this reality and denies it by not even acknowledging the existence of energy depletion.

      Like

      1. Gail Tverberg today provides more reasons why we deny our energy predicament.

        https://ourfiniteworld.com/2020/07/17/why-a-great-reset-based-on-green-energy-isnt-possible/

        It seems like a reset of an economy should work like a reset of your computer: Turn it off and turn it back on again; most problems should be fixed. However, it doesn’t really work that way. Let’s look at a few of the misunderstandings that lead people to believe that the world economy can move to a Green Energy future.

        ….

        We do indeed appear to be headed for a Great Reset. There is little chance that Green Energy can play more than a small role, however. Leaders are often confused because of the erroneous modeling that has been done. Given that the world’s oil and coal supply seem to be declining in the near term, the chance that fossil fuel production will ever rise as high as assumptions made in the IPCC reports seems very slim.

        It is true that some Green Energy devices may continue to operate for a time. But, as the world economy continues to head downhill, it will be increasingly difficult to make new renewable devices and to repair existing systems. Wholesale electricity prices can be expected to stay very low, leading to the need for continued subsidies for wind and solar.

        Figure 1 indicates that we can expect more revolutions and wars at this stage in the cycle. At least part of this unrest will be related to low commodity prices and low wages. Globalization will tend to disappear. Keeping transmission lines repaired will become an increasing problem, as will many other tasks associated with keeping energy supplies available.

        In one of the comments following her essay Gail provided this excellent advice:

        Our problem will not be high-cost electricity or oil; it will be unavailable products of all kinds. If some device you are using breaks, expect to fix it yourself or do without.

        I would make certain that whatever is needed is in place, pretty much already. The things you talk about are not things that necessarily will be available three or six months from now. If you need a second one of whatever you are using for spare parts, be sure to get it now.

        One thing to think about is how you will pay your property taxes. Also, if you buy these devices using debt, how do you expect to repay the debt?

        Like

    2. Perhaps they are ignorant of declining surplus energy. In reality, there are very few people like us who have spent such huge amounts of time educating themselves on the host of subjects that make up the complex systems of civilization, the biosphere & their interconnections & interdependencies. Plus history, evolution, evolutionary psychology, etc.

      You know what the Kruger-Dunning effect is? The stupid lack the necessary skills it takes to determine that they lack said skills & knowledge. There is an observed flip side to that. Those who posses the skills & knowledge tend to underestimate themselves compared to average people. Me & you are freaks. We’re obsessives. Ok there are other obsessives – money, sex, gambling, food, celebrity watching, etc, but there are fewer of us big picture obsessives than any other cult and for good reason. One, it’s too depressing & triggers anxiety in many, and two, it’s scholarly – tons of time reading & contemplating & making connections.

      How many actual live humans have you met that you can converse with on all these topics? I’ve met one. A maths professor from Vancouver Island. I’ve met a few who were interested listeners, but that’s more teaching than conversing. Mostly it’s been denial, anger, silence & subject changing which is why I have not bothered in years. I think MORT predicts these responses.

      MORT + MPP = talking, teaching, preaching, warning are a waste of time. You did the only things you can by hanging up your own shingle (blog) so others like-minded may find you and finding the few others who have done the same.

      After enough shit hits & it is indisputable that our living arrangements are gone & not coming back then you will have many who will be willing to listen, but for survival, not out of curiosity.

      IMO, if the masses truly understood the power of inertia – climate + dieoff + net energy principle, they’d just go deeper into denial, magical thinking & wilful ignorance. There is no version of the future that’s not a horror show.

      Liked by 2 people

      1. Thanks Apneaman, you’re right, as usual.

        The only point of possible disagreement is that ignorance rather than denial explains the energy awareness vacuum. It’s too much of a coincidence that energy is the only topic most polymaths do not discuss.

        I’ve met no one that is interested in discussing MORT or overshoot. I’m on my own.

        The pursuit of understanding gives me a lot of personal satisfaction. I feel like a young curious naturalist in a zoo observing the behavior of strange animals.

        I pity the person that expires without glimpsing the miracle of our origin or the reason for our demise.

        Like

      2. Mulling more your suggestion that ignorance is a better explanation than denial. It doesn’t sit right with me. The key points about energy are not complicated. Everyone knows oil is non-renewable so the only debatable points are when will the decline begin and by how fast? Ditto on renewable energy. It’s not complicated. There is zero evidence for anyone that cares to look at their own lives that we can power our lifestyle without fossil energy. No need to do any research. Just look. I’m sticking with denial as the best explanation.

        Liked by 2 people

  21. Rob, I started reading your posts recently but I have a question about MORT.
    I agree that the theory is a good way to explain human behavior and it can be useful to us on a personal level – we don’t have to get so frustrated with people reactions if we understand the reasons for them.

    My doubt is about the impact of MORT theory on collapse. Obviously other animals and bacteria have had overshoot and collapse. So we cannot say that MORT causes collapse. We cannot even say that there is an alternative once we understand MORT – the max power principle guarantees that people that consume more will thrive more (at least in the short term).

    Is there any other reason to justify the importance of MORT?
    Thanks!

    Like

    1. Thanks for stopping by. You ask a good question.

      The difference with human overshoot is that we have a uniquely powerful brain that is capable of understanding what we should have done 50 years ago to avoid collapse, or today what we should be doing to mitigate the suffering caused by a collapse that is now too late to prevent.

      Our evolved tendency to deny unpleasant realities blocks us from doing the intelligent thing, and is causing us to do exactly the wrong things thus making our predicament much worse than it needs to be.

      So why is MORT important?

      In my early years of exploring MORT I was optimistic, for example:

      The majority understands that alcoholism is partially genetic and that alcohol impairs judgement. Therefore we carefully screen airplane pilots for alcohol abuse and do not permit drunk people to fly planes.

      If the majority of citizens understood MORT then we would screen people for reality denial before they are permitted to run for political office, or hold other influential positions in society.

      Unfortunately this won’t happen because denial of denial is the strongest form of denial, and I expect MORT will never be broadly acknowledged.

      So I now think the main reason MORT is important is the personal satisfaction of understanding the evolution of one very rare species, and why it is unable to use its uniquely powerful intelligence on every issue that matters.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Rob said:
        “Unfortunately this won’t happen because denial of denial is the strongest form of denial, and I expect MORT will never be broadly acknowledged.”

        I think I am starting to understand. Even if MORT only allows me to stay calm and ignore the sports cars and motorcycles racing through my quiet little street then I am thankful!

        But yes, it would be nice if there was a feedback loop that allowed people to understand their own denial and then grow from there to overcome the denial.
        I don’t believe in free will but the only way I could imagine it might work is like one of those chaotic iterative math functions that cannot be predicted – the only to see what happen is to iterate step by step.

        It’s the same with our minds – if we can take a step in the right direction (understand our limitation) then react to it by trying something new and then iterate it – if this process is not blocked by denial of denial then yes we might be able to change our nature.

        Some monks do it – so why not everybody? I know, it’s a rhetorical question.

        Thanks again for the great discussion!

        Like

  22. BOOK REVIEW 30 October 2019

    The rise of the greedy-brained ape
    Gaia Vince takes an enjoyable sprint through human evolution — Tim Radford reviews.

    “How did we do it? Vince examines, for instance, our access to and use of energy. Other primates must chew for five hours a day to survive. Humans do so for no more than an hour. We are active 16 hours a day, a tranche during which other mammals sleep. We learn by blind variation and selective retention. Vince proposes that our ancestors enhanced that process of learning from each other with the command of fire: it is 10 times more efficient to eat cooked meat than raw, and heat releases 50% of all the carbohydrates in cereals and tubers.

    Thus Homo sapiens secured survival and achieved dominance by exploiting extra energy. The roughly 2,000 calories ideally consumed by one human each day generates about 90 watts: enough energy for one incandescent light bulb. At the flick of a switch or turn of a key, the average human now has access to roughly 2,300 watts of energy from the hardware that powers our lives — and the richest have much more.”

    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-03084-4

    Liked by 1 person

  23. Today’s interview of Matt Taibbi by Bret Weinstein is very good.

    As I listened I thought about Apneaman’s comment above that our shit show would be a worse shit show if the majority of citizens understood what’s going on. I’m not sure that’s true. A lot of the anger in society seems to be rooted in citizens knowing they are being lied to and that their wishes are ignored by the powerful regardless of party.

    I’m thinking an honest message about overshoot and the need for simplifying and downsizing backed by strong policies to ensure all share fairly in the pain would resonate well.

    Like

    1. Thanks for posting, but a message about overshoot would NOT resonate well, IMO. Denial rules. Dr. Weinstein said a political message for the public would be successful. Perhaps it might, but I doubt it would deviate from the maximum power principle. Imagine the message: cut your plane trips, fewer people with a car, turn down the thermostat, et cetera. A message that we have to share the pain could not include these things.

      Like

  24. James today on human overshoot…

    http://megacancer.com/2020/04/22/conspiracy-theory/#comment-9721

    Generally speaking, organisms that are best at acquiring energy/resources and converting them into “self” remain extant upon the planet. There is no choice for humans, physics and evolution will choose the successful, usually by making them survivors of temporary famine which wipes out all less resilient individuals. This time however, having been led astray by evolution to release the energy trapped in fossil fuels, the previously successful greed will not result in passage beyond a famine but rather the famine will be permanent. Even the resilient will be unable to outlast the absence of fossil fuels and ecological damage. The fossil fuel prey will not bounce back like in the ecosystem to allow for another flourishing of complex technological human population. Humans cannot help themselves because they’re not meant to be able to help themselves. Their loss will go unnoticed in the massive entropic enterprise of the Universe.

    The energy/power/money grab is on-going in the struggle for existence both individually and tribally. Some of us know in an intellectual sense what needs to be done while most have no intellectual sense at all. Given the opportunity and the tools, most people will augment their position, garner more wealth, consume more. Evolution has given them greed, not intellect, to assure their survival, to see who can populate the earth and control enough resources to survive the lean times. You have to wonder if the expanding corruption and riots are simply desperation on the part of those without resources hoping to scare the “white man” into handing over more of the loot necessary to survive the “lean” times along with the greatly accelerated purchases of the imagined token of empowerment – the gun.

    Who will be the 70-90% of the population that will prematurely go away as scarcity hits? The 70-90% loss in population might have been the case in a typical Lotka-Volterra cycle, but we’re not in a cycle any longer, we’re in a dead-end. More like 100% are unprepared for what is coming, including those planning on entering well-stocked government bunkers in the ultimate display of greed and corruption, saving their own asses with taxpayer monies while the befuddled slaves up above spend their last days smashing statues and each other.

    Liked by 1 person

  25. Kurt Cobb on how climate change will impact population.

    One way or the other, population will fall. One way is civil, the other is not.

    http://resourceinsights.blogspot.com/2020/07/if-you-cant-stand-heatget-off-of-planet.html

    That implies one of two things: A lot of migration or a lot fewer people. This second thought is suggested in the observation above, but few people want to come out and say it: What we are doing to the climate, to the air, to the water and to the soil, and thus to ourselves, on our current trajectory implies a dramatic decline in human population as multiple crises converge and our ability to cope with them dwindles.

    Liked by 1 person

  26. Rob, I agree with “A lot of the anger in society seems to be rooted in citizens knowing they are being lied to and that their wishes are ignored by the powerful regardless of party.” but what I mean by “..our shit show would be a worse shit show if the majority of citizens understood what’s going on.” is if they understood at the root. Meaning we would be screwed even if we had the most honest leadership & equatable pie sharing society imaginable because we would still be in unprecedented overshoot. Our oligarchs would be multi millionaires instead of multi billionaires and deplorables would have good paying factory jobs, new trucks & less debt & the middle class would not have shrunk so much – the energy gets dissipated nonetheless. The MPP don’t care about how the energy is split amongst individuals within any biological system. As long as enough worker bee-wage slave’s share of the energy pie is enough to maintain them their tribe/system/colony will continue. If they can’t maintain their level due to infighting over the split & it causes a system wide reduction in energy use or their collapse, another tribe will pick up the difference as long as it’s available. The MPP is non negotiable. It’s law. When I look at Jay Hanson’s OVERSHOOT LOOP: Evolution Under The Maximum Power Principle, it’s pretty clear that is exactly what’s happening. Consider BLM, ProudBoys, anti-maskers, Woke iconoclasts & all the other recently formed subtribes & coalitions. Then look at the steps in the loop:

    “Eventually, members of the weakest group (high or low rank) are forced to “disperse.”[6] Those members of the weak group who do not disperse are killed,[7] enslaved, or in modern times imprisoned. By most estimates, 10 to 20 percent of all the people who lived in Stone-Age societies died at the hands of other humans.[8] The process of overshoot, followed by forced dispersal, may be seen as a sort of repetitive pumping action — a collective behavioral loop — that drove humans into every inhabitable niche of our planet.”

    Here is a synopsis of the behavioral loop described above:

    Step 1. Individuals and groups evolved a bias to maximize fitness by maximizing power, which requires over-reproduction and/or over-consumption of natural resources (overshoot), whenever systemic constraints allow it. Differential power generation and accumulation result in a hierarchical group structure.

    Step 2. Energy is always limited, so overshoot eventually leads to decreasing power available to the group, with lower-ranking members suffering first.

    Step 3. Diminishing power availability creates divisive subgroups within the original group. Low-rank members will form subgroups and coalitions to demand a greater share of power from higher-ranking individuals, who will resist by forming their own coalitions to maintain power.

    Step 4. Violent social strife eventually occurs among subgroups who demand a greater share of the remaining power.

    Step 5. The weakest subgroups (high or low rank) are either forced to disperse to a new territory, are killed, enslaved, or imprisoned.

    Step 6. Go back to step 1.

    The above loop was repeated countless thousands of times during the millions of years that we were evolving[9]. This behavior is inherent in the architecture of our minds — is entrained in our biological material — and will be repeated until we go extinct. Carrying capacity will decline[10] with each future iteration of the overshoot loop, and this will cause human numbers to decline until they reach levels not seen since the Pleistocene.

    http://www.jayhanson.org/loop.htm

    What the groups stated mandates are does not matter. They could be based on any grievance, real or imagined, because they are just proxies for “WE WANT MORE PIE”.

    More from Hanson…“Organisms evolved a bias to maximize fitness by maximizing power. With greater power, there is greater opportunity to allocate energy to reproduction and survival, and therefore, an organism that captures and utilizes more energy than another organism in a population will have a fitness advantage.

    Individual organisms cooperate to form social groups and generate more power. Differential power generation and accumulation result in a hierarchical group structure.

    “Politics” is power used by social organisms to control others. Not only are human groups never alone, they cannot control their neighbors’ behavior. Each group must confront the real possibility that its neighbors will grow its numbers and attempt to take resources from them. Therefore, the best political tactic for groups to survive in such a milieu is not to live in ecological balance with slow growth, but to grow rapidly and be able to fend off and take resources from others[5].”

    If every human was born knowing this it would change nothing.

    It’s all about power & survival. The beliefs – religion, ideology, tribalism, morality are just pretexts to justify dominance & whatever actions are necessary to gain it. Peculiar to humans & their abstract brains & hyper sociality. With or without pretexts the survival competition goes on. There is no real choice & that fact along with their mortality is too much for most people & is the mother of denial & the other cognitive biases – evolution’s box of band-aids.

    Like

    1. Thanks Apneaman. Lots of good stuff to to discuss here but I’m packing for a camping trip and will be offline for a few days. I’m thinking about starting a new post to continue this discussion when I return.

      Like

    1. “Yes, we developed a method of freezing hamsters so they were lumps of ice that you could bang on the table. Then we would bring them back to life in one of the first microwave ovens that existed. It turned out the reasons the hamsters could survive and other animals could not was that their fat had freezing points well below that of water.”
      I bet budding young scientists don’t perform these sort of experiments today!

      Like

  27. Humans aren’t designed to be happy – so stop trying

    “A huge happiness and positive thinking industry, estimated to be worth US$11 billion a year, has helped to create the fantasy that happiness is a realistic goal. Chasing the happiness dream is a very American concept, exported to the rest of the world through popular culture. Indeed, “the pursuit of happiness” is one of the US’s “unalienable rights”. Unfortunately, this has helped to create an expectation that real life stubbornly refuses to deliver.

    Because even when all our material and biological needs are satisfied, a state of sustained happiness will still remain a theoretical and elusive goal, …”

    “Humans are not designed to be happy, or even content. Instead, we are designed primarily to survive and reproduce, like every other creature in the natural world. A state of contentment is discouraged by nature because it would lower our guard against possible threats to our survival.

    The fact that evolution has prioritised the development of a big frontal lobe in our brain (which gives us excellent executive and analytical abilities) over a natural ability to be happy, tells us a lot about nature’s priorities.”

    https://theconversation.com/humans-arent-designed-to-be-happy-so-stop-trying-119262

    Liked by 1 person

    1. I’ve read a few books about “wild” people over the years. From this I’ve come to the conclusion that while the stone age was definitely not some sort of utopia most (not all) of our wild ancestors lived contented happy lives. The piraha are just one example.
      Having said that, I’m fairly certain that the coming stone age will contain vast amounts of misery.

      Like

  28. It seems Tim Watkins also thinks the outcome would be better with informed citizens, although he also thinks it won’t happen due to a lack of rational thinking, whereas I attribute genetic denial because most people are smart enough to understand reality.

    https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2020/07/20/the-symptom-of-our-disease/

    Like medieval plague doctors seeking to respond to the Black Death, without a theory of energy modern economists blithely imagine that our problems can be overcome by simply printing new currency out of thin air. The left would choose to invest it in non-renewable renewable energy-harvesting technologies for which there is simply not enough left of Planet Earth to achieve more than a fraction of the intended aim. The right, on the other hand, will go full steam ahead in attempting to extract fossil fuels which lie beyond the hard limits of an oil-powered economy. Whichever path we take, the final destination will be the same – a much smaller population living a much less consumptive life on a largely depleted planet whose changing climate may ultimately render even that life unsustainable.

    With a theory of energy, we might, perhaps, cushion the blow by saving the best of our current way of life – like access to clean drinking water and basic healthcare – before it is too late. But, at a time when emotions outweigh data and reason in decision making; I’m not holding my breath.

    Like

  29. I finished reading Daniel Everett’s book How Language Began: The Story of Humanity’s Greatest Invention

    https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/32191675-how-language-began

    It was ok but not as good as his book Don’t Sleep, There Are Snakes.

    Key points:
    – language evolved slowly, not a big bang
    – Homo Erectus had sophisticated language
    – language is integrated with culture, cannot consider one without the other
    – Chomsky is an idiot

    My criticism:
    1) strong opinions backed by weak data, for example “early hominids traveled long distances, therefore they must have had language”
    2) no discussion of the most interesting questions:
    a) what happened to cognitive capabilities and language at the emergence of behaviorally modern humans?
    b) why are humans the only species with complex language?
    c) why are humans the only species with a culture that has gods?

    Liked by 1 person

  30. An interesting article on Alice Friedman’s blog. http://energyskeptic.com/2020/methane-apocalypse-not-certain/

    While it’s nice to know we’re not going to boil even 2 degrees warming will push many ecosystems over the edge. Where I live the alpine ecosystems only inhabit the last 100 to 300 metres of the mountain top. In a world that’s 2 degrees warmer 90 percent of those ecosystems will disappear. There’s no where higher up to go.

    Like

  31. Wolf Richter makes a convincing case that it’s going to be very hard to get out of this virus caused economic downturn, and he’s not even aware of peak oil and other elements of overshoot.

    Like

    1. Richard Heimberg’s book “The party’s over” has a special place on my bookshelf. It was the first book I read on resource depletion. The year was 2006. I didn’t know what I was getting myself into. I’ve never recovered 🙂.

      Like

    2. At least Heinberg, born in 1950, never personally reproduced. He’s an extreme rarity in the groups involving doomers/environmentalists/scientists/anybody intellectually capable of understanding the math behind exponential growth. The very few, off the top of my head, who have taken the overpopulation topic seriously by having zero kids are the following [a pathetically short list]:

      Alice Friedemann, born in mid-1950s
      Dennis and Donella Meadows, born in 1942 and 1941, respectively
      Terry Tempest Williams, born in 1955
      Chris Packham, born in 1961
      Guy McPherson, born in 1960
      Sam Mitchell, born in 1959
      Les U. Knight, born in late 1940s

      Paul Ehrlich, born in 1932, had one daughter in 1955, years before he became aware and wrote his book; unfortunately, she went on to have three daughters, who have provided her with numerous grandchildren. Pentti Linkola, born in 1932, had two daughters, born in 1961 and 1963, years before overpopulation hit the news. His daughters were much wiser and certainly more empathetic, since they chose to have zero children.

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Thanks. I can imagine that there are many people with children who became overshoot aware later in life since it is not taught in the school system, or reported on in the news, or discussed by neighbors, or studied by scientists, or debated by leaders.

        Heinberg is a great man but he still can’t bring himself to say what needs to be said.

        Like

        1. Unfortunately, I could give you a long list of those who were quite aware of overpopulation and still chose to bring children to a dying planet. I would do so now, but I’m in a very good mood today and don’t want to ruin it, ha ha!

          However, I’ll leave this May 2020 Vandara Shiva/David Suzuki video here. Somebody made this accurate comment about them:

          I find it perfectly obvious that we’re in a predicament that will never be resolved, so I don’t need to waste my time reading her book or watching the video. So she’s a “major overpopulation denier”? Repellent. She’s in good company with Suzuki, however, since he pretends to be an environmentalist while having sired five children, two well after overpopulation came to the front burner of public awareness. He’s up to at least six grandchildren now.

          Thanks for discussing THE most important, most moral topic there is . . .

          Liked by 1 person

  32. “To cite one example of needless war from the last century, consider America’s horrendous years of fighting in Vietnam and a critical lesson drawn first hand from that conflict by reporter Jonathan Schell. “In Vietnam,” he noted, “I learned about the capacity of the human mind to build a model of experience that screens out even very dramatic and obvious realities.”

    As a young journalist covering the war, Schell saw that the US was losing, even as its military was destroying startlingly large areas of South Vietnam in the name of saving it from communism. Yet America’s leaders, the “best and brightest” of the era, almost to a man refused to see that all of what passed for realism in their world, when it came to that war, was nothing short of a first-class lie.

    Why? Because believing is seeing and they desperately wanted to believe that they were the good guys, as well as the most powerful guys on the planet. America was winning, it practically went without saying, because it had to be. They were infected by their own version of an all-American victory culture, blinded by a sense of the United States’ obvious destiny to be the most exceptional and exceptionally triumphant nation on this planet.”

    https://asiatimes.com/2020/07/americas-war-on-its-own-democracy/

    Liked by 2 people

    1. Nice Apneaman, thanks.

      Denial is so powerful and so ubiquitous in “normal” society that it’s sometimes hard to see despite being right in your face. For example, today’s widespread belief that printing money has no consequences.

      Like

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