What are our leaders doing?

What force is powerful enough to synchronize every leader in almost every country to do the wrong thing on almost every covid action without assuming every leader is evil and/or stupid?

Why has no one figured out what’s going on, including normally intelligent alt-media?

Let’s assume that most of our leaders are normal people, of average intelligence, with good intentions, and they care about the future of their children.

By normal I mean they are decent people with flaws, just like you and I.

By average intelligence I mean they probably have some high school level science, have read a few popular books, and maybe watched a few documentaries, but are not well grounded in the laws of physics, and their mathematics skills are modest at best. Like most people, they do not have a good understanding of energy and its relationship with everything, nor do they have a good grasp of what is technically feasible.

By good intentions I mean they want to do a good job for the people that elected them, while of course making a living, and perhaps providing some extras for their family if a benign opportunity arises, just as you or I would.

By caring about their children I mean they are genuinely worried about:

  • The threat of an economic crash caused by unsustainable debt and its associated everything bubble that is now flashing red and impossible to ignore.
  • The reality and threat of climate change that is now obvious to anyone that has been alive for more than a few decades.
  • Limits to growth. Our leader’s understanding of energy depletion is probably a mixed bag, as it is with our next door neighbors. Most leaders probably understand that fossil energy growth is no longer desirable, some may understand that fossil energy growth is no longer possible, most probably still hope the green energy story is true but are getting worried it may be false, and a tiny minority may understand the reality of peak oil and its implications.

Overlaying all of the above, our leaders, like most humans, have a genetic tendency to deny unpleasant realities, which manifests as an optimism bias, and an inability to grasp the reality and implications of human overshoot. We can be fairly certain that none of our leaders have defective denial genes, which would permit them to see overshoot, because that would have prevented them from winning their election.

Given these assumptions about our leaders, which are probably true, what would we expect them to do?

Let’s start with what they’ve done to date:

  • Increased the debt and lowered the interest rate to buy time for someone to think of something.
  • Signed free trade agreements to squeeze more efficiency out of the global economy.
  • Subsidized surplus corn to stretch gasoline with ethanol.
  • Subsidized green energy and electric cars in the hope it would reduce fossil energy use. They don’t understand why, but they can see this strategy is not helping.
  • Invested a lot of money into nuclear fusion returning zero prospects of success.
  • Agreed with good intentions to many climate change protocols and subsequently learned it is impossible to fulfill those agreements without damaging the economy.
  • Continued heavy military spending, just in case.

I expect our leaders now understand that:

  • We are between a rock and a hard place. They don’t fully understand why we have reached limits to growth, nor can they due to their normal denial genes, but they do understand something must change soon.
  • Debt is a bomb waiting to explode. They can see the end of the runway with rising inflation.
  • Climate change is a really nasty problem. Consumption must go down, but that will crash the economy. Even with CO2 reductions, it’s too late to avoid refugees and starvation.
  • Avoiding damaging social unrest, and mitigating/reducing the coming suffering will require sacrifice and sharing between countries, which will require some form of global cooperation with tight control over citizens.

Those of us that have paid attention and not listened to the official narrative know that nothing about covid makes sense. To be blunt, almost every action and policy has been wrong, in almost every country, and all of our leaders are synchronized, including their political opposition, almost without exception. How can this be? It’s simply not possible that all of our leaders are evil and/or stupid.

What force is powerful enough to have caused a diverse group of big ego leaders from many countries to cooperate on a secret plan that no one discusses? What force is powerful enough to have caused them to do things that under normal circumstances would have been blocked by their good ethics and character?

We know the various central banks have been working as a team since at least the 2008 GFC to keep the global wheels on. Recall that in the 2008 aftermath it was disclosed that we were hours away from a collapse of the banking system had the US congress not approved the bailout. The stresses and pressures in the system today are MUCH higher than they were in 2008 because we fixed a too much debt problem by adding a lot more debt.

In 2019 something in the global plumbing was beginning to break and it came to a head in September with a crisis in the repo market. The central banks together decided what needed to be done and the head of each central bank sat down with the leader of their country and spelled out the reality that an imminent “recession”, if not averted, would likely take out modern civilization due to the global debt bubble and lack of growth.

I imagine they said something like, “we need an excuse to print a gazillion dollars, and we’re going to need a digital currency soon that restricts many freedoms, and we might fail so you should think about a plan B for controlling social unrest. We think a not so serious global pandemic exaggerated into a panic is the perfect cover to accomplish all of this.”

No other force is powerful enough to explain the behavior we observe. It explains everything, including why no one talks about it, because if they did it would cause panic in the markets, which would harm themselves and their children. This also thankfully means we can continue to assume that most (not all) of our leaders are decent people like you and I.

The covid pandemic provided:

  • A reason for everyone from all political persuasions to support printing and handing out trillions of dollars to avoid a “recession”.
  • A means via lockdowns of reducing energy and materials consumption, and restricting freedom of movement and assembly, that can be invoked as needed without causing the panic that disclosing the end of growth would cause.
  • A reason for creating the infrastructure and social behaviors necessary for a digital currency via vaccine passports. A digital currency will be very helpful for implementing negative interest rates needed to avoid a Minsky Moment, and for rationing food and energy, and for preventing bank runs. The path they chose was to require all citizens to be injected with a substance and to carry proof via a vaccine passport. I expect they hoped the injected substance would be harmless with some tangible benefit but it appears their hopes have been dashed by Murphy’s Law and inadequate time for testing.
  • Most powerful countries agreed to this plan. The US, EU, Japan, Canada, and Australia are all on board. As is China who engineered the virus with funding from the US, and which influenced the WHO to ensure global spread of the virus in the early days.
  • Russia refused to join the plan, perhaps after calculating that with its healthy ratio of natural resources to population, modest debt, food self-sufficiency, and citizens capable of enduring some hardship, they will be better off charting an independent path.
  • The collaborating leaders viscerally hate Putin for not being a team player and are attempting to cause a regime change in Russia by provoking Russia into an expensive war and by applying economic sanctions. As with covid, it seems this plan is failing so we should expect a Plan B soon.
  • A new repo crisis began in 2022 and so Monkeypox was introduced just in case another pandemic is required to get the financial system under control.

Finally, we can now answer another burning question:

  • Why has no one figured out what’s going on, including normally intelligent alt-media?
  • Because to understand requires acceptance of the end of growth and overshoot, and that’s not possible for most people due to our species’ tendency to deny unpleasant realities as explained by Varki’s MORT theory.
  • For those that don’t believe the official covid narrative, it’s ok to blame corrupt pharma, or a scheming WEF, but it’s not ok to blame overshoot.

Let’s hope Plan B does not involve nuclear weapons but does have something to do with humane population reduction.

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monk
June 29, 2022 2:06 am

You know we are out of oil when Saudi Arabia is bleating on about green energy and embarking on end-of-empire projects. Also I don’t know how they’re going to maintain the grass and trees in this plan considering they drained their aquifer in the 80s

monk
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 29, 2022 11:19 am

Yes 99% of their population are city dwellers apparently. The only country in the world without a river. Their population is a disaster waiting to happen 🙁

Philip Parker
Philip Parker
Reply to  monk
June 29, 2022 12:58 pm

Speaking of SA, this from the “mad money” department:

The Saudis just started a golf league, the LIV Tour and they’re stealing PGA players away with huge sign-on bonuses. “Sportswashing”- using sport (and cash) to improve their reputation. Australian Greg “The Shark” Norman is the CEO. The American golf star, Phil Mickelson, received $200 million just to join. And it just came out in May that Phil, by his own admission, once lost $40 million in four years gambling. And of course now he’ll now turn around and start five $10M charities to sportswash his rep! Meh…
shorturl.at/atH04
shorturl.at/bcvyV

Perran
Perran
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 29, 2022 3:43 am

Yes that was a very good interview. I’ve heard Altman been interviewed before but I can’t remember when.

Philip Parker
Philip Parker
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 29, 2022 5:35 am

The children’s policy doesn’t fit in my story. I don’t understand. Ideas?

My guesses:

We’re two and half years in and nobody has been strung up yet, they’re not concerned about it perhaps? It takes healthy, clear-headed peeps to organize resistance, how many of those are there these days?

I’ve read that 1/3 of parents “definitely won’t” vax their kids (here in the US at least), if nothing else it helps identify Team Resistance?

They’re denying that getting strung up is even a possibility?

By the way, in regard to vax manufacturers, what happened to J&J in all of this? Looks like they’ve been put on the back burner, see the bottom of this post:

https://www.ama-assn.org/delivering-care/public-health/how-fda-s-approaching-covid-19-vaccines-kids-under-5

CampbellS
June 28, 2022 2:10 pm

Similar to your Overpopulation Denial post from 2017 Rob. That had a response to a very similar post from Alice back in 2017.

https://un-denial.com/2016/03/25/overpopulation-denial/

You added your theory that… “continued growth of the population via immigration became necessary to maintain some overall economic growth despite falling real incomes for individuals.”

I see that reliance on immigration here in NZ where until covid appeared successive governments had enabled historically high net migration rates for the previous decade. They then promoted how strong our economy was. Our previous prime minister worked for Merrill Lynch. Our current prime minister is a career policy advisor and politician who was once the president of the International Union of Socialist Youth and part of Mr Schwab’s Young Global Leaders alumni.

I don’t really know where I’m going with this other than all roads lead to overshoot and denial of reality 🙂.

Required
Required
June 28, 2022 3:42 am

Why did everyone stop talking about Population & Immigration?

https://energyskeptic.com/2022/why-are-population-immigration-taboo-topics/

In case Rob missed it.

Anonymous
Anonymous
Reply to  Required
June 28, 2022 3:52 am

On this topic, I still have my copy of “When the People Bubble POPs” by Dr. Jack Kevorkian (often portrayed in the media as Dr. Death).

Mike Roberts
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 28, 2022 7:55 pm

So, if his predictions don’t come true, I predict that almost all of his current adherents will continue to advocate his hypotheses. I hope he’s wrong and I hope I’m wrong.

Mike Roberts
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 28, 2022 9:01 pm

I won’t.

CampbellS
Reply to  Mike Roberts
June 28, 2022 11:36 pm

We keep getting headlines here like this one..
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-flu-health-worker-shortages-minister-andrew-little-says-system-as-a-whole-is-managing/PFQ4FIRNSYBVRKK3P4UTP366IA/

I know the media like to over hype things but a lot of these calls seem to be from people in the medical profession while the government continues to downplay the situation. It’s probably complex with lack of investment in the health system by successive governments also being a significant issue.

I do know the mandating of vaccinations for health workers has meant job losses. We had a friend stay recently who was a nurse who got covid early in 2020 in Australia. Once she’d recovered and returned to work she was given all the suspected covid cases until they tested negative. She said no people she looked after actually tested positive. I’m not sure of the number but she was working through until the vaccine was rolled out and when she opted out of vaccination, partly because of the adverse reaction cases she was seeing, she lost her job. She’s desperately disappointed to not be able to do the job that gives her a real sense of purpose.

We also had a video circulating online here recently from a nurse who had a severe myocarditis reaction to the second vaccine shot. They’re now mandating boosters for health workers and when she refused based on her previous reaction she lost her job. She was distraught.

Like vaccinating kids these decisions / rules also make no sense and add to pressures on the health system.

Mike might have more insights here than me. I haven’t looked into our data in any depth.

Mike Roberts
Reply to  CampbellS
June 29, 2022 9:26 pm

Well, there don’t appear to be significant safety concerns in the latest vaccine safety report with “only” 3 deaths likely to have been caused by the vaccine (over 11 million doses administered) and serious reported events not significantly higher than expected numbers normally. The next report is imminent, so we’ll see if anything has changed.

I’ve never been a fan of vaccine mandates, especially given the lack of efficacy with them over omicron. But I know I wouldn’t like to be the one having to make such decisions.

Mike Roberts
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 30, 2022 3:15 pm

I haven’t read your next post yet but I would tend to agree with this comment. The problem is, then, that we have no such access to the raw data, so there isn’t much we can say, definitively, that is backed by data. I’m disgusted with our Ministry of Health because they seem to have chosen to publish data in such a way as to make calculations on vaccine efficacy impossible. However, it is very odd, indeed, that what they do publish actually serves to suggest there is no point in further vaccination. Is the real picture even worse?

Mike Roberts
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 30, 2022 10:05 pm

It’s not termed “emergency approval” in NZ. I don’t recall the exact term but it is full approval with conditions.

CampbellS
June 26, 2022 1:24 pm

I watch Russell Brand on YouTube occasionally. He has a different perspective on a lot of issues including covid. He has some interesting folk on his podcast but I no longer listen to those since he went to a subscription based platform.

This video came up in my YouTube feed so I watched for interest. Apparently we should blame globalisation. the relationship between state and corporations, and the main stream media. It’s definitely not a scarcity issue.

He has 5.7 million subscribers with the majority of comments along the lines of “thanks for speaking the truth”. I thought about commenting to put forward another narrative like maybe overshoot and peak oil influences but decided not to. With 3500 commenters bowing at the alter of Russell (he is religious) after the video had only been up 2 hours I figured it was a waste of time.

Globalisation. the relationship between state and corporations, and the main stream media are his go to route causes on almost every video he posts and while I agree with a lot of the issues he brings up I think he’s also, maybe inadvertently, playing to the human trait of “we just want someone to blame” to gather subscribers. Anyway I came away thinking there are a lot of people in the world who will suffer in the collapse while continuing to shake their fists at the elite as they go down.

I’m off out to the preparation tasks on the land while the winter sun is shining.

AJ
AJ
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 26, 2022 3:44 am

Thanks Rob,
A couple of years ago I used to comment on Doomstead Diner occasionally. The regulars there were a pretty polarized opinionated crowd. I know RE could be difficult to deal with but I had nothing respect for what he had done. I looked at the link you put up and he still appears active there but there isn’t much commenting. T\ns if given a logical/rational set of facts and arguments.
AJ

AJ
AJ
Reply to  AJ
June 26, 2022 12:45 pm

That last line of my comment was supposed to say “I like this site because most people present logical/rational sets of facts and arguments.”

That said, I hate my 5 year old hand down from one of my kid’s laptop computer . . . it takes every errant keystroke (or mere touching of the built in touchpad) and translates it into crap that screws up what I have typed (as above). BUT at this stage in my life and considering that if collapse gains speed having a great computer is kinda meaningless.
AJ

wratfink
wratfink
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 26, 2022 12:08 pm

He’s still hanging in there. He has a new hangout at globalcollapse.createaforum.com

wratfink
wratfink
Reply to  wratfink
June 26, 2022 12:09 pm

Sorry you got the link posted

monk
Reply to  Rob Mielcarski
June 25, 2022 4:52 pm

Hi Rob, since you don’t have Facebook, I though I would share this here. Will Falk has written an excellent piece on exactly this topic. Here’s his website by the way: http://willfalk.org/about/

An Ecological Basis for Ensuring the Right to Abortion

(I recognize that I am a man. I will never confront a decision about abortion. I am not trying to tell women what to do with the following. I am, however, humbly trying to offer an argument for enforcing women’s rights to full reproductive freedom that is rooted in neither political or religious ideology, but in ecological reality.)

“A thing is right when it tends to preserve the integrity, stability and beauty of the biotic community. It is wrong when it tends otherwise.” Aldo Leopod, A Sand County Almanac

The global economy – the system that brings most humans the basic necessities of life (food, water, clothing shelter) – is based on, and would collapse very quickly without, the ever-growing consumption of non-renewable resources and the over-exploitation of renewable resources. Fossil fuel consumption is one example (though it is not by any means the only example). Most of the time when we think of fossil fuel consumption we think of tail-pipe emissions from personal automobiles because that is the most overt example of most individuals’ direct use of fossil fuels. But, fueling personal automobiles, of course, is only one way fossil fuels prop up the global economy.

Fossil fuels are essential to the global food supply, for example. The world’s topsoil is also essential to the global food supply and is another one of those non-renewable resources that the planet is rapidly running out of. Humans have postponed the worst effects of local and regional topsoil deficits through the use of fossil-fuel based fertilizers like nitrogen fixers. Fossil fuels are also essential for processes like transporting food from where it’s grown to places humans need that food, for the manufacture and operation of the machines needed to harvest crops supporting humans, etc.

We are depleting many nonrenewable resources like topsoil and fossil fuels at an intensifying pace. This consumption of resources is driven, if not primarily, at least significantly by a human population that is growing exponentially. Basic algebra teaches us that the infinite use of a finite resource, the ever-growing use of a non-renewable resource, leads to the total loss of that resource. In other words, topsoil, fossil fuels, and other non-renewables we are currently losing will not be replaced. (Topsoil takes thousands of years to regenerate. Perhaps it will regenerate in several millennia but that doesn’t help creatures alive and suffering on earth today or for the next several millennia. It certainly doesn’t help any unborn children for the next few thousand years.)

Human population has doubled since 1968 and has grown by 40% since 1987. It appears that human population growth might have slowed from 2% per year for the last 50 years to around 1% per year in recent years. However, all that means is the rate of growth is slowing. It does not mean human population is decreasing.

There’s another aspect to the problem. The rate of resource consumption similarly appears to be increasing. Many mainstream studies estimate that while human population doubled in the last half-century, resource consumption quadrupled. So, each human today, on average, is using 4 times the amount of resources that each human was using in 1970. Right now there are more and more humans using more and more of the natural world that can never be replaced.

This reality means that humans who follow us (the population of which will only be made larger by making it more difficult for women to access abortions) will not only be part of a much larger population, those humans will use more resources than they are today – all while there will be less and less of those resources available.

A primary argument offered by anti-abortionists revolves around the right of a fetus to life. I should note that I am uncomfortable with the distinctions and hierarchies of life that many humans use to justify their position on abortion one way or the other. To me, this argument gets too close to arguments about why animals and other creatures should or should not have rights based on how closely they resemble adult humans. It gets too close to the arguments made by human supremacists seeking to justify the destruction of the natural world because, for them, only humans are truly alive.

So, I’ll take it as a given that a fetus is alive, a person even. Anti-abortionists then argue that a mother’s right to an abortion should not trump a fetus’ right to live. This of course ignores the danger pregnancy threatens a mother’s life with, too.

However, I’ll set that argument aside too because ecological reality undermines the anti-abortionist argument about a fetus’ right to life on its own terms. How?

Quite simply, the vast majority of humans alive today (and the vast majority of unborn fetuses that are not aborted tomorrow) survive by stealing from the future. The laws of ecology which are as immutable as the laws of physics illustrate how this is true.

Generally, whenever a population of any species overshoots the carrying capacity of that species’ habitat, a crash always follows. It is not a question of if a crash will follow, it is only a question of when. And, to make matters worse, when the carrying capacity of a certain habitat is overshot, carrying capacity is permanently eroded. The longer a population exists in overshoot, the more carrying capacity is destroyed. The inevitable crash happens. And, the population, whenever it stabilizes, will be far less than the carrying capacity that existed prior to overshoot.

Ecologists and other scientists have known for decades that human population has overshot Earth’s carrying capacity for humans. The Earth’s carrying capacity for humans is the maximum population of humans which the Earth can support indefinitely. Overshoot is the condition of having exceeded for the time being the permanent carrying capacity of Earth. Human overshoot has created a carrying capacity deficit, a condition where the Earth’s permanent ability to support human life is less than the quantity of humans already in existence. The Earth’s carrying capacity for humans has been temporarily extended by drawdown. Drawdown has been achieved by extracting resources necessary for human life that cannot be replaced. This drawdown will lead to a crash and a permanent carrying capacity deficit.

The harsh truth, for humans alive today, is that a population crash is coming. Meanwhile, more and more humans are being born who will depend on, and contribute to, the permanent destruction of resources that future humans require. These humans are more likely than we are to experience the horrors of that population crash. How horrific will that crash be? Mainstream estimates of the Earth’s carrying capacity for humans often range in the hundreds of millions. There are nearly 8 billion humans alive today. The die-off will likely be massive.

The vast majority of humans alive and/or born today are quite literally stealing from the future. The vast majority of human fetuses that survive today are quite literally ensuring that many human fetuses in the future will not even have the opportunity to survive.

Ecological reality, therefore, undermines the argument that abortion infringes on the rights of unborn children because most children born today (especially in developed countries like the US) will consume and permanently destroy resources that future unborn children desperately need. Indeed, in industrialized countries most children born today reduce the number of children that can be supported in the future. Therefore, enforcing an unborn fetus’ right to life today comes at the costs of unborn fetuses right to life tomorrow.

Epilogue: My argument here focuses on effects to humans because I know most humans only care about humans. But, a biophilic reader, while reading my arguments, could (and should) point out that humans are destroying the Earth’s carrying capacity for everyone else we share this beautiful planet with. Right now, industrial humans aren’t just destroying countless other-than-human lives and species, industrial humans are rapidly destroying the very possibility that those creatures can exist in the future.

Mandrake
Mandrake
June 24, 2022 7:56 pm

This might be an easier clip to watch.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=s7bUTGhvPWI

Mandrake
Mandrake
June 24, 2022 7:53 pm

Google engineer Blake Lemoine caused controversy last week by saying that one of Google’s deep learning AI programs, LaMDA, might be “sentient.”

Bill Maher provides a few tips on how to tell if your computer has gone sentient.

https://www.real-time-with-bill-maher-blog.com/index/2022/6/17/how-to-know-if-your-ai-is-sentient

Perran
Perran
June 24, 2022 3:32 am

I’m reading The Carnivore Diet by Dr Shawn Baker. Interesting. Apparently you don’t get scurvy after all if you don’t eat your vegetables. There are quite a few cultures that eat meat exclusively, not just the Inuit. Dr Baker makes a case that we are more carnivore than omnivore and only became omnivorous by necessity due to depleting all the big game.

It’s got me thinking about what a sustainable society would actually look like. If we all ate only meat the population would have to be a small fraction of what it is today.