Coping with Awareness

Stellarwind72 proposed we write an essay on how to remain in good mental health while being aware of our overshoot predicament.

I have assembled here ideas from thirteen un-Denial participants plus my own.

If any reader would like to add their own list of tips, please send me a message and I will update the essay with your contribution.

14-Jun-2024 Friend Jack Alpert, who has developed the only viable plan to minimize suffering and retain some of our species’ best accomplishments, has contributed to this compilation.

ABC

The insights of yours truly, on how to engage with the predicament. 

“We are survival machines – robot vehicles blindly programmed to preserve the selfish molecules known as genes.”
– Richard Dawkins

“Right, as the world goes, is only in question between equals in power, while the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.”
– Thucydides

Both statements are correct, philosophically one might describe them followingly. 

Natural selection:

  • “Dao; The Way” 

Maximum Power Principle:

  • “Nietzsche; The Will To Power”

How to perceive the predicament?

  • Strive for power, as an act of self-preservation.

Death is indifferent.

  • What is there to lose?

Charles

We are waiting for the barbarians while getting a free ride and think we are in charge. 

It’s time for a doomer’s jubilee.

Yes, I am happy with what’s happening in the world. Whatever the outcome. Whatever the way it unravels. (Which doesn’t mean I don’t have problems which come and go and need to be solved, up and downs, fears and obsessions probably like many.)

I so wanted to share with you the ticket out of thinker’s hell, out of humanist’s hell. It turns out to be hard. It all seems so simple now, that I don’t even remember what exactly triggered a change of state.

I could try to recount my encounter with non-duality. I could list some of the leads I followed: Ramana Maharshi, UG Krishnamurti, Swami Prajnanpad, Ramesh Balsekar, Paul Hedderman. And, how one day, the whole mental edifice crumbled. The whole indoctrination of science, layers upon layers painstakingly acquired during years of learning, repetition and practice, nothing but rumbles. Not to be replaced.

Would it be understood (comparing science to a belief system is anathema to many: sometimes the only way to notice we are wearing a pair of glasses is to try wearing another one)? Would it be of any use? Isn’t one of the points that no generalization is possible, that every one’s experience is fiercely unique.

Maybe it’s the realisation that there is a limit to our ability to predict the future, or that the worst already happened (more than once) in the past (the Shoah, Native American genocide, …), or witnessing so many experts defending tooth and nail their own version of truth, or noticing that imagination of a dreaded outcome has nothing to do with the actual experience, or going through some hardships and realising that things just go on, or that the world is 1 without 2 (it is as it is and not some imaginary else), or seeing how tough life is on most people yet they somehow manage, or that it’s always all an experience, good or bad, it’s entertaining (like I am the station in front of which trains come and go and I have no agency on which type of trains or the schedule. So I might just as well enjoy the show), or realising the shallowness of the myths that have been stacked one upon each other (by religion, by science, by the self, by the mind, …) and for which we deploy so much fervour and energy.

Maybe it’s simply the recurring small encounters with beauty, with life. Gardening does that for me, fearlessly exchanging with people to reach the depths and truth of an aspect of their mental shape too (as we are doing now), or just greedily inhaling every small details reaching my small field of consciousness.

Or, it may just be getting bored of negativity.

As much as I had wished to share this state, it seems not to be really communicable. It will dawn on you, I am sure. And some day, you will be suddenly laughing out loud in the middle of the fields. If anybody sees you then, they will think all that worrying ended up getting the best of you. 🙂

Anyway, thank you for finding and periodically bringing to our attention smart people doing original thinking on this topic of collapse. I am grateful for your clear eyesight, your ability to separate the chaff from the wheat. Especially, it has been a great support during covid.

To conclude, here are the most important ideas I want to share:

Redemption, betterment, moksha, liberation, self-realization, illumination, enlightedment, progress, self-improvement, planet rescue… As if the world could be any different than it is. As if it could be improved upon. As if we had control. As if the dynamic of life were a math problem with an optimum solution. If you meet the Buddha, kill him. I say burn them all, Fahrenheit 451 style: Buddha, Jesus, Darwin, Einstein, Malthus, the Meadows. They clutter our souls. Time for renewal. Snap out of any form of idealism, absolutely any kind of indoctrination. Now the earth was formless and empty. Go back there and start anew.

To me, it’s thinking which shapes our experience by arbitrarily slicing, labelling everything, arbitrarily picking a perimeter to focus on (identification), a start and an end, creating concepts: birth, death, progress, evolution, species, collapse, NPK (chemistry), MPP, MORT, you name it… That’s all delusional. There is no way anything can be understood. It is not meant to. And that’s fine. There is nothing to be either fearful, angry, saddened or cheerful about. It is just as it is. And that’s awe-striking.

As far as I understand, this is UG Krishnamurti, this is non-duality (not 2, which does not imply 1 either).

And then, there is all that matters, that which can’t be put in words…

el mar

el mar´s approach:

Take care!

  • Be friendly and balanced, don’t believe every bullshit.
  • Be peaceful, self-critical but don’t put up with everything.
  • “Come down”, think “small”, for species-appropriate human husbandry.
  • Buy regionally, support local producers, manufacturers and craftspeople. Eat healthy, fresh, unprocessed food
  • Start a kitchen garden. Start small.
  • Learn something crafty and practical.
  • Cooperate and share with like-minded people.
  • Listen to your inner voice – not to ideologues and pied pipers from the right and left.
  • Avoid mass consumption and mass media.
  • Inspire other people to join this movement.

Saludos

Florian

It’s pretty funny to me, I’m a “young person” (< 40 years) and I’m not following a single of Robs points.

I live in a big city (I was born here) and work in tech (which I enjoy within reason) and I can afford to only work 30h. In a slow collapse scenario I will have to trade my database knowledge for food lol but, personally, this is not the future I envision.

My own version of the future is a lot more bleak so I live my life of pleasure, sitting comfortably in my office hardly working knowing that it could end next month, year or decade. Which also has it upsides because I don’t need to worry about my retirement.

Gaia

Do you remember my post on suffering that you decided should be a guest essay (and that quite floored me to see my words the next day front and centre!)? My core outpouring then, and even more now, is the question, was it all worth it? That so few have benefited so much at the expense of so many? Even to the point of the destruction of our biosphere, endangering life systems at the macro and molecular level through our hubris in thinking we can grasp power and control far beyond our reach. In my darkest hours I feel that deepest, helpless, purging sorrow is the only true emotion we can justifiably claim; all other feelings and reactions to our existence are derivative of our denial that allows us to continue living so. It’s denial that keeps me as positive and equanimous as I seem to all around, if anything I feel an imposter as I should be more depressed and grieving for the world and humanity as a whole.
I consider this recent post a continuation of that lament on suffering and even more a personal outcry of remorse and regret that I was not as conscious of my role and responsibility in the greater good and suffering as I could have been, or if I was aware, I certainly was not courageous as I know is rightful in failing to use my one life boldly to declare justice as others have done.

As children, we naturally understand and feel injustice aggrievedly, possibly because we are otherwise helpless and dependent upon the goodness of others, but also in our naivete and innocence we trust that others know and care how we feel, and would treat us as we and they wish to be. Through a thousand thousand cuts of disappointment and breaches of trust, cog-turning assimilation into the culture and society into which we were born, it comes to pass that we throw off that banner of righteousness and justice in exchange for a yoke of resignation and complacency. We carry our burden with hardly a murmur, willingly or not, wittingly or not, so we can stake our claim of existence in this society upon which we are wholly dependent. To conform with the dominant tribe is our survival strategy, and the more complex our society becomes, it is clear that for the masses there is little choice but to continue the status quo or be cast out. We come to realize our relative individual unimportance to the system, so it is not much of a step to endorse anothers’ insignificance, especially those outside of our tribe. Then it is no matter at all to deny their right to existence, and all manner of injustices become justified. For all my complicitness of inaction, I shall bear my own guilt. It is through recognition of myself in the majority that will lead to my release of judgment for them, and if by grace I can come to some measure of forgiveness, I hope to absolve myself a little, too.

Truth to tell, at some level we know we are here because someone else is not, we have because someone else does not. My ancestors survived at the cost of another, and now I have my material life at the expense of another. There is no way else to balance this equation, however we try to reconcile it. It is all justified because we are who we are, and they are who they are–as in the developed world, complete and worthy, still deciding if the “developing” ones have a right to exist. The colour of our skin, the language we speak, the land we find ourselves, and most expediently, the exchange rate we decided upon, keeps everyone in their own respective domain and hierarchy of who shall have and not have. We call it fair trade to keep us in the West living in our high standard whilst those whose labour and resources we have stolen through our inflated dollars can only keep living in their degraded standards. Any child can see through this unfairness which we have called our globalised world. Genocide still may be abhorrent, but slavery, as long as it is at arm’s length, has its merits. I am a beneficiary of this and cannot and will not erase that stain upon my conscience. We need not wait for AI to overcome our humanity; we have already given away a greater part of that when as a species we chose to continue following the algorithms of power as a method for survival instead of allowing our still small voice of conscience to heed the golden rule. Until we embrace the earth as our village and kinship with all life, we are quite alone on this blue-green planet, spinning alone in this corner of the universe.

I contend that we all have the possibility of a Hitler as well as Mother Theresa–the only difference is quantity of intention and scope of action, but the quality is already in us. It must be so if we are a species together, the family trait of both runs deep and will out given the right circumstances. Our continued survival as a species has depended on at times dominance and exploitation, and at other times, cooperation and altruism. Daily we balance between the spectrum in all our decisions, whether consciously or not. As a species, we perhaps could never have evolved differently, but gifted with the birthright of consciousness and conscience, individually we could have chosen differently. We know it can be done because it has been done, we all have done it–have risen to the occasion of defending the defenseless, be it a rescued bird or standing for a friend against a bully. Courage in those moments is a direct line to our hearts, bypassing our brains working out what is in it for us. I daresay those are the times we felt most alive and sure of our purpose, the moments when we consider anothers’ well-being before our own. This quality of beneficence is every bit a part of our species as well, all we lack is consistency, which is the mark of mastery. Whilst some rare few may achieve instant enlightenment, the other path, however long and arduous, will also reach the goal through awareness and effort. We must be able to practice our kindness and goodness; it matters not how small the task before us as we have the quality already, it is merely the quantity we can choose to increase or withhold. We can choose kindness and rightfulness again and again, until it is no longer a choice but defines us.

Despite these physically, mentally, and emotionally draining times, I am going along as well as I can be, seizing the joy and wonder in every day as I know how precious life, and the passing time that unravels life, are. I now understand clearly why Cicero (considered a Skeptic, not a Stoic) stated that gratitude is the greatest of and the parent of all virtues. I find comfort in managing the daily tasks that so many wish they could do with as much freedom and ease as I have enjoyed all my life, and in helping others by being more generous with my time through practical action or listening ear. Giving back is the choice I am hanging onto for having the privilege of receiving so much. Knowing now as I do that our life of continued ease will be greatly foreshortened due to our own making, crystalises for me the certainty that my remaining days and choices are fast becoming last chances to consolidate what I have learned as a human being on this planet. And even more importantly, to prove to myself that my life has been an examined one and the highest version of what I can be. Whilst I cannot save humanity, I can still save the part of me that can be more grateful, kind, compassionate, accepting and forgiving. It is the only and true thing remaining for me to do, and for which my entire life was preparation.

Rob here, I’ve added to Gaia’s contribution a powerful paragraph she wrote as a comment a month ago:

The on-going genocide of the Palestinians really nailed it for me. Now we know that given the opportunity, we would act just the same way the majority of Germans did, in turning a blind eye to what we know is morally unjust and thinking we can continue with our own lives. We will watch the slaughter and deplore it, but why don’t we have the courage to upend our lives by doing something radical in effort to stop it? It’s the same for the response to Covid. It seems the most radical thing a Westerner can do (and more power to the pro-Palestine youngsters at universities who still have heart and guts) is publicly protest but why are we not all walking out of our jobs or going on hunger strikes and the like? What does it take to really take a stand, to deliberately override every instinct of survival by choosing suffering and even death (like Aaron Bushnell, who conflagrated himself) for an ideal? The drive to protect ourselves and just keep living the lives we are accustomed, especially us in the West is overwhelming–we have too much to lose and we know we cannot survive outside our system. We are workers in the hive, and we are programmed for only the hive. Knowing this, we finally come to understand that we are not free beings and never have been, but that does not mean we do not still have choice and our internal world can be closer to what we want to make it. That’s why the Stoic philosophy is particularly attractive to me; I have succumbed to relinquishing any hope of changing the outer world but I can still find meaning, purpose and joy in life by improving my inner self.

Hamish McGregor

There are no specific actions I take, to help with coping – unless being constantly negative, whining, passive aggressive and excess criticism (of everything) counts.

Hideaway

In working out where we are headed, I cope via a variety of mechanisms. We are a close family, my wife and our children, and we come from close families, so there is always the following of everyone’s progress through life as a positive to look forward to. We are financially well off, as I’ve invested well by predicting the way the world would try to head, given what I know of resources, which has allowed our children to have a much easier path. They are well aware of my findings and none of our children, in their 30’s, have chosen to have kids, so no grandchildren to worry about. They say they will just return to the farm when civilization collapses.

I have native areas of bush (forest for non Aussies) on our property that are regenerating from before we bought, 40 years ago. Taking a long walk through these areas gives a regenerative feel for the world overall. Life will go on after us, until it can’t, but will spring up somewhere else in the universe. Life is for living and I enjoy spreading the word of what’s happening in reality, so it doesn’t get me down at all. We have plenty of food, heat when necessary and great shelter that we built with our own hands. I cut wood from our bush for heating the house, mostly from storm damage, or dead/dying trees as the bush goes through it’s natural succession, so providing our own heat source in winter is also cathartic.

I get a type of internal peace knowing that there is no purpose to life, it just exists, so making the most of it with as many different experiences as possible in great company is what counts. being part of a like minded community of thinkers at un-Denial also helps with sanity as it clearly shows I’m not ‘out of my mind’ with my findings on the direction of the world, so thanks to all contributors at un-Denial and especially to Rob for hosting the site..

Jack Alpert @ https://skil.org/

I am not going to prep for the down slope for four reasons:

  1. There is no protection from the roving hoards. Both, preppers and non-preppers, will end up with nothing to eat but each other very quickly — probably in the next 50 years and most certainly in a hundred years.
  2. Running, hiding, and being the last man eating the last can of corn in the last cupboard is not what I want to work toward.
  3. I cannot drink a good glass of wine and watch the sunset without guilt.
  4. That I am old and I might make it out of here before tragedy strikes brings me no joy.

I will feel bad every day if I do not try to fix things I can see are broken.

Some fixes I do not care to work on. I am done being distracted by efforts to fix the miss perceptions and dysfunctional behaviors resulting from our limbic brain which evolved too slowly to keep up with our cognitive capacities to create civilization’s momentum.

My work focus each day:

  1. Define a viable Human Earth system in terms of behavior that controls  mass and energy flows that can exist continuously without degradation of the earth’s productive capacity.
  2. Define the collective behavior required to transition to this Human Earth system.
  3. Implement the required behavior:
  • i) Extracting bad behavior takers from the population:
    • a) Old age deaths
    • b) Starvation deaths
    • c) Deaths from violence
  • ii) Coerce the required behavior from the remaining population:
    • a) Physical enslavement
    • b) Social contract enslavement
  • iii) Create universal upgrade in cognitive processes in every living person.

Some milestones on this journey:

The existing 8 billion people living today will not be living in 2100. They will have died from:

  1. Old age
  2. Starvation
  3. Violence

The human population that exists in 2100 will be the sum of births after today. If the system that is viable under the above definitions is only 50 million that means births will have to be limited to about 500,000 a year.

If we have only natural births, not test tube babies, that will initially be only 1 birth for every 140 woman, but will increase until it reaches 2.00 in 50 years.

Implementing this will be a challenge.

At one extreme it will require immediate sterilization of 8 billion people with some mechanism for refertilization to get 500,000 annual births.

This path creates great injury and can only be selected when compared to the worse alternative of an estimated 13.4 billion people dying of starvation and conflict during the next 80 years on the present path.

The rest of the transition is equally painful and difficult to implement.

I expect that existing cultural machinery will struggle and probably fail in making a transition to the defined viable civilization. It is more likely to descend into a dark age — probably with little chance of recovery to present science and technology.

Some other more powerful transition mechanisms may be applied by groups or individuals to our predicament. Individuals may soon become powerful enough to sterilize the 8 billion. Others may become capable of culling any portion of the 8 billion.

These options may be implemented (not abiding current ethics) with much lower total lives or environments injured.

These alternative paths forward for the human experiment on earth may be selected and implemented  independent of existing organizations.

I have worked my entire adult life understanding the creation of cognitive processes that if they were universal among the 8 billion, the collected behavior to implement a viable earth system would be possible. Each individual behavior would result with the same reliability as that individual selecting to not step off the curb in front of a rushing bus.

I have made much progress but lacking a quick and universal way of inserting these cognitive abilities into a whole global population over night I imagine the individual-produced interventions of sterilization and culling to be implemented to avoid the unrecoverable dark age on our horizon.

marromai

As far as I can see, it always comes down to the same thing: oneself is powerless when it comes to the big picture, you can only make sure that you and your loved ones are doing well. That’s also what I try to do as best as I can (like the closing words from my first guest post – carpe diem).

My coping methods are:

  • I am present at work because I need the money, but I only do the minimum required. I know that our economic system is doomed, but I cannot survive without it because I am inevitably a part of it.
  • I avoid the mass media and scrutinize any news.
  • The state is not my friend. I avoid contact wherever possible. State rules and laws are interpreted as flexibly as possible to my advantage (of course only where they don’t harm other people).
  • Most people don’t know what I know or dismiss it as nonsense. I keep my knowledge to myself and don’t try to “convert” anyone.
  • Current “Science” is just another religion – I know that I know nothing. However, (old) science offers us models and techniques that explain many things well or have made them possible in the first place. I use these where it makes sense to me.
  • I am not afraid of death, because I will return to the big picture – only dying could be unpleasant…
  • We will never understand the big picture, because as long as we are alive we are a split-off part of it, and can therefore never observe it in its entirety.
  • “I hope that when the world comes to an end, I can breathe a sigh of relief because there will be so much to look forward to.” (Donnie Darko)

But nonetheless:

  • Try not to worry too much – as long as I can survive this day, the next one will also be possible. It’s like an incremental approach on living 🙂

To conclude with a quote from “A Book for No One“:

We should stop sinking into depressive moods we have created and start enjoying life in the here and now. The doomsday fantasies are due to the phase of prosperity, in which the human brain looks for new problems because our fundamental needs have already been satisfied. Even in ancient Rome, doomsday prophecies and the proclamation of new ages were booming – and yet the Romans lived relatively well for centuries without apocalyptic upheavals.

nikoB

nikoB’s farm

1993 was when I first became aware that progress (as we in the west generally think of it) was not really leading us to this consequence-free wonderful utopia in the not too distant future. The first was witnessing first hand, the clearfell logging occurring in forests across Australia. The second event that got doubts flowing in my head was my uncle casually remarking – what are we going to do when oil runs out?

Over the next decade I was a rampant greenie, studying ecology and horticulture but not really putting much of the bigger picture together. Climate change was a problem but still so far away – so fixable. That was all to change when a friend invited me to a lecture by Richard Heinberg and David Holmgren. Peak oil came and put a stop to all my illusions. The door was opened and I stepped through.

It was 2006 and I was in my mid-thirties with a young family just starting out. It wasn’t long before I was aware of the Oil Drum, Nate Hagens, Jim Kunstler, Dmitry Orlov, The Druid JM Greer, the Chris Martenson crash course and many, many other places of ideas and discussion. To say this altered my thinking on everything is a massive understatement. Priorities changed overnight and I launched myself into a personal crusade to bring the truth of the peril that awaited us to anyone who would listen.

So fast forward to today, to cut through what is really a fairly dull story with maybe a few juicy details, I basically learnt that no one gives a “solidly digested meal” about resource depletion and overshoot. No matter how many ways you approach the subject. For it became a passion to try and work out the magical key that will unlock humanity’s thinking. All it did was result in the loss of close friends and family. I was mostly just a downer to people when I used to be one of the funniest people in the room (thanks to class clown training).

So where does this leave me now nearly 20 years later of being a peak oiler and recent anti-vaxxer. Reevaluating everything I do because what I have been doing hasn’t yielded results in changing minds.

I am lucky to be blessed with a partner who shares much of the same view of overshoot and its consequences. We spend quite a substantial amount of time discussing all the issues it brings bubbling to the surface. I am also blessed in that she shares the same passion for self sufficiency living that I do and together we work our little farm in the hinterlands of the northern rivers area of New South Wales Australia.

What I am slowly coming to the realisation of, is that we must not lose our passions, humanity and connections. For too long they were side lined and sacrificed for the greater virtue of telling everyone just how it is. The loss I felt was immense but that was balanced by the anger that I felt that nobody could see that what I think is so bloody obvious and that no one cares to do anything about it.

So in order to repair broken relationships (because I miss them) I have had to change my priorities and my thinking as well I suppose, so that I don’t just naturally clash with most people. This is difficult, especially not judging people for their ignorance and self destructive behaviours. But as it turns out I have all my own ignorant self destructive behaviours.

Maybe time is short before collapse makes living a nightmare, Hideaway makes many compelling arguments that this complex system is exceedingly brittle and can only withstand so many spanners thrown into the gears. Or perhaps the druid is right and that the collapse is catabolic, step by step, some big, some small but pretty much all down hill. Either way my thinking has changed on how to deal with it, though I must say the covid saga produced a huge detour and removed many friends from my circle and I would venture to say that most are not destined to return. But now I am getting back on track to living while compartmentalising the potential horror of a potential future.

I have decided to let go of the major criticisms I have of the human condition which are beautifully spelt out here in Rob’s blog over and over again. I don’t know if any of it really matters as we are all dead in the end. It is the journey as they say that matters not the destination. If we really think about it we know that is true as the destination is a hole in the ground.

So now I look to seeking the connections I can find with people that are easy to build on and see where it leads. Time to encourage rather than discourage. Soak up the interpersonal transactions and notice when something deeper occurs. But at the same time I won’t gladly immerse myself in exchanges full of bovine discharges.

As a focus for my own passions, I am back to making music, finding the humour in most things without resorting to be overly sarcastic or caustic. Observing and appreciating absurdity is great for that. Giving love as much as I can and forgetting the anger and the hate. I won’t pretend that it is easy but it does seem to be the most beneficial path and I must remember to forgive myself if I stray from it at times.

Paqnation (aka Chris)

Surprisingly, our story was more depressing to me when I was in full Daniel Quinn sustainable/wisdom mode. The whole “where did we go wrong” thing haunts you when you know humans “can” get it right. Now that un-Denial has set me straight on some of these core issues, our story is less depressing in that respect. I do think denial is at the heart of the matter, but I bounce around on how much emphasis to put on MORT, eToM, and MPP. And I am now slowly shifting to a new state of mind where it’s all about energy constraints and you can pretty much throw everything else out the window.

Society can be full of Quinn type worldviews or full of overshoot, MORT aware citizens. It doesn’t matter. Once those sacred constraints are broken, there is no way out of the madness. And there is no way to resist using this new energy technology because if you don’t, someone else will, and you will be conquered and/or killed. By the time your civilization has enough EROEI to start understanding concepts like overshoot and sustainable vs unsustainable… it’s too late. You are now way too addicted to the comforts of this energy surplus to voluntarily decrease usage. And you’re already in massive overshoot because of all the self-induced damage to your environment (mining and domestication of plants/animals). Ditto for your worldviews too. Separation of nature along with a superior way of looking at your own species are unavoidable default worldviews that come along with busting through energy constraints. The most depressing thing for me nowadays is the realization that this kind of modern intelligence (cleverness) has no purpose in the entire universe.

I have two techniques for my sanity. One thing is trying to accept the inevitability of it all. Understanding that the best-case scenario for Mother Earth is NTHE, helps me to go with more of a “I might as well partake in the Peak before it’s all gone” mentality. But the most important technique is hanging out on this website. When I first came onto the scene of un-Denial, I was shot out of a cannon. The two years prior that I was learning about overshoot, etc., I never had a reliable outlet to ask any questions. That all changed when I got here. I cannot talk to anyone in my personal life about collapse, but now I have an online support group. The following is more of a love letter to you guys for how much you’ve given me and my appreciation for being part of this Tribal Connection.

Here are some quotes I collected from un-Denial comments that caused me think and increased my awareness:

Monk: Something that helps me a lot is when I see dumped rubbish, which happens a lot in “magical NZ”. And I just think to myself how excited I am for collapse, because spoilt brat humans don’t deserve everything that we’ve got when we can’t even do something so basic for nature as pointing rubbish in the bin.

Rob: For the last 10,000 years we broke through normal resource constraints with agriculture (bigger share of solar energy) and fossil energy (ancient solar energy) and became a destructive unsustainable species, that is smart enough to know better, but denies what it is doing.

Mike: In a climax ecosystem, the system appears to be in balance with all species living in harmony. But it’s an illusion and no species intended it that way. Quinn probably got it wrong, in that respect. (Chris here, Mike calling out Quinn like that was the beginning of my internal temper tantrum)

Gaia: So over time, the ascendancy of lighter skinned humans in the cooler climates prevailed and these were the climates where agriculture and feudal living flourished, cementing the dominance of this culture type rather than the nomadic style of earlier hunter/gatherer societies which matched well with the grassland/savannah fauna of equatorial Africa.

Rob: The probability of getting 100% of things wrong by mistake is 0%.

Monk: They dug up a lot of roman prepping gold in villas in the UK. Funny to think of them prepping all that gold and never getting to use it.

Hamish: Too many people treat dogs like fashion accessories and discard them immediately when they have health issues.

NikoB: I always think of it in terms of give and take. What did you take from this world in order to live and what did you give back?

AJ: …reinforcing my opinion that the grandchildren of the victims of genocide are now the perpetrators of genocide.

Charles: I love watching the activity in a compost bin, on the surface of a decomposing carcass, the eerie colours of mushrooms feeding off dead logs… Death doesn’t really feel like an end: there is so much activity going on, and (in good temperature and moisture conditions) recycling happens so fast one can almost witness the migration of energy.

Rob: I envy people who obtain comfort from believing there is some form of spirituality in the universe that cares about us. Unfortunately I see a flow of electrons looking for a home.

Gaia: That’s just it, Rob! I identify best with being a bunch of electrons looking for a home! …Then the electrons I borrowed can go do something else for the rest of eternity.

Stellarwind72: What if intelligence over a certain level is inherently maladaptive on long timescales, because it allows you to destroy the very ecology you depend upon.

Hamish: If I ever have to turn away people seeking help, I will offer them my thoughts and prayers – that seems to be the solution to all calamities from the shit stains in Washington DC and state capitals.

ABC: “Progress” equals to mental regress in many if not most aspects, nothing short of “wickedness”.

Florian: If you are happy with what you have or even downsize then you are, from an evolutionary perspective, a defective individual and the chance is very very high that you will be thrown on the genetic trash heap. There is this saying, To understand all is to forgive all and while it can be hard to not show emotion in this absolute cluster-fuck there is absolutely no point to attach yourself to an outcome.

Charles: Life, to me is a constant invitation (sometimes quite painful) to open up to possibilities.

Rob: I’m still fascinated by denial. I see it every day in every single person I interact with. No one speaks reality, except the few that hang out here.

AJ: The lack of humility and stating that one could make a mistake, always makes me suspicious of a person’s conclusions.

Monk: Without fossil fuels the planet would have become a frozen wasteland. It looked like earth was heading for permanent ice age because too much carbon got lock up.

Rob: I believe one of the reasons we had so much coal is that large plants were enabled by the evolutionary invention of lignin and it took quite a while for fungi to figure out how to digest lignin. Today coal would not accumulate in the same quantities.

Notabilia: Remember, none of us fossil fuel colossi have to stick around when our inherited profligate way of existence hits the ground below the cliff. That will become the one remaining “civil right”. (Chris here, this one got me focused on writing my exit strategy article)

ABC: Wisdom has no inherent value in a world of energy, and never stood a chance against unhinged violence.

NikoB: Perhaps having a good spice rack will put those cannibalism fears to rest.

Stellarwind72: Our leaders seem to think that if Putin is allowed to win in Ukraine, he will invade several other countries, similar to what Hitler did after the Munich agreement.

Gaia: Maybe we can even say that MORT (denial) has been our species’ only true religion, for through it we almost became like the gods, or more poetically, it was the way in which the gods could become human.

Charles: I believe Quinn/Murphy’s story will propagate because it shows a possible way ahead for survival. It is becoming useful in this world of limits, of civilisation/technology collapse.

Hideaway: Crocodiles have existed in pretty much the same form for 200 million years, that’s long term sustainability.

Monk: Anthropologists do think pre-historic people had a lot more sex than their civilized counterparts.

Charles: I find the terms reincarnation and “life after death” misleading. They are too loaded. One should perhaps use “informational remnant through structural reorganization”.

Hamish: I’ve given up on the idea of saving people, society, knowledge, culture, wisdom. If I can help nature that will be enough.

Rob: The problem is our citizens, not our leaders.

Hideaway: Increasingly I’m thinking most major solar and wind installations are nothing more than a scam paid for by subsidies from the government, then quickly sold to whatever pension fund that wants ‘green’ credentials in their portfolio.

Stellarwind72: If MORT is true, the story of humanity will turn out to be a tragedy. The species intelligent enough to realize it is in overshoot doesn’t do much about it due to denial.

Rob: Life is not some spiritual mystery, but rather a predictable outcome of the fact that the universe abhors an energy gradient, and life is its best mechanism for degrading energy. (and) “If life is nothing but an electron looking for a place to rest, death is nothing but that electron come to rest.” (Rob here, I think that’s a paraphrased quote from Dr. Nick Lane)

Chris here. These next two get me emotional and make me think about what could’ve been (Closest to me ever having my own family was in 2003, but we both agreed on abortion. One of my biggest regrets).

ABC: I’d like to have a family, rear children and experience being a father. I know it is extremely selfish if not cruel by all definitions knowing our predicament, however I cannot shake this primal biological urge of self-interest and naïveté of having a “sense of meaning”.

CampbellS: We saw the southern lights, aurora astralis, here in the Far North of NZ. First time for me in my 53 years. Pretty spectacular and awe inspiring. Was nice to share it with my teenage kids.

And this is a nice little moment between the young, cocky Skywalker and the much wiser Obi-Wan Kenobi. They could both see the magic early on:

Paqnation: I actually think he/she is Art Berman, Simon Michaux or someone like that. I have a hard time with energy (which is why I love Sid Smith), but Hideaway is like an energy oracle.

Rob: Hideaway is better than both Berman and Michaux. Berman is deeper on oil but shallower on other energies and overshoot. Michaux has some worrying woo-woo.

One final note. While going through all my comments, I came across what is by far the most MORT thing on this entire website = My anti-pornography article. 😊

scarr0w

My journey to tranquility ( 🙂 ) is as follows:

I’ve known for as long as I have memory that I was “different”. Not exactly on the spectrum, not genius, not sociopath, but maybe a dash of each. I was in parochial school my first four years, and it was not a good fit for me. To get along, one should just fill in the answer blanks in your Baltimore Catechism workbook, not ask the nun to explain grace. Questioning the pablum we are spoon fed is not a way to be one of the gang.

Anyway, from childhood experiences, I over time built a mental outlook that more or less has evolved to be expressed best by the Niebuhr/Wygal serenity prayer. I generally kept my own council, especially when I fully realized the overshoot predicament we are in while working for a company that builds stuff for the fossil industry. I guess you could say I was “in the closet”.

Serenity, or at least equanimity is not an easy thing to maintain all the time, but I’ve gotten better over time. Raising kids, staying on the treadmill even after realizing that’s what it is, etc… can test your resolve. While I follow collapse progress and analysis at sites like Rob’s and several others, it is more to keep current, not to perseverate on (and let’s face it, being witness to this huge event in the human story is fascinating). Mostly I am grateful that I was lucky enough to be born in a location and time that will never be again.

Currently, some mental energy is on local political issues (I’m on the county board, trying to see opportunities to shift policy into more future ready states), but primarily I try to slowly make a few acres of land more in tune with what the local biome wants to be. That will be enough.

I liked a lot of what others said, especially Gaia, but since my emotion circuits were partly burnt out as a kid, I just don’t get wound up over the path out culture has chosen, or my role in it. I know others suffer and indirectly I benefit, those of us aware just have to live with a foot in both worlds, slowly reducing our complicity as best we can. Not much help for others, but that’s where I am.

Stellarwind72

Being overshoot aware constantly weighs on me. Given my young age (I was born right before the turn of the millennium), I know that the sh*t will hit the fan in my lifetime. From time to time, I feel existential dread. I know that there is a substantial risk of me dying early due to the effects of overshoot and collapse.

Sometimes just being able to talk about this issue with other people helps me with anxiety, knowing that there are other people who are aware of what is going on.

I sometimes like listening to classical music and taking hot baths to calm my nerves, but given how those are both dependent on large amounts of surplus energy (I mostly listen to classical music on YouTube), I don’t know how long I will be able to keep doing that.

Rob Mielcarski

In no particular order of importance, here are some things that have helped me remain partially sane with overshoot awareness.

Collapse Early and Avoid the Rush

There is no way to predict which of the many paths we will take (inflation, deflation, war, confiscation, theft, etc.), however we know with certainty that the destination of fossil energy depletion will be less material wealth, less food abundance, a lower energy lifestyle, and much less help from governments.

I think it is a wise strategy to voluntarily downsize your lifestyle and learn to live happily with less so that when everyone else is shocked and losing their minds due to loss of wealth and entitlements, you are already happily living the new normal.

Some things that have worked for me include:

  • Pretend you can’t buy gasoline and see how little driving you can get by with.
  • Stop flying. Find ways to vacation locally like camping.
  • Monitor your electricity consumption in real time and practice using less.
  • Practice food storage and preparation without refrigeration.
  • Practice low energy cooking like one-pot meals and pressure cooking.
  • Practice living at lower temperatures in the winter.
  • Shower when dirty, not every day.
  • Change clothes when they are dirty, not every day.
  • Stop eating out. Cook all your food from scratch.
  • Cut your own hair.
  • Maintain your vehicles yourself.
  • Practice fixing things that break.

Local Food

I think we face 5 main threat vectors and it is unclear which will strike first:

  • nuclear war (due to resource scarcity)
  • accelerating warming (due to aerosol reduction)
  • asset bubble crash (due to extreme debt and degrowth)
  • energy scarcity (due to depletion of low-cost non-renewable reserves)
  • deadly covid variant a la Bossche (due to our idiot unethical leaders)

The most important common denominator is likely to be food scarcity.

I once had a dream to buy a farm and build a doomstead. I took a small scale farming course and after about 5 years of employment as a farm laborer I learned that I lacked the money and the passion and the time to pull it off successfully. So I switched to plan B. I now assist a local farm with construction and maintenance in return for a source of local food. I still buy the majority of my calories at the grocery store but I know we can ramp up calorie production when SHTF.

Prepping

I work hard at being a wise frugal prepper which means I stock things that:

  • I like to eat and have a good shelf life so they won’t be wasted
  • are likely to become scarce first like protein, fat, and caffeine
  • are essential for good health
  • are purchased when on sale to save money

I maintain a detailed spreadsheet of consumables with quantity, cost, date of purchase, best-by date, storage location, date opened, date finished, and predicted duration the item will last. This allows me to:

  • track my consumption of each item so I can accurately predict how long each will last, and to adjust inventory levels based on my assessment of world events
  • track price inflation and to stock more of what is expected to inflate fastest
  • rotate inventory so I always eat the oldest first
  • conduct shelf life tests and record results so I know when a best-by date can extended or ignored
  • calm down – reviewing my spreadsheet reduces my stress

I have methodically gone through every durable item and service I use and asked what will I do if that item breaks and cannot be fixed or replaced, or can’t be fueled. For those items that I consider essential I have purchased a spare, or I have plan for accomplishing the same thing a different way, or I know I can do without. Here are a few examples:

  • my town water supply is not gravity fed and depends on electric pumps so I installed a hand operated pitcher pump on an old shallow well on my property
  • I can light my living area with 4 different types of energy
  • I can cook with 7 different types of energy
  • I can heat my living area with 3 different types of energy and I have practiced living with the thermostat at 15C
  • I have 4 different modes of transportation and I have some spare parts
  • I can keep my refrigerator operating, which is the main thing I care about in a power outage, for a couple weeks
  • I have spare parts to keep my computer, which is my main indoor hobby, going until I’m dead
  • I have spare hiking boots, which is my main outdoor hobby, to last until I’m too old to hike

Doing something to prepare provides a sense of agency over things out of my control which improves my mental well-being.

Prepping is of course not a fix to permanent scarcity or a catastrophe, but it might sustain life during a temporary shortage, and it might make life more enjoyable when non-essential but highly valued items like coffee become unavailable.

Prepping can be a good use of limited savings given that inflation is a likely outcome of energy scarcity. I smile every time I see price increases on things I have in inventory.

Health

When things get tough, good health will be one of our most important assets.

Most available employment will require manual labor, and if you’re out of shape and overweight you may be unemployable.

I expect pensions and safety nets to vaporize so many will be forced to work until they die.

I expect the availability and affordability of health care services to decline as governments become impoverished.

Covid taught me that I do not want to use our unethical and incompetent healthcare system if I can avoid it.

So I try to maintain good health by:

  • eating healthy unprocessed, low sugar foods
  • fasting 16 hours every day
  • getting some exercise
  • sleeping 8 hours
  • taking a few critical supplements like vitamin D and C
  • no alcohol or tobacco

Gratitude

Someone wise said something like “the foundation of happiness is gratitude”.

I believe it.

The lifestyle of the poorest Canadian is better than a pharaoh. It is easy to forget how lucky we are in the rich western countries at this point in history.

The majority of my good fortune came from being born in Canada, not from my skill or hard work.

So I try to be grateful.

A few things that work for me include:

  • cook deliberately: I plan my meals, and I think about the path the food took to get to my kitchen, and I try to show respect to the food by cooking it nicely, and wasting nothing
  • eat deliberately: I try to slow down and appreciate what I am eating
  • drive deliberately: when I press the accelerator I think about the miracle of fossil energy
  • shower deliberately: I think about the path the water took to get to my house, and the energy it took to heat the water, and what a luxury a hot shower is

Learn to Enjoy Your Own Company

I spend quite a bit of time alone for several reasons:

  • I find it easier to “collapse early and avoid the rush” when I am not surrounded by people competing for status
  • nobody likes being around a doomer, I’m invited less these days
  • I struggle to chit chat about things that do not matter
  • I have become less tolerant of people who believe nonsense and are incapable of changing beliefs regardless of evidence – yes I know MORT is often the cause, but I still don’t enjoy the company of people in denial

So I have learned to enjoy my own company.

I have conversations with myself, and I listen to interesting (and sometimes aware) people via podcasts and audiobooks, and I interact with a few nice and aware people at un-Denial.

MORT

When you become overshoot aware you realize there is near zero awareness and zero discussion in society about anything that matters, and not only are we doing nothing that a wise species should do, we are doing everything possible to make our predicament worse. This can be crazy making.

Understanding Dr. Ajit Varki’s Mind Over Reality Transition (MORT) theory has been a big help to maintaining my mental health because it provides a scientific explanation for why almost everyone in the world, including our brightest intellectuals and all of our leaders, are oblivious to everything that matters.

If I Was a Young Person

If I was a young person, knowing what I know now, and wondering what to do, I would:

  • not live in a big city
  • avoid occupations that depend on discretionary spending (except maybe brewing beer and distilling alcohol)
  • learn a useful skill that poor people will need and value
  • learn a skill that can be performed with today’s complex power equipment, and yesterday’s simpler manual equipment
  • I’d personally lean towards a trade like carpentry, plumbing, masonry, electrician, roofer, mechanic, etc. but I’m sure there are many other viable occupations
  • farming would be good but land is too expensive for most people to buy today; a good compromise is a skill that generates income and a home garden or rented community garden plot that you tend after work; or if you are passionate about farming, join a good farm as a laborer and work up to a position with responsibility

569 thoughts on “Coping with Awareness”

  1. In case you’re not aware, Fast Eddy, who no longer comments on OFW, has his own blog. It seems to be a mix of overshoot aware truth and crazy.

    https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/there-is-no-cure-for-stupidity

    Many Anti Vaxxers are celebrating the limited coverage of Covid Vaccine Injuries. They believe it’s a start that will soon lead to the full story being released and a massive revolution as the herd of morons are told that they were lied to. Anti Vaxxers are fantasizing about Nuremburg 2.0 and Fauci dangling from a rope.

    None of this is going to happen.

    It’s extremely frustrating trying to beat the PR Team. If they have it in for you there is no way you can win.

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    1. I actually like Fast Eddy. Used to think he was insane (still do a little), but his blog is winning me over. I am biased towards anyone who hates “the system” more than me.

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    1. Terrible advice in that video. Plant deciduous trees in winter, and cut back most above ground growth. Personally wouldn’t touch pot grown fruit trees as the root system is potbound. Nate is going to have very weak fruit trees if they survive the summer.

      Never plant shade loving species when planting trees, allow the trees to establish before planting the shade lovers. Trying to build a food forest in one day is a waste of money spent on everything.

      Covering the ground in weed mat to keep the weeds down, only works for short term while we have fossil fuels. Thinking about mowing down annuals for feeding soil, with lawn mower or tractor, sort of wont work after fossil fuels are no longer available.

      This is standard city slicker moving to the country thinking which wont work in the longer term, instead of trying to see what thrives in that area on those soils with least inputs over time.

      If anyone is thinking of prepping on land, this is a video on what not to do….

      The more I think about prepping, it’s along the lines of raising grazing animals, learning how to butcher properly and how to tan hides using the most natural methods possible, then hoping the hordes don’t eat all the livestock, which means buying far away from any civilization.. Where is far away??

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      1. It looked pretty bad to me too but I lack some of the planting knowledge you have.

        His prepping ideas are often naive too. He’s a young kid with little experience or wisdom.

        If I was going to plant a big food garden the first things I’d think about are fencing, how to irrigate with minimal power, compost location, and how I’m going to cut the grass without gas or diesel, and then as you say, visiting the neighbors to find out what grows well there.

        Liked by 4 people

          1. Yes, they’re excellent tools. A few years ago I helped harvest a couple acres of oats and wheat with a scythe so I know what’s involved. The amount of grass at the farm I currently assist would be impossible to manage with a scythe, if you wanted any time left to grow food.

            Liked by 1 person

            1. I got a scythe a couple of years ago and used it occasionally. This year because of the ice storms and all the cleanup of downed trees that I had to do, the grass just got away from me. You can’t even begin to mow it. So I spend a half an hour or so a day scytheing small sections of grass that I then have to rake and carry away. It is extremely hard work as exhausting as running or swimming, and to think our ancestors had to have whole weeks to harvest grains and whole crews of scythers and people to bind the grains in shelves to dry and … The amount of labor involved boggles my mind.

              AJ

              Liked by 1 person

              1. Yes, and don’t forget storing loose hay in the barn rafters for the milk cow and horse.

                Then there’s thrashing the grain by hand, which I also did, using chuka sticks. And sifting the chaff in the wind. And storing the grain only to see it disappear to the rats and mice.

                Liked by 1 person

                1. I went full carnivore about two years ago. No veggies, fruit, nuts, grains or legumes. Just meat and water. It’s had the unintended consequence that I now am able to survive solely off what we produce off our small farm, a feat I never achieved before.

                  We have/had a great little set up. Lots of fruit trees. Big veggie patch. Nice hothouse. Gravity fed water. A permaculturist wet dream….. Despite this I was still largely dependent on food from the supermarket to feed myself. This is no longer the case. 99 percent of the food I eat I produce. Preparing the food I eat today is also a fraction of the work compared to how I used to eat. I get/got no joy out of turning over the ground to grow potatoes or carrots. I no longer do it. And my belly is full.

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                  1. Congratulations! You are the only person I’ve met that’s succeeded at 100% food self-sufficiency.

                    Do you have more than one species of livestock for resiliency and some variety in your diet?

                    Do you breed your own livestock?

                    How is your health?

                    What does a typical day of meals look like?

                    Would you like to write a guest essay explaining your path to food self-sufficiency?

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      2. I didn’t watch the video but we are implementing Syntropic Agroforestry here at our place and we did plant everything on the same day including potatoes (generally considered annuals), nut trees and shade loving species. We did a lot of study and planning prior. After just under 3 years our first 200m2 is going gang busters with very little loss from the initial plantings.

        Here’s a short video showing our friends 200m2 food forest over the first 2 years.

        Liked by 2 people

  2. There is a lot about our current predicament that is discussed here all the time but I have been thinking about another aspect of this. This site is dedicated to learn about the polycrisis and gain the information which may help in breaking through the barrier of denial of one is predisposed to breaking it that is. But is it morally right to alter someone’s reality in a way that may deprive them of the full palate of opportunities and options that life has to offer? Is it not better for a person to live in blissful ignorance and be happy?

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    1. It’s a good question. I think you’ve raised it before.

      For myself, and it seems for many other aware people, it’s impossible unsee what’s coming, all other issues seem insignificant, and many of us would like to find a way to make the future less bad so we think and talk about overshoot all the time.

      There are a few people, like Paul Chefurka, that walked away from discussing overshoot to just live.

      http://www.paulchefurka.ca/

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      1. I am familiar with Paul’s work but unfortunately I came across his work after he had stopped writing.

        I think after a point on this journey you can’t turn back and return to where you were. You are right when you say that everything becomes insignificant and in a way you end up becoming an outsider looking in from the periphery of humanity. It can be liberating in one way but also depressing in others depending on how you deal with it.

        If you could unsee what you know now would you take that option?

        Considering a situation that one is likely to encounter- if there is a person in their twenties or thirties planning to start a family should he/she be told the truth (assuming they are capable of breaking through denial) ? This could possibly deprive them of a chance to have kids. The argument for this would be to avoid bringing kids into a collapsing world. But the argument against this is that civilization still has a lot of energy left and with redistribution of energy for essential purposes and cutting out unnecessary consumption it might be possible to salvage parts of it maybe the best ones.

        I have a lot of friends in this exact situation and even though I have brought up the issue of overshoot in passing and they have denied it obviously I have not gone full Hideaway on them. There is no guarantee it will work but part of me is scared that it might.

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        1. To me.

          Recognition of overshoot is not the endpoint.

          Overshoot is only depressing because of our preconceived notions about almost everything (what life should be like, the advantage of modernity, the nature of suffering, the meaning of death)

          If our starting point were that Truth can not be depressing, then we would interrogate these preconceptions instead of wringing our hands about the state of the world.

          Go beyond the surface of despair and see what it hides for you.

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          1. I completely agree that truth is neither good nor bad just truth. But the lens that we use to see the truth is often colored by societal and cultural conditioning making it “good” or “bad”. I guess my lens are colored too to some extent which gives me guilt when considering breaking their hopes and dreams for the future.

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        2. If I could unsee it, would I?

          I don’t know, maybe, maybe not. I’ve never been a carefree super happy kind of person so it probably wouldn’t have changed me that much.

          I do think the human brain is one of the most amazing inventions of the universe and I like being in a tiny club that is capable of using it without a big chunk of reality being blocked.

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          1. Well I guess we all have front row seats to the greatest show in history of our planet thanks to the membership of this very exclusive club.

            In the end I think the quote on this site that says “Denial created us and denial will destroy us” will come true after all.

            Liked by 2 people

        3. If unseeing means I will become a flag waving, USA chanting jackass, then no way. If it means still having a brain and being able to see how corrupt everything is, then yes, I choose to unsee.

          My nephew and his fiancé are 21 and seriously thinking about kids. I have been warning them for a while not to. My family hates when I bring it up. Their sorry ass advice is always the same, “oh don’t listen to Chris, do whatever you want”.

          LOL. ‘Do whatever you want’. That seems to be the Empire Baby slogan. No problem at all with that kind of logic. 😊 

          If you know what’s going on in the world, I think having kids is as selfish as it gets. And if you don’t think anything is wrong in the world, then I very much question your parenting skills. 

          It’s a hot button issue for sure. I do backoff quite a bit though. And I try not to say anything specific like “dont have kids ever”. I just try to paint a picture to them involving overshoot, dwindling resources, and what an anomaly this current moment in time is compared to the rest of human history.  

          Liked by 1 person

          1. p.s. I hate when I sound like a know-it-all asshole. Easy for me to say “dont have kids” because I am in no position to right now. If I had a partner (that I loved) and she gave me an ultimatum of having a kid or she’s leaving me….. I bet I would cave in.

            Liked by 2 people

          2. Yes, it is a very sensitive topic as it is as personal as it gets. It’s true that even without overshoot there are many reasons to reconsider having kids like pollution loading, micoplastics, increasing risk of nuclear war among others.

            It is also a wise approach to slowly nudge someone in this direction instead of throwing them in the deep end. They must connect the dots themselves organically for the idea to stick.

            Liked by 1 person

        4. We have 3 children well into their 30’s, none have children nor plan to.

          Probably the questions of the day Kira…

          “But is it morally right to alter someone’s reality in a way that may deprive them of the full palate of opportunities and options that life has to offer?

          Is it not better for a person to live in blissful ignorance and be happy?”

          How can telling people the reality of the situation of modern civilization be a bad thing. Surely we believe other people have a thinking capable mind just like us and are able to make their own decisions?

          I’ve never, ever been into with holding information, it seems to be one of the biggest weaknesses of humans. As I picked up from Charles, truth is just, what is.

          Plus don’t we all agree that one of the largest problems is the sheer overshoot in number of humans on the planet, so if population reduction is good enough for other people it’s good enough for us as well, no matter how inconvenient (my wife has always wanted grand children, but the kids clearly state “Dad did a Hideaway on us).

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          1. Yes, I agree: at some point, we (are supposed to) become adults. Trying to understand the world, is part of this process. To me, seeing, understanding, knowing a bit more should not be a bad thing.

            At the same time, there is a difference between the position of the person who is looking for truth, expanding, the person who is imposing his truth on others (for some internal reason) and the one who is gently sharing hard-acquired understanding (out of compassion).

            So, when telling, I found out (late) that I have to take the other into consideration. There should be a concept of “truth micro-dosing”. And there is a (for some, long and slow) ladder of realisations.

            So, it’s all rather an invitation to shed light onto a particular aspect of reality, from a particular angle. And it’s great when it is reciprocal (the ability to exchange sound yet seemingly opposite viewpoints). Sincerity matters.

            More fundamentally, I find we tend to easily forget, that none of what is being expressed through words is necessarily not the Truth: it’s a greatly simplified and distorted mirror image of Truth, carved in the fabric of Truth itself 🙂

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          2. You are right, it’s definitely not a bad thing to tell people about the reality of the situation but I only found out about the truth a few years before COVID and it took me years to overcome my own denial and accept the truth. The issue I faced until recently was that I lacked the confidence regarding the path civilization will take to its inevitable demise. Will it be a slow burn out lasting into second half of this century or things unravel quickly within next decade or two?

            I know it makes no difference whatsoever to the situation but it made a huge difference to me personally. If I was going to tell my friend that having a kid was a bad idea and by the time that kid is in his 20s or 30s he could be dead or fighting for his life in a brutal terrifying world I needed some degree of confidence. After all it’s not a small decision and if things would be fine till the end of century then I guess he could take a chance.

            I agree that Population reduction is truly a noble goal but most people are not driven by such altruistic motivations and only act for themselves or people they care about.

            Actually your exchanges on POB have given me a lot of clarity. The level of detail that you put in your comments is astounding. I knew that there are various feedback loops but I never could have imagined this level of complexity. Now I am more and more convinced that things will unravel sooner than later.

            From your comments I am also convinced that this planet was capable of producing only one technologically advanced civilization with access to every element on the periodic table with all three fossil fuels and we are that civilization. Truly tragic that this is how we go down.

            Liked by 1 person

            1. Kira’s last paragraph is so true for me too. And makes it easier to see how universally rare it probably is to actually get to the “Peak of whats possible”. 

              Charles’s truth micro-dosing concept appeals to me very much.

              And Hide’s funny line about “Dad did a Hideaway on us” instantly made me think of this corny 80’s PSA. Just replace “drugs” with “collapse” and this commercial is a perfect representation of the Hideaway household. 😊

              “Parents who are into collapse have children who are into collapse” 

              PSA – I learned It By Watching You! – YouTube

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        5. Hello Kira,

          Hope you and your family are well. It’s nice to hear from you again here and thank you for bringing up this thoughtful concern with empathy and sensitivity. My husband and I are of at least a generation older than you and we have experienced a similar situation as you are perhaps facing now. We passed through our childbearing years with others questioning our decision to not procreate and at the same time, befriended many who had young children or started families. Of course this was 25 or more years ago and although the signs of a collapsing world were still there, you had to look just a bit harder to find them and we certainly were not fully collapse aware then. For most it was a blooming time with the economy, technology, freedom of expression and opportunities for growth in every domain all seemingly without limits.

          For many reasons we decided that having children was not the path for us and I can say from our experience that once that decision was made, no counterargument would have changed our minds (and some of the reasons we received from well-meaning others were so far from reality and justification as to be incredulous, at least to us). We politely listened and gave our most socially acceptable reasons for our decision (as it seemed pointless to explain further without possibly offending) but every comment to us seemed to only solidify and even prove our reasons not to have children. So it’s just the same as what a couple who have decided to have children would probably feel to hear someone try to suggest that now is probably not the right time to bring a dependent life into the world. While in our case we went against evolutionary pressures and a natural biological urge, most people who want children are just following the most fundamental drive of life and that is the most protected of all.

          I completely understand how difficult, if not impossible, it is to change other people’s minds if they are not already ready to change it themselves. It’s not just the denial factor but all our social conditioning that makes deep beliefs so ingrained and it often takes a significant event or emotional catalyst to draw them to the surface to be examined and re-organised. This is yet to happen to the empire majority in terms of overshoot awareness, as our lives have not yet been overturned beyond recognition or repair. Most childbearing aged citizens of empire just have no experience of what deprivation and disaster can be like; we can see that it happens to poor people in other countries but still we cannot have any direct experience of it. Because of this you should feel relatively confident that any pronouncements of collapse will not automatically cause anyone to feel as if their opportunities to have children are taken away, more than likely they will not even process the information much less be able to extrapolate what it will mean for their current lives. If you’re lucky, you’ll be regarded as a pessimistic, worrywart friend who means well, and on the other end of the spectrum you may be labelled as a full-blown doomer hiding some grievance and the friendship will be tested. It’s a difficult dilemma and I have learned (sometimes the hard way) to choose live and let live as my policy, mostly for the sake of preserving harmony and minimising emotional energy expended on both sides, especially at this late juncture.

          There’s another side to your hypothesis that I would like to bear mentioning. When one door closes (whether or not by choice), often another opens (also whether or not by choice). My husband and I have certainly found that the path not taken has allowed us a new opportunity to live in a different way that has brought us much happiness and fulfilment. Not having our own children has opened up a life that saw us as honorary uncle and auntie to many friends’ children and we have had the shared pride and joy in being part of their children’s growing up years and making a difference in their lives. Some of the time that would have been spent in family duties we used to pursue creative outlets including music and art, and also in our case, planting and tending hundreds of trees in two locales. My husband is a medical school lecturer and has had the opportunity to be part of thousands of youngster’s lives in their education, a privilege he has found very fulfilling. Even more so now, we find it to be a greater part of our mission in the time remaining to help as many young people as we can, knowing that one day, the land we have caretaken will hopefully sustain the generation courageous enough to forgive our trespasses after collapse. Our lives feel as complete as we know them to be, and there have been no regrets, only gratitude for the experiences. We are glad that others have found wholeness and contentment in their choices, and our lives intertwined have augmented the opportunities for joy for all of us.

          Sending you all our best wishes as you navigate wisely and compassionately through these unchartered waters along with your family and friends.

          Namaste.

          Liked by 1 person

          1. Hello Gaia,

            I am doing well and I hope you and your family are well too. It is always such a pleasure to read your comments. The fact that you were able to recognise the trajectory of our civilization 25 years ago during an age of optimism when human potential had no limitations shows how foresighted you were. My journey to awakening was only possible because of vast resources made available by people like Rob who have put in so much time and effort into educating people.

            When I shared my decision of not having kids it resulted in a lot of pushback from friends and relatives who simply could not comprehend why a person would choose to remain childless as opposed to medical difficulty in having kids. It truly is one of the most potent biological urges. The reasons were completely irrational (at least to me). I personally know people who have difficulty conceiving a child and are spending incredible amounts of money on treatment for the same.

            The social conditioning definitely adds another layer to the problem of denial as we have been conditioned repeatedly that only a child can make your life whole and bring meaning to it. I agree that the catalyst for change would have to be so earth shattering that it becomes impossible to deny which at least for people in the west is quite far away. There were times where I have entertained the idea of finding a remote area far from population in a sustainable commune and consider raising a child only to dismiss it and being surprised at how powerful the drive to have kids is.It is possible that civilization may limp on into the second half of this century but if it does not then my child may be in his 20s or 30s stuck in a collapsing state. I have read about failed states in Africa to know it is a horrifying prospect. If there is even a small chance of that then the right thing to do is not have a child. The thing is if people can see this then they will automatically hesitate to have kids. But most people still inhabit fantasy world created by silicon valley fools about A.I , fusion and singularity and think there has never been a better time to bring a child into the world so bringing them to our viewpoint is no easy task.

            I think I have come to appreciate Dr Murphy’s views on the role of human species and especially our place in the wider world. It certainly has opened a new path for me. The desire to have a child can be driven by yearning for family but what we don’t realise is that we have a family with millions of siblings born from the same mother as us. If only we stop seeing them as a resource to be exploited and pillaged they can bring us unparalleled joy and fulfillment. I am glad that you have lived such an amazing and fulfilling life which serves as an inspiration to me and everyone else reading your comments here.

            I hope you continue to inspire us with your experience and wisdom. Every comment of yours is always brimming with positivity which makes it such a joy to read. Wishing you all the very best.

            Namaste.

            Like

  3. More of the same from Tim Morgan but a nice ending paragraph.

    One of the first things that the aspiring motorist must learn is the difference between the functions of the brake and throttle pedals in a car. By this analogy, the responses of those driving the economy can be likened to pressing the accelerator hard to the metal as the wall of reality draws nearer.

    Like

  4. Welcome to our green new world.

    Good for a sardonic chuckle.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/seattle-thieves-targeting-ev-charging-stations-has-reached-epidemic-proportions

    Over the past 12 months, thieves in the Seattle metro area have stolen over 100 electric vehicle charging cables, driven mostly by soaring copper scrap prices. This is incredibly frustrating for EV owners who arrive at these charging stations only to find severed cords and unable to charge.

    In one year, Electrify America reported that 93 cables had been cut across its charging network in Washington.  

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Another good nostalgia piece. Some fan made the video using random old footage from 1977. Good song by itself but watching this always snaps me out of my hatred for humans.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Good video. The highly fragmented footage appears to be all USA stock. The young boy is British and taken from a 1969 movie Kes (DuckDuckGo).

      Like

        1. That nostalgia trip triggered a train of curiosity (is the boy still alive / who is he) and I found the following : the author of the novel that Kes is based on (a Kestrel for a Knave) was written by Barry Hines. The same author wrote the television film Threads, which depicts the impact of a nuclear war on the U.K. city of Sheffield.

          Barry Hines (1939 – 2016) is from South Yorkshire which triggers nostalgia for All Creatures Great and Small, Vera (TV detective) and Last of the Summer Wine.

          Time to watch some “Auf Wiedersehen, Pet” snd msybr some Wallace and Gromit.

          Liked by 1 person

  6. Theodore Postol is a good wise man, and represents the kind of American that the world once respected, and he knows a lot of stuff about nuclear weapons systems, intelligence agencies, and geopolitics.

    I enjoy listening to him explain what’s going on and the insanity of our western leaders.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Hideaway continues his long running experiment to demonstrate that MORT is probably true.

    https://peakoilbarrel.com/open-thread-non-petroleum-june-27-2024/#comment-777968

    OK, 5 times peak load and 50 hours of batteries at peak load. So lets do some calculations on the recent period where we had no wind and cloudy conditions under a high pressure system for a week in the state of Victoria Australia…

    Firstly because solar output was only 10% of capacity, and assuming the grid has 50% solar and 50% wind, the total solar installation would have been 21.25GW (5 times peak of 8.5GW = 42.5GW divided equally), and had an output of 2.5GW into a system using an average of 7GW or 168GWh/d. Being the depths of Winter there is only 6 hours at best of even this 25% of production.

    The batteries would be flat in 2.5 days, with no way to restart the system for the rest of the week, leaving consumers in the dark without heating and flat batteries in their EVs… So little is not going to work!!

    Batteries for 50 hours at 8.5GW = 425,GWh …. LOL do I need to go any further? At just $400/KWh installed this amount of batteries would cost $170B and last 10 years if lucky..
    As there are 2.1M customers on the grid, it would cost each customer an extra $8,095/yr just for the batteries, with ZERO allowance for any operating and maintenance costs.

    In addition the state has been using around 220,000TWh of gas recently (mostly heating), when industry has been asked to close because of gas shortages!! Plus the future would require EVs to also be added to load raising peak consumption and therefore just the battery cost by a massive amount…

    It’s not close to feasible!! Do you really think solar, wind and batteries are going to get cheaper as fossil fuel prices they rely upon to be made get more expensive, even when we had the example in 2021-2 of these renewables getting more expensive when fossil fuel prices rose?? (from IEA).

    Rethinkx calculations are in La La land of fairy tales. It doesn’t work in a state that has very little industry left as most of it’s been offshored. Imagine how much energy would be required if we had lots industry as well, and the shear disruptions every time there was a cloudy windless period…
    Here is an easy calculation to do… 5 times zero wind = 0, 10 times zero wind = 0.

    Simon Michaux’s numbers of weeks worth of batteries for taking excess in summer to winter is closer to reality of what’s needed, but battery costs would have to be only 2-5% of what they currently, which is never going to happen, because of the energy needed to mine all the materials!!

    https://peakoilbarrel.com/open-thread-non-petroleum-june-27-2024/#comment-777994

    Dennis, I’ve been through this in prior threads, the best renewable resource is sunshine in outback Queensland which is partly connected to the grid. The interstate connectors are 1GW here and 500MW in a couple of places, but South Australia also had a dearth of wind during this period.

    The cost of building enough transmission capacity for even 2000km would be immense, but it still wouldn’t have solved the night time problem…

    The govt, with all their expert consultants, is looking to increase wind energy if anything as they already have a problem of too much solar during the day in summer, so if the mix had been 60% wind, 40% solar, the problem would have been worse.

    The Kimberley coast 4,000 km away probably had a good wind resource at night during our renewable drought week, but it is a waste of resources to build enough power transmission for probably over 10-15GW (not just Victoria in renewable drought), for a small percentage of the time use.
    What guarantee is there that next renewable drought power would be produced in the right area to send this power across the continent?? None, zip, nada.

    The clearly biggest issue is the battery cost for just the 50 hours that would have been nowhere near adequate. Over $8,000 each per annum for EVERY customer, means not even close to possible.

    To realistically cover major outages that can hit every part of the grid, large transmission lines need to be built criss crossing the country with overbuilt renewables at all places, to provide power in others when necessary, plus lots of batteries. Most of the time most of the overbuild would sit idle, but still need to be replaced at 10 years for batteries, 20 years for wind turbines and 25 years for solar if lucky (based upon so much solar built 10-15 years ago having major issues and being replaced!!).

    Even those inadequate Rethinkx numbers, are way beyond what can be afforded by any grid, before we add a lot more current fossil fuel uses to the electricity grid (EVs household heating and cooking etc). The material requirement for it all is immense with most standing idle, most of the time but still suffering from entropy!!

    The other variable that no-one in the renewable industry has considered is the rapidly changing climate due to the burning of all the fossil fuels and land clearing etc across the world. Stronger storms more frequently are already starting to play havoc on renewable infrastructure, but the biggest impact will be on wind turbines in areas where the wind resource changes/lowers, or solar in an area that gets more cloudy throughout the year. These changes are chaotic and we are already seeing many instances of production well below predicted capacity factor.

    It’s not affordable unless the models include some fantastical improvements in costs, that is only backed up by making irrelevant assumptions like future price decreases will be just like the past, whereas those past cost reductions were all about getting to economies of scale, which we’ve reached.
    No credible source is forecasting cheaper materials as inputs as all the ore grades get lower. The input prices can only go one way when the mining, processing and manufacture all depend upon depleting fossil fuels.

    https://peakoilbarrel.com/short-term-energy-outlook-june-2024/#comment-777992

    Dennis … “Just because 100% of energy use is not currently from non-fossil fuel does not mean that it is impossible”

    It is impossible if you want a modern civilization and an environment that humans can survive and grow food in, plus a bit of the natural world still existing..

    When reading some of these so called scientific papers and their references, you can find beauties like admittance that mines are becoming more remote on average, but assumptions on energy use that the mines are connected to the grid.

    Or other gems like the fuel used in jets to fly workers to remote mines on a FIFO (Fly In Fly Out) takes zero fuel. Apparently getting workers to the mines is not an energy cost, neither is housing those workers or their training, nor the buildings and processing plants nor the trucks and excavators. They are all free of any energy use in their construction and maintenance, the only energy is the electricity used to operate them.

    Again an assumption seems to be only counting the ore movements, crushing grinding then processing, yet EVERY mine needs to blast and remove waste rock, taken to a waste dump. According to these types of studies this waste just magics out of the pit, because there is again ZERO energy used when working out the energy intensity numbers.. The waste rock removal is often multiple times the size and weight of the ore.

    Again GIGO that sets parameters to come up with nice viable numbers that look good, instead of looking at reality. Hence they were able to come up with an energy use of mining of and I quote …” Such share has increased from around 1.1% in 1970 to around 1.7% in 2015″.
    Some other quotes of assumptions made…
    “we assumed electricity to be from national grids”
    “Only ongoing operations are included. Exploration and development are not taken into account, nor is the infrastructure (facilities, trucks, etc.) as they are assumed to be negligible compared to the operation of the mine. Further, it is assumed, that the whole process chain takes place nearby. Therefore, no transport of intermediate products was included.”

    Mining uses so little energy that it is obviously no concern whatsoever if you believe such garbage, which you must, as you directed me to it…

    They did get one bit correct, obviously well hidden in the document, not in the headlines…”For minerals affected by mineral depletion, energy intensities are likely to carry on increasing”.

    In their conclusion, after leaving out most of the energy used in mining, they state…

    “We find that the mining industry is currently responsible for a small, and yet significant, share of global final energy consumption – approximatively 1.7%. However, such a share is likely to increase considerably in the future as a result of a substantial increase in the mining industry’s final energy consumption if current trends continue (i.e. high economic growth alongside a high material-GDP coupling), until reaching a value in the range 4–12% of forecasted global final energy consumption for the socioeconomic scenarios adopted in this study.”

    If they had included all energy used in mining, not their boundary assumptions, the initial and final numbers would be multiples of what they concluded.

    It’s because of this type of garbage, that people like yourself believe in it, is why the world is in so much trouble, hidden in plain site, because you refuse to do the calculations yourself from information gathered in real world examples..

    If you include stupid boundaries that have no relationship to the real world, of course a paper will get the ‘correct answer’, that makes materials an non issue. It’s no different to all the EROEI type studies on renewables you point to.

    At least they did acknowledge this, which is why we always need to do mining ….
    ” Indeed, some metals are consumed in multiple dispersive uses (Vidal et al., 2021), for which recycling is either altogether impossible, or is currently not achievable, and are hence “lost by design” (Ciacci et al., 2015).13″

    Liked by 1 person

  8. Nothing important to say, I just need to vent a little. The 4th of July always makes me sick. Been that way since I learned to hate my country. And I despise fireworks because they scare the shit out of the animals (but I do enjoy the next days news about all the fires they caused. Can you believe it? 115F all week yet fireworks are very popular in my desert state). Most people have a 4-day weekend, so everyone is at home maxing out their A/C all day and night. I’ll be holding my breath that the power grid holds. 

    Was thinking about timeframes. USA’s birthday today, 248 years old. Been a while since I read Tainter’s Collapse book or watched Dowd cover it, but its something like every civilization since agriculture (I think hundreds) has hit full collapse within 225-300 years with only a few exceptions. The guarantee of it all is impressive.  

    Back in the olden days when I used to focus too much on skin color 😊, one of my favorite lines to try and make people mad was that the Native Americans lived on this land for 18,000 years (although some sources show 30k-40k) and white man, the so called civilized one, won’t even make it 500 on the same land. (year 1607 the starting point, first successful settlement by the English)

    But I finally get it now with MPP and Energy. Still can’t explain it very good. Seven months ago I was a full-on Quinn sustainable culture disciple with a heavy dose of white skin blame. I even understand now that my precious Native Americans would have eventually fallen into the same traps as the Old World. A lot has changed for me in a short time.

    One thing that hasn’t changed is MORT. Collapse is that dam breach video above from el mar. A ticking time bomb any day now (or decade, but my god, I learned about overshoot way too early if that’s the case!). And MORT is the reason why only a very small portion of the population understand collapse. MORT is also the reason why only a very tiny few within that small portion understands why it’s such a small portion to begin with.  

    Done with emails to my inner circle. Done with trying to come up with the perfect path to get people overshoot aware. I still try to recruit others to this site, but mainly for selfish reasons like having more content. But I’m sure I’ll be done with that soon. And not in a depressed, giving up kind of way. Just a different way of seeing things. Dowd would probably say it’s one step closer to True Acceptance. 

    Or maybe it’s all just a temporary haze from this disgusting USA holiday. The fireworks started last night. The dipshits are always a day or two early.    

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