By Gail Zawacki: A Fine Frenzy (trees and ozone)

I just finished reading this superb essay by Gail Zawacki.

Ground level ozone, and its impact on trees, may be the most important ecological problem no one has heard of, myself included. It is particularly worrisome because planting trees, in addition to shrinking our lifestyles, may be the only effective means of making climate change less bad.

http://witsendnj.blogspot.ca/2014/07/a-fine-frenzy-universal-dance-of.html

Gail has also written a book on the demise of trees that you can download for free here:

http://witsendnj.blogspot.ca/p/pillage-plunder-pollute-llc.html

 

By Dave Cohen: Adventures in Flatland

This three part series titled “Adventures in Flatland” by Dave Cohen is a must read for anyone seeking to understand our predicament.

http://www.declineoftheempire.com/…/adventures-in-flatland.…

http://www.declineoftheempire.com/…/adventures-in-flatland-…

By David Roberts: The Awful Truth About Climate Change No One Wants to Admit

There has always been an odd tenor to discussions among climate scientists, policy wonks, and politicians, a passive-aggressive quality, and I think it can be traced to the fact that everyone involved has to dance around the obvious truth, at risk of losing their status and influence.

The obvious truth about global warming is this: barring miracles, humanity is in for some awful shit.

http://www.vox.com/2015/5/15/8612113/truth-climate-change

By Tim Garrett: Thermodynamics of the Economy (interviews and papers)

Tim Garrett

Tim Garrett is the most important and least recognized physicist on the planet because he discovered a theory that explains and quantifies the relationship between wealth and energy consumption.

Here is Garrett’s home page with links to his papers:

http://www.inscc.utah.edu/~tgarrett/Economics/Economics.html

Here is a wikipedia page that explains his theory:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Garrett_relation

Here is a new interview with Tim Garrett:

http://www.ecoshock.org/2015/05/fires-raise-chernobyl-radiation-again.html

I’ve listened to Garrett’s previous interviews many times and never tire of them because there are so many difficult and important concepts to absorb.

http://www.ecoshock.org/2014/07/the-big-picture-like-it-or-not.html

http://www.ecoshock.org/2010/11/atmosphere-of-crisis.html

https://archive.org/details/IsClimateChangeUnstoppable

Here is a list of Garrett’s work compiled by Frank White:

https://citizenactionmonitor.wordpress.com/civilization-economic-collapse-links-to-all-posts-by-or-about-dr-tim-garretts-research/

Here is an August 2020 paper co-authored with Steve Keen:

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0237672

By Dana Meadows: On Sustainable Systems

I recently re-watched this old lecture by Donella (Dana) Meadows. It is really good.

The date of the lecture is uncertain but I suspect about 2000 since she passed away in 2001.

We need more system thinkers like Dana Meadows.

Part 1 of 4

Part 2 of 4

Part 3 of 4

Part 4 of 4

By Steve Ludlum: Fantasy Islanders

“Nobody will admit that Europe is undone by peak oil, nobody will even discuss it or entertain the possibility! This isn’t economists in 2004 missing a prediction about what might happen in 2008. This is an entire army of exceptionally well-paid, over-educated analysts, policy makers, business leaders, economists, university professors, pundits, finance- and energy bloggers, fiction writers, poets and bass fishermen not seeing what is taking place right under their noses!

Welcome to Fantasy Island …”

http://www.economic-undertow.com/2015/04/26/fantasy-islanders/

And later in the comment section, Steve made this insightful comment:

“The current industrial regime is certainly non-remunerative as it is too effectively extractive. We get the excessive output we want now at the expense of the future. What the future arrives, all else being equal, there are massive throughput channels but output is a trickle – plus a lot of head scratching as to why.70% (roughly) of oil use is for personal transport, the rest is largely commercial transport (much of which is redundant or unnecessary) and chemical feedstocks including material required for pesticide production.

Big problem in food production is the asymmetric nature of the enterprise itself: it takes generations to learn how to farm a particular piece of land but two failed crops in a row will do in the farmer. Fast forward to 2015+ there is the climate curveball: how many more generations will it take to learn to farm? Is learning possible, can any farmer produce two crops in a row?

Fossil-fuel farming does work and it allows for a ‘one size fits all’ approach to all kinds of croplands. We can theoretically maintain the current regime for a few generations or so … to allow farmers to learn how to produce without petro-chemical inputs. Sadly, it is more likely that the military and motorists will fight over what remains of our fuel, crashing the current regime, leaving a lot to go hungry.”

By David Spratt: The Best Case is Pretty Bad

Given that most climate change predictions made to date have turned out worse than expected, I think it’s safe to say that the best case is several meters of sea level rise within 40 years.

I live on a beautiful beach.  My children probably won’t.

http://www.climatecodered.org/2015/05/hansen-says-its-crazy-to-think-that-2.html