
Art Berman today responded to the many critics that piled on him after his last essay in which he reversed his prior warnings about oil depletion by doubling down.
https://www.artberman.com/blog/peak-oil-requiem-for-a-failed-paradigm/
Peak Oil: Requiem for a Failed Paradigm
Technology, capital, and price—not just geology—now dictate oil supply. The 2005-2014 price boom unlocked more oil than anyone expected. Today, financial markets and geopolitics—not depletion—drive the oil game.
Shale changed everything, unleashing a massive new supply. Peak Oil still pretends it doesn’t exist—won’t even put it on a chart. That’s why it’s a dying paradigm. It had its moment and reshaped my world view in important ways. May it rest in peace.
If you listen to the Art Berman that existed a year ago, and compare him to today’s Art Berman, and observe he did not correct or retract any of his prior analysis, you have to conclude that some powerful force is in play, like perhaps mRNA transfection brain damage, or grandchildren induced MORT.
I love this essay by Jeffrey Tucker. A new political movement has coalesced to shine light on many evils including what our governments did to us during covid. No one has been held to account for many millions killed and injured. That needs to change.
https://brownstone.org/articles/the-most-dramatic-narrative-shift-in-modern-history/
LikeLike
New presentation by Dr. William E. Rees. He confirms he no longer has any hope.
I only skimmed it because in the last presentation I saw Rees disclosed he was in favor of transfecting billions of people with mRNA and considered anyone opposed to mRNA transfections an idiot.
LikeLiked by 1 person
William Rees probably considers those opposed to mRNA transfections to be idiots because most (but not all) of them are climate change deniers.
LikeLike
Listened to this while I pruned more apple trees.
It was good. No mention of shots. He hit all the points he usually does. Did mention that he just read the latest Hanson report on climate change and understands that we now face predicaments and not problems with solutions. He also seemed to disagree with Art and thinks Art is looking at Peak Oil from a financial perspective and not from a collapse of everything perspective.
He did comment that Trump has taken down the posting of temps/CO2 from Mauna Loa. I get it that he thinks Trump is a idiot (I do too, but I sure couldn’t vote for Kamala). I understand that the usual Trump voter thinks that climate change is a hoax because they see the hypocrisy of the elites jetting all over telling everyone else how terrible CO2 is. I only respect those who at least try to limit their emissions (and sadly Al Gore became the poster child of hypocrisy with his lifestyle).
AJ
LikeLiked by 3 people
Thanks. I’m with Joe Rogan that anyone that does not publicly confess their covid errors should be shunned. There must be consequences for a crime of this magnitude.
LikeLike
I voted for Kamala simply because I view her as the lesser of two evils.
LikeLike
I just watched that video. Rees is always good, and this was a pretty typical presentation of his. But the subject that I’m now obsessed with is never even mentioned by William. It’s starting to become (for me at least) ridiculous to see someone this aware of our predicament, yet so completely blind to fire.
And just like most of his work, this presentation dives a little bit into how agriculture and fossil fuels were huge mistakes (or how they made huge problems down the road). But he always stops at agriculture (just like everyone else who has the disease of fire blindness). So bizarre how the only thing that enabled a species to make those huge mistakes… is completely ignored. There was even a funny line by Rees where he says something like “we humans are the only species to have ever done this” (can’t remember if he was talking about agr or ff’s, but how the hell can he not use that same simple logic to connect the dots back to fire?)
Bill spends some time on the evolution of human brains… thought for sure he was gonna at least mention the almighty “F” word here… kind of a big deal when it comes to the evolution of human brains😊. But no mention whatsoever. His last slide where he talks about the importance of accepting reality and knowing ourselves… well, c’mon Bill, practice what you preach and start accepting the reality that you need to go further back with your story… in order to truly know ourselves.
This kind of ties into that Paul Chefurka article that I posted a couple weeks ago where I was impressed with Paul’s emphasis on fire:
That article sent me on a mission to see what else Chefurka had to say about fire. He has way too much content for me to check everything. I was just doing a control + Fkey search for fire, carbon, and CO2. Probably went through 200 articles. And it took extra-long because I stopped to read a bunch of his articles along the way because Paul is such a damn good writer. He has tons of info about thermodynamics and the MPP… but nothing meaningful about fire anywhere. I just don’t know how he could say what he said in that article and not have more interest/curiosity about the subject.
Well, actually I think I do know how. The same reason Rees can’t even acknowledge it… Denial, of course. Accepting fire as the bad guy is a tough red pill to swallow. Just speaking from my own experience now… Your worldviews will most likely change drastically. Instead of seeing hunter/gatherers (and the big chunk of time where everything basically stayed the same) as the pinnacle of humanity… you start to see it more as a waiting game… waiting for the fruits of one million years’ worth of fire use to catch up with that species and give them the superpowers required to carry out a self-induced mass extinction.
Any other planet that has witnessed full consciousness will look exactly like Earth… meaning only one species has a monopoly on the ecological destruction… with zero competition. I seriously doubt there is anywhere in the universe that has multiple species with full consciousness, simultaneously. The group that gets there first, will always crush any other fire experimenting species long before they were able to get close to full consciousness.
And then connecting it all with the MPP… and how all life, if capable, would be going down our same road, just following their programmed instructions… kind of like, if human life is just mimicking what the rest of life is doing (with the added bonus of full consciousness provided by fire) then maybe it’s not just humans that suck… It’s life that sucks.
For those that choose to see life as a gift/miracle and something to be in awe of… I’m very jealous😊. But I also think that kind of logic is the same logic used by people who choose to believe that technology and human ingenuity will save us… or choose to believe some god and the afterlife will save us. Just another sneaky way we fool ourselves into believing everything is ok. Same old story ever since sapiens were thrust into the nightmare of full consciousness 100-200kya. Desperately assigning meaning to anything and everything, every step of the way… to distract from the bleakness of it all.
So ya, I can understand how Chefurka could see how “easy and obvious” it was that fire is where it all went wrong yet couldn’t bring himself to explore where that road leads to. Ditto for Bill’s blindness. It’s just too scary, I guess.
LikeLiked by 1 person
You’ve found your passion. That’s good. Most people don’t have one.
Little awareness of the importance of fire might be denial, or it could simply be that fish don’t see the water they swim in.
I attribute the same effect to denial and our strange tendency to believe in gods. For me these are super interesting unique behaviors of our species. Most other people are not interested, maybe because god and denial are everywhere, like water to fish.
LikeLiked by 1 person
https://indi.ca/monkeying-around/
LikeLiked by 1 person
Fascinating to watch DOGE uncover huge funds that were diverted from many sources to support illegal immigrants, and the lies that were told to deny this.
What force could be powerful enough to explain this?
How about the bureaucrats deciding that a rapid increase in population was the only way to keep growth going to avoid an economic collapse?
Which means Trump’s policies may trigger a depression and one wonders how he might respond to this?
Buckle up.
LikeLiked by 1 person
This seems to be an interesting person to follow for DOGE corruption analysis. I think he’s a young programmer adept at sleuthing big volumes of data. I think he’s also reconstructing the history of science truth corruption by Wikipedia during covid whom I will never forgive nor ever donate to again.
https://twitter.com/DataRepublican/status/1889172190282821690
LikeLike
LikeLiked by 1 person
LikeLiked by 2 people
I was put to the test this past weekend. I hung out with normies. The idiocracy and reliance on technology was in full force. Never seen anything like it. The place I stayed was in an upscale neighborhood (just think yuppies and WASP’s). The goddamn house was controlled by Alexa. I couldn’t make a move without asking her permission. Lights, tv, music, air/heating, stove/oven… if you’re a luddite like me, then you might think I’m exaggerating here. No, the whole house was run by Alexa. First time I had ever seen this technology and the worst part for me was the endless questions being asked (usually pop culture related). “Alexa, what year is this movie from”. “Alexa, what other songs did this singer have”… I probably heard one thousand of these mindless trivial questions this weekend… it was a nightmare.
I had more fun when we were away from the house. Dinner, drinking, dancing, meeting new people… stuff I just don’t do anymore. I was able to blend in for the most part. Tried hard to avoid going toobin’. I’m the only doomer of my friends so they like to tease or genuinely engage. Going toobin’ refers to senator Ted Stevens a while back trying to define the internet (series of tubes) and his delivery was so incomprehensible that he became a joke:
It’s very easy to go toobin’ when you start preaching collapse/overshoot to the sheep. I’ve done it many times. And I’m still guilty of it because it happened over the weekend a couple of times. So much easier to talk about it when you have time to think and write what you want to say. LOL. But I did have a couple conversations where I didn’t look like a complete jackass clone of Ted Stevens. And overall, I saw a pattern emerging… the normies don’t believe anything science related. Archaeology, anthropology, any type of dating (carbon, potassium-argon, uranium-lead), etc… nothing. When it comes to evidence or facts, they’re full-on atheists. I wised up after a while and just refused to engage in any doomerism talk.
And like I said, I blended in pretty well, but by sunday morning I was ready to GTFO of dodge. I would not make that trip again… ever! And if you asked the couple I was staying with, I’m sure they would also prefer I never make the trip again. I had a good attitude going in, but by the end my hatred for humans had gone up a notch or two.
ps. I totally agree with Gaia’s line above about: “I have been lapping up your and Hideaway’s summation of the Predicament”… ya, that was some good stuff. I need to reread it a couple more times.
LikeLiked by 3 people
Good story.
I almost never discuss anything meaningful with anyone now. No one wants to hear reality. And I’d rather not see the depth of ignorance in their responses. Much easier to stay friends if you stay superficial about everything. In fact, in the winter I rarely discuss anything with anyone as I can go a couple weeks without saying a word to anyone. Probably not healthy but it is what it is.
LikeLiked by 3 people
Thanks. Ya, you have it correct. About a year ago, after mentioning some bad feedback I got from one of my collapse sermon emails to my inner circle, you gave me pretty much the exact same advice.
I’ve always been able to bullshit my way through anything. Faking it’s easy and pretty much autopilot for a good salesman. But I’ve been out of the sales world for a few years now (thank god!) … can’t fake it anymore. Was ready to drive home (4-hour trip) after the first night but sucked it up and stayed.😠
Might not leave home base ever again. Waiting out the collapse in my perfect little world sounds much better than being on vacation when the EMP hits.
LikeLiked by 4 people
Sarah Connor today wrote a good summary of James Hansen’s latest work. It feels like this one was written by her and not an AI.
Notice that climate scientists have again been proven to be too optimistic (which is a euphemism for unpleasant reality denial).
All of their forecasts since I started paying attention 20 years ago have been wrong in the wrong direction.
https://www.collapse2050.com/its-worse-much-worse/
LikeLiked by 2 people
Estimates 40% of that article is AI. Maybe she knows we are on to her LOL
LikeLike
Only 40%! Not bad, LOL. Much better than the 90% she’s been using lately. Ya, I think your right, she knows the pit bulls over here are onto her. This is the comment I’m gonna drop on her site if I ever feel like outing her:
Sorry Sarah, but it must be said… Please stop using performance enhancing drugs. Your essay’s used to have emotion and heart. Nowadays, they read like encyclopedias. AI is not helpful for collapse writers, I promise. Go back and read your older work. It’s really good… My purpose for this intervention is to get you back to that level again… clean and sober😊 (and for the record, pretty much all drugs are ok in my book, just not AI… heck, I’d rather see you full-on plagiarizing than using the devil’s tools)
LikeLiked by 2 people
Man, I love your sense of humour!
LikeLiked by 1 person
LikeLike
Tom Murphy’s keeping it simple today. He’s just analyzing the lyrics to a song he recently heard for the first time. I like this post because I’m a big fan of the song. Nothing But Flowers | Do the Math
My favorite lyric:
LikeLiked by 1 person
One of my favorite songs from that era. Fun fact- We’ve planted hundreds of hazelnut and chestnut trees here on our little farm, as well as raspberries and Juneberries. Quite good fare, actually.
LikeLiked by 1 person
The farm I assist has hazelnuts too. This year I modified an old clothes dryer by disconnecting the heating element so we could tumble the hazelnuts with air flow to dry and clean them.
LikeLiked by 1 person
There’s so much going on it’s hard to decide what’s important.
I’m thinking today’s Gaza events are what we should be paying attention to. The US brokered a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel. Today Trump decided to break his own agreement and demand all hostages be released by noon Saturday or genocide will resume.
Everyone now knows the US cannot be trusted and will use its power to support Israel regardless of agreements or international will or law.
Col. Douglas Macgregor thinks this will spark a middle east war in March and this will send oil to $100 and crash the stock market thus negating the progress being made at rooting out corruption and waste.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Thanks to MORT, informing people will make no difference.
https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/02/should-people-be-told.html
LikeLike
https://www.artberman.com/blog/what-will-energy-dominance-be-used-for/
LikeLike
Oilman Mike Shellman politely pokes a hole in Art Berman’s balloon…
https://www.oilystuff.com/forumstuff/forum-stuff/shale-oil-keeps-growing-on-trees
LikeLiked by 3 people
xraymike79 is a top-tier overshoot writer. He’s running a series of posts on what looks like a dystopian fiction novel he’s written. I don’t read much fiction, if you think it’s good, please let others know.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Thanks. All three were great and left me wanting more. His writing skills are top notch.
But his website sucks… not the content, just the layout. My computer always freezes up multiple times when I visit over there. Hey xraymike, fix that. Too much stuff going on. Maybe get rid of some of the side banner action.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Dr. Sabine Hossenfelder explains there may be a safe cheap way to use an atomic bomb to fix climate change, however there are a few issues that need to be addressed first, such as relocating the fish.
The idea is to detonate a huge bomb under the ocean near a basalt formation to crush the rock which will then be distributed by the ocean to absorb CO2.
LikeLike
I like Sabine but she is too energy blind.
LikeLike
Yes, completely blind to energy and overshoot.
Which is remarkable given that she is a brilliant physicist, and energy is core to her 10ish years of university education.
Hossenfelder is yet another case study of why I think MORT is so important for explaining the strange behavior of our species.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Definitely. Hope springs eternal.
LikeLike
Radagast today with more evidence that the engineered covid virus + mRNA transfections have damaged immune systems, and an explanation for why this is happening that is above my pay grade. Maybe Dr. Gaia or someone else can translate this for us peasants.
I find it remarkable that some random guy with a blog has to step up to explain what is going on and my health minister, that we pay to do this, is silent. Time for DOGE Canada.
https://www.rintrah.nl/we-have-a-big-problem/
LikeLike
Looks like RFK is going to be confirmed tomorrow:
RFK Jr.’s Health Secretary Confirmation Live Updates: Senate Advances Nomination—All GOP Senators Vote ‘Yes’
The Senate cleared a procedural hurdle Wednesday to approve Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Health and Human Services secretary—inching one of President Donald Trump’s most controversial Cabinet picks closer to confirmation after he won over some skeptical senators wary of his vaccine views.
RFK Health Hearing in Washington DC
Feb. 12 The Senate voted 53-47, along party lines, to invoke cloture and end debate on Kennedy’s nomination, teeing him up for a final vote Thursday (though some of the GOP senators who advanced the nomination could still vote no).
https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2025/02/12/rfk-jrs-health-secretary-confirmation-live-updates-senate-advances-nomination-all-gop-senators-vote-yes/
LikeLike
Thanks, one of the few rays of hope in the news today.
RFK Jr. understands the crimes.
RFK Jr. knows who the criminals are.
RFK Jr. is strong.
RFK Jr. is a good man.
LikeLiked by 1 person