By Art Berman: Stop Expecting Oil and the Economy to Recover

This recent essay by Art Berman may be the best historical analysis of oil and its relationship with the economy I’ve read. Here is my simplified summary of Berman’s analysis: both supply and demand for oil have recently fallen oil demand has fallen more than oil supply this despite an all-time record amount of … Continue reading “By Art Berman: Stop Expecting Oil and the Economy to Recover”

What a relief, I was wrong, we’ll be ok…

I just listened to Michael Shermer’s interview of Michael Shellenberger on his new book Apocalypse Never. Here is the publisher’s summary of the book: Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All Michael Shellenberger has been fighting for a greener planet for decades. He helped save the world’s last unprotected redwoods. He co-created the … Continue reading “What a relief, I was wrong, we’ll be ok…”

By Tad Patzek: On Human Overshoot

Tad Patzek, a professor of petroleum engineering and physicist, gave a talk on January 16, 2019 at the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) in Saudi Arabia. His talk is titled “How Can We Salvage Our Global Civilization?” however Patzek does not answer his own question. Instead he reviews the brief history of … Continue reading “By Tad Patzek: On Human Overshoot”

On Famous Polymaths

There are two and only two topics required to understand the basis of every success and problem in our civilization: thermodynamics and genetic behavior. By thermodynamics I mean: the laws of thermodynamics that govern our universe the relationships between energy, economy, wealth, population, and pollution the relationship between debt and surplus energy the maximum power … Continue reading “On Famous Polymaths”

On Burning Carbon: The Case for Renaming GDP to GDB

Following is a single sentence description of our predicament that includes a simple proposal for how we might increase awareness and shift behavior in a positive direction. Given near perfect historic correlation, and sound physics to expect causation, between energy consumption and wealth, more specifically US$1 (1990) = 10 mW; and given over 85% of … Continue reading “On Burning Carbon: The Case for Renaming GDP to GDB”

By Tim Morgan: Death of a High-Fashion Model (aka Sustainable Development) Tim Morgan proves here that sustainable development is a myth, and that economic growth is incompatible with addressing climate change. This means that all of our international climate change agreements are pure nonsense and nothing more than vehicles to help us deny reality. Nate Hagens, another person I respect, states this reality as: There is … Continue reading “By Tim Morgan: Death of a High-Fashion Model (aka Sustainable Development)”


Start Here Welcome un-Denial Manifesto: Energy and Denial Why my interest in denial? Denial Theory (video version) Denial Theory (short version) By Alex Smith: Radio Ecoshock interview with Ajit Varki Darwin & Varki On Burning Carbon: The Case for Renaming GDP to GDB You know you are in trouble when… What would a wise society … Continue reading “Favorites”


Ajit Varki and Danny Brower What fascinates me most about our predicament is that we do not acknowledge or discuss it, let alone plan or act appropriately. Ajit Varki and Danny Brower have proposed a theory that explains the existence and uniqueness of humans, and their denial of reality. I’m a huge fan and frequently … Continue reading “Acknowledgments”

Cognitive Dissonance Everywhere

Had lunch today with a successful small-scale farmer specializing in producing healthy meat. He seemed oblivious to problems we face. He said peak oil had been proven wrong and that the new fracking technologies were going to make the US an energy exporter. He seemed an intelligent person, yet believed strongly in something for which he … Continue reading “Cognitive Dissonance Everywhere”

By James Hansen: March 2017 Address to Young People

James Hansen is a great man. In this wide-ranging talk he addresses young people saying they need to lead a peaceful revolution to create a new political party that will support science and reason, a carbon tax, and renewed investment in nuclear energy. He argues that we are at a historic low point of leadership. … Continue reading “By James Hansen: March 2017 Address to Young People”