By Jack Alpert: Why a One Child Policy is Not Sufficient Jack Alpert here explains that a one-child policy will not reduce our population fast enough to avoid the starvation of over 8 billion people this century. Our survival is totally dependent on rapidly depleting non-renewable resources, especially oil and other fossil energy, but also aquifer water, and minerals. Our survival also depends on … Continue reading “By Jack Alpert: Why a One Child Policy is Not Sufficient”

By Jack Alpert: On Sustainability (without the bullshit)

Sustainability is perhaps the most misused and misunderstood word in the human vocabulary. Most people who advocate sustainability have good intentions but no idea what they’re talking about. Jack Alpert is an exception. He’s spent a lifetime thinking about the human overshoot predicament and what we could and must do for our species to continue … Continue reading “By Jack Alpert: On Sustainability (without the bullshit)”

By Jack Alpert: Unwinding the Human Predicament

I’ve been following Jack Alpert for many years. He’s an intelligent clear thinking engineer that was apparently born without any denial of reality genes. I’ve posted other work by Alpert here, here, and here. Alpert’s devoted much of his life to diagnosing and prescribing remedies for the human overshoot predicament. This interview by James Howard Kunstler … Continue reading “By Jack Alpert: Unwinding the Human Predicament”

By Jack Alpert: How Much Degrowth is Enough?

This analysis by Jack Alpert of what is a sustainable long-term population uses a different approach to that discussed by Paul Chefurka here. The two independent calculations arrive at roughly the same number of less than 100 million meaning we need more than a 98% population reduction to be sustainable.

By Jack Alpert: Sustainable Civilization Analysis

Jack Alpert released a new video. He’s one of the few not in denial. The word “sustainable” is overused and misused. This video provides some insight into what true sustainability means. A sustainable world is a much different world than we live in, and much less abundant than most people imagine. Notice the low YouTube … Continue reading “By Jack Alpert: Sustainable Civilization Analysis”

By Tad Patzek: On Human Overshoot

Tad Patzek, a professor of petroleum engineering and physicist, gave a talk on January 16, 2019 at the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) in Saudi Arabia. His talk is titled “How Can We Salvage Our Global Civilization?” however Patzek does not answer his own question. Instead he reviews the brief history of … Continue reading “By Tad Patzek: On Human Overshoot”

On Famous Polymaths

There are two and only two topics required to understand the basis of every success and problem in our civilization: thermodynamics and genetic behavior. By thermodynamics I mean: the laws of thermodynamics that govern our universe the relationships between energy, economy, wealth, population, and pollution the relationship between debt and surplus energy the maximum power … Continue reading “On Famous Polymaths”

You know you are in trouble when…

  Examples of denial are both profound and unacknowledged. The short-term solution to our problems is the long-term cause of our problems: economic growth The long-term solution to our problems is the short-term cause of our problems: reduced consumption Reduced CO2 emissions from an economic collapse caused by low-cost oil depletion is not sufficient to prevent … Continue reading “You know you are in trouble when…”

The Best Idea for Population Reduction

The best idea I’ve heard for how to implement a one child policy is to mobilize grandmothers. Grandmothers are past child-bearing age and no longer feel the influence of their genes to have children. Instead they are concerned about the survival of their grandchildren. If we could educate grandmothers on the imminent threat to their … Continue reading “The Best Idea for Population Reduction”


Start Here Welcome un-Denial Manifesto: Energy and Denial Why my interest in denial? Denial Theory (video version) Denial Theory (short version) By Alex Smith: Radio Ecoshock interview with Ajit Varki Darwin & Varki On Burning Carbon: The Case for Renaming GDP to GDB You know you are in trouble when… What would a wise society … Continue reading “Favorites”