Dr. Bill Rees, Professor Emeritus from the University of British Columbia, gave a presentation on our overshoot predicament earlier this month to a zoom meeting of the Canadian Association for the Club of Rome (CACOR).
I’m a longtime fan of Dr. Rees and consider him to be one of the most aware and knowledgeable people on the planet.
This is, I believe, the best talk I’ve seen by Dr. Rees and he covers all of the important issues, including topics like overpopulation that most of his peers avoid.
Presentations like this will probably not change our trajectory but nevertheless I find some comfort knowing there are a few other people thinking about the same issues. This can be a very lonely space.
The Q&A is also very good. I found it interesting to hear how much effort Dr. Rees has made to educate our leaders about what we should be doing to reduce future suffering. He was frank that no one to date, including the Green party, is open to his message. Not surprising, but sad. Also inspiring that someone of his stature is at least trying.
Summary
Climate-change and other environmental organizations urge governments to act decisively/rapidly to decarbonize the economy and halt further development of fossil fuel reserves. These demands arguably betray:
– ignorance of the role of energy in the modern economy;
– ill-justified confidence in society’s ability to transition to 100% green renewable energy;
– no appreciation of the ecological consequences of attempting to do so and;
– little understanding of the social implications.
Without questioning the need to abandon fossil fuels, I will argue that the dream of a smooth energy transition is little more than a comforting shared illusion. Moreover, even if it were possible it would not solve climate change and would exacerbate the real existential threat facing society, namely overshoot.
I then explore some of the consequences and implications of (the necessary) abandonment of fossil fuels in the absence of adequate substitutes, and how governments and MTI society should be responding to these unspoken biophysical realities.
Biography
Dr. William Rees is a population ecologist, ecological economist, Professor Emeritus, and former Director of the University of British Columbia’s School of Community and Regional Planning.
His academic research focuses on the biophysical prerequisites for sustainability. This focus led to co-development (with his graduate students) of ecological footprint analysis, a quantitative tool that shows definitively that the human enterprise is in dysfunctional overshoot. (We would need five Earth-like planets to support just the present world population sustainably with existing technologies at North American material standards.)
Frustrated by political unresponsiveness to worsening indicators, Dr. Rees also studies the biological and psycho-cognitive barriers to environmentally rational behavior and policies. He has authored hundreds of peer reviewed and popular articles on these topics. Dr. Rees is a Fellow of Royal Society of Canada and also a Fellow of the Post-Carbon Institute; a founding member and former President of the Canadian Society for Ecological Economics; a founding Director of the OneEarth Initiative; and a Director of The Real Green New Deal. He was a full member of the Club of Rome from 2013 until 2018. His international awards include the Boulding Memorial Award in Ecological Economics, the Herman Daly Award in Ecological Economics and a Blue Planet Prize (jointly with his former student, Dr. Mathis Wackernagel).
I left the following comment on YouTube:
I’m a fellow British Columbian and longtime admirer of Dr. Rees. Thank you for the excellent presentation.
I agree with Dr. Rees’ prescription for what needs to be done but I think there’s a step that must precede his first step of acknowledging our overshoot predicament.
Given the magnitude and many dimensions of our predicament an obvious question is why do so few people see it?
I found a theory by Dr. Ajit Varki that provides a plausible explanation, and answers other important questions about our unique species.
The Mind Over Reality Transition (MORT) theory posits that the human species with its uniquely powerful intelligence exists because it evolved to deny unpleasant realities.
If true, this implies that the first step to any positive meaningful change must be to acknowledge our tendency to deny unpleasant realities.
Varki explains his theory here:
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-030-25466-7_6
A nice video summary by Varki is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqgYqW2Kgkg
My interpretations of the theory are here:
https://un-denial.com/denial-2/theory-short/https://un-denial.com/2015/11/12/undenial-manifesto-energy-and-denial/
Tim Watkins today with a nice big picture review of peak oil and how it is impacting life in the UK.
I still seriously wonder if part of the reason for our over-reaction to covid is an instinctual response to scarcity. Locking down and working from home helps delay the effects of peak oil without our brains having to acknowledge reality.
https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2021/12/15/the-hidden-recession-of-2020/
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“I still seriously wonder if part of the reason for our over-reaction to covid is an instinctual response to scarcity. Locking down and working from home helps delay the effects of peak oil without our brains having to acknowledge reality.”
I have had similar thoughts, but I was thinking that our leaders should be aware of the issue of the contraction of available energy and used Covid as a distraction or cover up for this issue. I must admit though that I am very sceptical of our leaders in general, therefore I’m very sensitive to possible conspiracies. I could also envision that this is driven on a more subconscious level as you have proposed.
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Rob Where is link to the Rees presentation? Sam Hopkins
>
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It’s the YouTube video in the middle of my post.
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I’ve noticed that Youtube doesn’t seem to like comments with links in them, might want to double check that your comment actually got posted because I’m not seeing it.
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Thanks for the heads up. I confirmed it was accepted when I posted it. Now it’s gone. No warning sent to my account. 😦
I’ll try to repost with fewer links.
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This is doing the rounds on LinkedIn. The climate activists are up in arms about how evil BP is. BP is jumping on the greenwashing marketing bandwagon. I say – read between the lines! BP are divesting from oil because it’s running out.
https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/news-and-insights/reimagining-energy/bernard-looney-time-magazine-interview.html?utm_source=bpPS&utm_medium=%5Blinkedin%5D&utm_campaign=time
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I agree. Just like claiming peak oil is actually peak demand because everyone is buying EV’s. Morons or intelligent people in denial? Hard to tell sometimes.
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I watched this talk by Bill Rees a couple of days ago and agree it is excellent. I shared it on LinkedIn (I’m a recovering sustainability professional) and….. nothing.
As a follow up I received in my inbox today an email from Megan Seibert of The Real Green New Deal initiative which Rees and Alice Friedemann are also involved in. The email included this link to a Citizens Warning on Overshoot and Collapse open to signing by any citizen of the world. The warning is a collaboration with the authors of Bright Green Lies. https://www.realgnd.org/citizens-warning
I signed it for what it’s worth. There’s plenty of cross over with your “What would a wise society do?” post.
Rob I greatly appreciate your efforts on this site. I’ve shared links and snippets from it often amongst my former colleagues in the sustainability field. The messages are too uncomfortable for most which provides more weight to the denial of reality theory.
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Thanks kindly for the encouraging words.
When you step back and reflect on the energy our society puts into issues that are irrelevant compared to our overshoot issues which we don’t even acknowledge, let alone discuss, it’s more than remarkable.
If Varki’s MORT is not the correct explanation, then we need another REALLY powerful theory to explain how so many well educated brilliant minds can be vacuous on everything that matters.
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I read the citizen’s warning petition. It’s mostly good but they slow pitched the population issue. It’s way too late for “equal rights for women, education, financial incentives, and free, universal access to contraception and abortion”.
We need laws with teeth that require a permit to have a child, and only one in maybe a hundred applicants will receive a permit. If people don’t like it, too fucking bad, we’ll explain the alternative which is much worse with billions starving in the best case scenario. It’s very simple, every person not born is one less person suffering. Having a child without a permit when in a state of overshoot is functionally equivalent to assault.
[end rant]
I signed the petition.
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The distress in Bill Rees’ demeanor in the Zoom is affecting. He seems to be a genuinely nice fellow, and his slides are extremely well-chosen and damning – until the picture of the gulag apartment depicting humanity’s self-chosen future abode.
Where is the picture of the political mechanism that gets us to this “controlled degrowth”? Like the picture of the homunculus inside each of us that must be produced to demonstrate the existence of free will, it’s not there in Rees’s slides because it doesn’t exist, and will never exist.
This is the sad self-delusion that plagues the Real New Green Dealers, the Bright Green Lies saboteurs, Richard Heinberg, the panoply of polymaths and eco-thinkers and blog-activists that cannot put their toes into the waters of sociology. Charles H. Anderson did in his 1976 masterpiece “Sociology of Survival,” though I am led to believe by a commenter in r/collapse that he killed himself because, in part of course, no one wanted to hear him.
Fossil fuel humanity is not going to transition to gulag apartment dweller. It will burn brightly, then die. That goes for me and my partner as well. That’s just the way life is going to go, my friends.
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Thanks for the book tip. I tried to find Sociology of Survival but it does not appear available as an e-book.
All the evidence seems to agree with your prediction. No stair steps down to a simpler life ala Greer. We’re gonna shovel coal into the boiler until she blows. I still think it’s very interesting that an intelligent species can do this while genuinely believing it’s not.
I added your quote on fossil fuel humanity to my sidebar of favorite quotes.
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Since it was an academic book I’ve only been able to find it through sources like open library. Some of these are free subscription services. Looks like a good read. Amazon U.S. has some hard copies available used for about $7.00
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Here are some of my 2-cents ideas for getting people moving on our predicament:
– Use language like, ‘many people have this worry’ or ‘lots of people have doubts about…’ We are convinced by something the more other people believe it.
– Use the ‘diversity of thought’ card. We give all the airtime to optimists. Isn’t it fair to give some attention to the pessimists as well? You don’t have to believe all the doom and gloom, but what if they’re right about some things?
– Promote the ways to “get rich” in the future. Hear me out, getting people to invest in the right things for selfish reasons. Like the tall boats for shipping, setting up local mills and textile production. You won’t make a return now, but you’re positioning yourself to be a winner in the future. The fear of missing out makes people act. What if you’re missing out on positioning yourself for the future that will be?
– Use idioms and common phrases. E.g., ‘what goes up, must come down’.
– Find values in common and work from there. Grand theories of NTHE and ciz collapse are not palatable to many. Instead talk about worsening problems and the values we share in common, like living a good life, looking after the vulnerable. I find people one-on-one are very receptive to talking about single issue problems and are often much more concerned about these problems than media would have us believe.
– History shows many examples where paradigms change only after the population has experienced a massive upheaval. I think some tried to inspire that with the pandemic by talking about building back better etc. But that was hijacked by globalists, and people can see the elite were just trying to do more of the same command and control. A real physical change has to occur. I have a suspicion that this will be when the first essential mineral is no longer available at all.
– Use history to show the benefits of things changing / breaking down. Such as Roman citizens following barbarian warloads because life was actually better with them than in the failing empire. Or Europeans escaping their society to go back to a native American tribe that had kidnapped them. We need more common stories about how life outside of our own way of life isn’t all terrible and miserable. Our way of life is pretty damn good, but it’s not to say other ways of living are a disaster.
– Use jokes about economists to keep discrediting them. E.g. Q. What’s the difference between a broken clock and an economist? A. At least the clock is right twice a day. Q. What do you call an economist who makes a predication? A. Wrong. Economists were invented to make weather forecasters and astrologers look good. Economics is the only field in which two people can share a “Nobel Prize” for saying the complete opposite. https://economicscience.net/content/JokEc/
I would also recommend this ‘how to have impossible conversations’: https://www.peakprosperity.com/peter-boghossian-how-to-have-impossible-conversations/
I would recommend especially for Americans, but most Westerners, to stop thinking of your politics in terms of left and right and start thinking in terms of gloabalised/centralised/localised; or democratic/authoritarian.
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To use the term “humanity” in just about any context whatsoever, is to be a “globalist.”
Every human alive now, except for the last hunter/forager remnants, are globalists in all senses of the term, from the shoes they wear to the food they eat to the oxygne they breathe.
What the lunatic, idiotic worldwide right means in trying to use the term as a pejorative – I have no idea what’s cooking in such anti-humanist stupidity.
I’d recommend staying away as much as possible from these morons – and that includes Peter Boghossian.
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I think you’re exaggerating by way of conflating a broad truth (e.g. we are all part of the same thermodynamic, climate or ecosystem) with more narrow classifications (e.g. being part of the same economic system, or subject to the same laws).
The indigenous farmer wearing hand-me-down Nike’s he got from the Red Cross is not a globalist “in all senses of the terms” in the same way as an international corporation using the legal system to avoid taxation and simultaneous funneling money through charitable organizations to influence local politics. Rather, it’s in a more limited sense that we are all part of a global political or economic system. Some want this trend to grow, others want it to retract.
A fine case study is the 1999 protests of the World Trade Organization, lead at the time primarily by an often uneasy coalition of left-leaning constituents.
I think pushing for autarchy is worthwhile. This used to be a strong union position, and a major thread in various forms of anarchism and communism. You could consider this anti-globalist. It seems most who propose solutions are proposing solutions of international governmental intervention and public/private partnerships of international corporations. Since I think the risk is existential, it may be better to not put all our eggs in one basket.
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If I’m “conflating” things, I’ll blame my misuse of the air pressure gauge – press in and hold down, rather than press down and hold in?
I also guess you agree the proverbial indigenous farmer is indeed a globalist. Maybe not in the same way as the Bezo/Musk criminal syndicate , but I’m sure the Trumpians want to do in the indigenous farmer in some manner for daring to contemplate rights and lives of folks in other parts of the world.
The 1990 WTO action-adventure sure succeeded in stopping the rise of global transnational capital, eh?
You mentioned autarchy, anarchism, and communism. I believe if you check for a pulse in those theories of political organization, they are all dead. And as for the eggs in one basket, there’s going to be no eggs in any basket in certain places soon – just check out r/collapse for some news item to that effect.
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I agree most strongly with your last statements and follow r/collapse religiously. My main contention was that you were applying a political angle where one doesn’t belong.
Conflating means to combine – you were combining things which should (rationally) be kept separate. It may just be rhetoric, which is fine.
But the main point is that opposition to globalization – or globalists (those supporting increased globalization) – began as a left wing agenda in the not too distant past.
There is no cause to blame a political right in this transition of anti-globalism from one party to another. And certainly, no international political right now exists on any degree to which an international communist interest block ever existed. For instance, what right wing nation is currently supplying arms and funds to developing nations in opposition to global neoliberalists?
And finally, autarchy is resurgent in both Brexit and Trumpism – whether it’s a reasonable goal or not, I’m not sure. But I certainly support the impulse toward self sufficiency and local autonomy, as opposed to international markets and reliance on global governance. This may just be a projection at large of my own desire for self sufficiency as a hope against future hardship.
Again, I don’t think this is any salvation, but I like to not put all our eggs in one basket.
And, no, an indigenous person wearing free Nikes is not a “globalist” in any reasonable sense of the world. If you simply mean “everyone is effected by global markets” that’s fine, and I agree – just no need to be so rhetorical about it.
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See the Dennis Meadows interview below for a great argument why we don’t want a global government to solve our “problems”. He says people make mistakes. That’s what we do. We shouldn’t have all of our eggs in one basket. Better to have many independent localized groups trying to navigate the collapse as the probability will be higher that a few of them may survive.
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Thanks for the considered reply.
If you look at the Google Ngram for “conflate,” you’ll see it virtually invisible up until 1980, and thus during my formative youth. We knew “inflate” and “deflate,” and could do those actions at the convenience store air pump. The last 40 years has seen an exponential “inflate” of the use of “conflate,” and I, for one, don’t like it, even though I know what it means, thank you very much.
And on that score, the correct spellings are “bloc” and “affected.”
Good luck with your drive for self-sufficiency. I don’t see it happening for what John Gowdy terms an “ultrasocial animal,” but r/collapse always has relevant news and funny comments to lighten our load.
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I think you get more value out of a conversation when you try and get the gist of what someone is saying, rather than nitpicking at small details. I love how Rob says with everyone there is some wheat and some chaff
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If the almighty fossil-fuel internet is here to spread the virtues of pabulum, then maybe so.
Is there anything to be said, in your mind, for “nitpicking” at the BIG details?
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Your comments remind me of old school trolling on YouTube LOL. Sometimes I tell myself, “relax Mon, it’s only the end of the world.” 😉
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Absolutely, mon, we’re all just pounding electrons into the void. Keep on fighting, my man.
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Thanks for the corrections – and I agree with you that self sufficiency is unlikely to succeed. We all have to pass the time somehow!
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If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face – forever.
~Orwell
or, for a prelude of a vision of the colossal failure we are in store for, you could do no better than to watch Threads, a British docu-drama released in…ahem…1984.
https://archive.org/details/threads_202007
(Not for the faint of heart)
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Thanks for the reminder. I have Threads in my library but haven’t watched it yet.
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A new dark spin on plastic recycling.
https://undark.org/2021/12/09/the-ocean-is-returning-our-plastic-waste-thats-a-real-problem/
h/t GailZ
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Changes in monetary system forces are accelerating.
https://wolfstreet.com/2021/12/15/powell-everythings-moving-much-faster-incl-end-of-qe-balance-sheet-reduction-rate-hikes/
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Yeah, we are on the airborne train from “Runaway” above. Now just wait for us to hit the ground. No soft landing.
AJ
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There’s a new South Park covid special available for download today.
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt16375288/?ref_=tt_urv
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‘Tis the season for greatest hits.
Cooler heads on the thread say 20 years is more probable than 3 years. Thank yahweh I’ll be dead by then.
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More crazy making evidence from two high integrity good men.
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Yesterday’s holiday episode of the Post Carbon Institute’s Crazy Town podcast with Jason Bradford et al is good for a chuckle.
https://www.buzzsprout.com/244372/9715282
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Well I just got my second jab, so fingers crossed for the best 🙂 I have decided I will not be getting boosters. Just want to be covered when covid rips through NZ, then learning to live with it. Plus I can’t do summer without bars and cafes LOL. The vaccine mandates make me feel pretty anxious; I don’t like them at all!
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Good luck to you and enjoy the summer. It’s cold and stormy here.
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Good luck – it’s a tough call. Though originally vax’d with J&J I’ve started getting pressure to get boosters, which I’d rather not. I got sick earlier this week – better now, and it wasn’t COVID. But I had my moments of doubt whether I had made the right decision re boosters – as it would have ruined my Christmas plans to travel and see family if so. Lot’s of elderly and some with high risk conditions.
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I like you was originally vax’d with J&J. Got Covid 5 months later (probably Delta), was sick -as-a-dog for 3 days (took Ivermectin -horse paste) and recovered ok. Now I worry about antigenic SIN. Not going to get the booster. Trying to improve my health (I was already pretty fit with no comorbidities), no more drinking, less fat in the diet, more whole foods and lots of exercise.
Boosters I am going to avoid – not sure if that is the right call.
Good luck with whatever you choose.
AJ
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Thank you theblondbeast. I’m feeling absolutely fine after the jabs. No symptoms apart from a sore arm and that is better now 🙂 I think once you get Covid AJ you will have the natural immunity and be much better protected 🙂
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Glad to hear you’re doing well! Hard to make these choices, and happy to hear when friends – near or far – do well with theirs!
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I have to strongly disagree with his denial here:
43:48 “We need to implement a non-coercive family planning/population program starting with better education and economic independence for women.”
This is both logically and physically impossible. For instance, much of the world lives under conditions in which education and independence for women is limited by law and culture in societies which can’t be influenced without coercion on the international level.
Even if this were possible it would be way too slow.
Not only that, but we are behaving irrationally by subsidizing the continuation of overpopulation by supporting the poor, especially the poor with children.
Furthermore, increases in education and independence are the consequences of increasing prosperity, which will be unable to be continued.
A third problem is that any increases in energy for education or governmental intrusion into the labor force and private relationships requires coercion of taxation, indoctrination or force.
A fourth, and by no means final, problem is that many peoples “plan” is to have a large family and rely on various forms of government support to get by.
I think anyone wanting to be a clear thinker has to admit that coercion is necessary for any change to happen. Stop lying about it and admit who one is willing to coerce and with what means.
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…The other side of the population issue is the death rate. I’d also add that it should be considered. Something like “We must stop providing life-extending health care to those who are not able to physically labor in the economy.”
My basic point is that people who discuss population try retain a moral high ground through the out of assuming we can have a birth reduction policy. We cannot – people are going to suffer and die at higher rates in the future than in the recent past. This is going to happen even if we do nothing. Any of our interventions will change the mix of who is going to suffer, and how soon they are going to do so. So suck it up and be honest.
Personally, I think we have to do it all if we want hope:
Decrease birth rate
Increase death rate
by
Encourage no children or small families financially
Let all large families live without recourse to outside aid (this will increase all-cause mortality and crime)
Allow the death rate to increase naturally by limiting medical care
If one thinks this is harsh I agree, but it pales in comparison to the alternatives as I see it.
For instance, if we pursue these solutions in a weaker way than our military opponents they will attack and destroy us and solve the problem their own way.
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Yes it is a wicked problem.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wicked_problem
It would be so much easier for the rest of the world if the citizens of a rich country like Canada demanded population reduction laws and we proceeded to set a good example for others to follow.
Not gonna happen. My neighbor the environmental activist gets angry with me when I discuss the need for population reduction policies.
I agree that coercion will be required but we don’t need any new laws. As I said above, having a child without a permit when in a severe state of overshoot is equivalent to assault and we already know how to deal with that crime.
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Have we talked about pet ownership here? Forgive me if I’ve forgotten – it’s a dismal subject when you consider the amount of domestic dogs and cats (especially) we have in terms of resource use.
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I don’t think we’ve ever discussed pets here. I also think about the impact of pets on our consumption. I’m often asked why I don’t get a dog for company. I probably never will.
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Good discussion with Tom Murphy a few months ago.
https://www.buzzsprout.com/244372/9074968
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A 2017 interview with a great man: Dennis Meadows
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dennis_Meadows
No one better distills our predicament down to a few words, nor offers wiser words of advice.
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I’ll beat my drum again here – why does he only talk about birth rates, not death rates? Birth rates are lower than ever – let’s knocke ’em down a bit more, but primarily raise the death rates! Half kidding.
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Here in Canada if we stopped all immigration our population would stabilize instead of growing at one of the fastest rates on the planet.
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Paul Arbair today with a global energy review.
I once tried to figure out who Arbair is without success. His name may be a play on Polar Bear.
It sometimes feels like China and Russia are the only countries in the world with a plan. They may not be the right plans, but at least they have a plan. The West seems to be drifting.
https://paularbair.wordpress.com/2021/12/17/welcome-to-the-age-of-energy-disruptions/
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Steve Van Metre today explains the symptoms of our central banks’ rock and hard place (inflation + low growth + asset bubble) but unfortunately does not understand the cause (overshoot + limits to growth).
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LOL!
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El gato malo today performs a dissection on the recent judicial ruling overturing the OSHA stay and finds the judge suffers from the same debilitating moron disease as the medical profession leadership. They look like cartoon characters pretending to be professionals.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/6th-circuit-dissolves-the-stay-on
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“Prices are rising not due to monetary forces but rather due to rising energy costs, and high energy costs damage the economy so markets are expecting inflation to be temporary.”
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Knowing next to nothing about economics. . . these guys explanation about what is driving “inflation” – energy prices, vehicle prices and helicopter money seems to make sense. They didn’t say high energy prices were due to the falling EROEI for fossil fuels – i.e. depletion. They also didn’t address asset price inflation (housing & the stock market) which would seem to be based on the Fed. I think Mac10 has a more accurate take on both regular “inflation” and asset price inflation and how this is all going to play out. Am I wrong or is my ignorance showing??
AJ
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You’re right. I did not mean to imply they understood the big picture. Just found it interesting to see energy creeping in to mainstream awareness. I like Mac10 too but he also does not integrate the effects of overshoot.
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And because he doesn’t, the only reason to follow is for entertainment
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Q: How to never have to admit you were wrong that this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated?
A: Require a booster every 6 months so there’s always unvaccinated people you can blame.
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…and destroy the control group!
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Varki and MORT get a nod over at Albert Bates site this morning, amongst some other dark broodings.
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Wow, even a link back to this site in Bates’ broodings. https://peaksurfer.blogspot.com/
He did a decent job of discussing T. Murphy’s textbook also. However, I think his conclusions – a possible 3rd way- of transitioning into some kind of “metaverse” were delusional. But then he pedaled that back with the: “while resources are still available to support the energy-intensive meta-infrastructure, and, oh, climate catastrophe could still be averted” rejoinder. Nonsense it seems to me.
AJ
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Notice how el gato provides data to support his conclusions, and provides perspective so as to not generate fear when fear is not warranted. Compare this behavior to our incompetent leaders. I respect his work on covid despite his ignorance and denial of our much more important overshoot issues.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/theres-something-antigenic-in-denmark
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Geert Vanden Bossche is very worried about our policy to boost against Omicron. This is a very complicated email exchange between Bossche and another knowledgeable person trying to understand what’s going on. It’s too complicated for my brain but I detect expert people with good intentions.
https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/scientific-blog/q-a-06-geert-and-johns-email-exchange-of-thought-and-ideas-about-the-omicron-articles
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On a different thread Perran posted this interview with the CEO of a small Australian vaccine manufacturer confirming from the inside of the vaccine industry the insanity that we on the outside are witnessing. I’m 2 hours into the 3 hour interview and it’s a definite must listen. I’m reposting it here so more people see it, and I may elevate it to its own post after completing the interview and thinking more.
The issue my brain keeps returning to is how is it possible that so many countries are synchronized with:
1) government policies that ignore science and do not optimize for maximum public health with minimum risk and cost;
2) opposition parties that do not criticize or offer alternate policies;
3) scientists that mostly remain silent;
4) journalists that have abandoned their responsibility to question;
5) citizens that mostly support the obviously flawed policies;
6) no meaningful well intentioned intelligent debate by anyone on anything to do with covid.
What is the explanation for this remarkable global phenomenon?
Is it:
– a mass formation (aka psychosis) as proposed by Mattias Desmet; or
– an emotional response from the majority who took one for the team in the early days, and that now deny emerging unpleasant realities associated with their decision, and that believe “if I took some risk for the greater good, then everyone must now do the same, regardless of whether it’s the right thing to do”; or
– scared social primates rallying around their “official science” tribe leaders; or
– just another manifestation of “technology will save us”; or
– an instinctual response to impending overshoot collapse and scarcity by slowing down and controlling the population; or
– business as usual for clever but unwise homo sapiens that is also globally synchronized on denying overshoot while pressing on the accelerator as the cliff approaches; or
– something else?
Please weigh in if you have any thoughts on the troubling global synchronicity.
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I finished the interview and can confirm it is excellent and worth your time.
I thought of another possible explanation for the madness:
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That sounds about right!
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Another great video by JP Sears:
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Brilliant. We have lost our fucking minds.
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uhh…does that mean it’s bad to wear two condoms at once? Maybe this is a better question for Dr. Ruth.
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Fascinating. Ilargi has uncovered a first hand example of how our “leaders” keep the panic going. They pay experts to model only the worst case scenario without commenting on the probability of that scenario.
https://www.theautomaticearth.com/2021/12/a-simple-christmas-message/
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Tom Murphy today revisits climate change from first principles and laments that the right encourages denial.
https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2021/12/my-brainwashing/
I left the following comment:
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Yep. The left’s current version of this is that “sustainable growth is possible and wind and solar will save us.” To their credit, it’s the consensus of experts who are in denial here and are primarily to blame.
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The right have become really good at taking half a truth and adding another half of spin. For example, they’ll say our civilisation can’t work without oil (correct), so that means peak oil and climate change aren’t true (what logic!).
The left on the other hand, have trashed themselves over the last 10 years with nonsense and absolutism, e.g., sex is a spectrum, vaccines are 100% safe, solar panels can save the planet, blah blah blah…
I suspect that whichever parties get braver about telling the truth, will do better over the coming decade. But I ain’t taking bets on that LOL. I’m a swing voter so it always is hard for me to understand how people can be so loyal to a political side
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I get a little depressed during elections because there’s no one that understands what’s going on and therefore I don’t vote. I’d like to be a good citizen but I can’t vote for idiots.
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I wish you were right (re: telling the truth). I have predicted and continue to expect quite the opposite: I expect rampant mass delusions. Our predicaments will be blamed on politics, gods, and any manner of idiocy.
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Sadly, I think it will be mostly blamed on the “other” group (whatever tribe is not talking). Rarely does the left blame itself (it’s Trump!) or the right (left wing elitists!). When you are in the other group you are in danger.
AJ
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There is a lot of denial going on in the whole political spectrum. At least the so called right wing sees that the current energy policy only leads into decline of living standards. Unfortunately, they do not draw the right consequences from this by insisting to just go on with burning the remaining fossil fuels and extend nuclear power, which brings with it its own major problems.
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Those clever scientists seeking fame and fortune MAY have made another boo-boo.
Our “leaders” have had 2 years to stop gain of function research but they’ve been too busy trying to vaccinate children that don’t get sick with a vaccine that doesn’t work against another virus that may have leaked from gain of function research.
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/omicron-is-not-normal
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Thank you to Brian for this.
Click to access The-COVID-19-Inoculations-More-Harm-Than-Good-REV-Dec-16-2021.pdf
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And the accompanying video which is very well done:
https://www.canadiancovidcarealliance.org/media-resources/the-pfizer-inoculations-for-covid-19-more-harm-than-good-2/
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I have skimmed through the presentation. They sum up very well my primary doubts about the Pfizer vaccine trials:
1. Improper composition of participants (age and co-morbidities)
2. No effect on all-cause-mortality in the vaccine group
What they have missed from my point of view is the low number of participants that died due to or with Covid (only 3 out of 44000 people in a period of 6 months). This should also be an indicator that Covid is not that dangerous for younger, healthy people.
What was new to me is the issue with the large number of persons with a suspected but unconfirmed outcome. They dwarf the group of confirmed cases. How is this even possible?
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In summary, we’ve got el gato saying Omicron is good news and the evolutionary end of our virus troubles with no need for further inoculations or lockdowns.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/omincron-in-denmark-looking-exceedingly
And Geert Vanden Bossche saying boosting against Omicron will probably breed a deadly new virus immune to our immunity.
https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/scientific-blog/q-a-06-geert-and-johns-email-exchange-of-thought-and-ideas-about-the-omicron-articles
Both are smart experts not captured by our insane group think so we can conclude that the outcome is probably unknowable and dependent on chance.
Both agree that inoculations should not be applied to healthy young people.
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And now for something completely different…..longtermism. Have ya heard of it? Denial dovetailing into SF fantasy? or is there something to it? My gloss on it…a lot of these dudes, Bolstom et al are channeling Isaac Asimov’s Foundation Trilogy and H. Seldon. The Galactic Empire wet dream. No need to worry about overshoot and global warming on planet Earth. Thems just growing pains.
Excerpt – Phil Torres:
“To summarise these ideas so far, humanity has a ‘potential’ of its own, one that transcends the potentials of each individual person, and failing to realise this potential would be extremely bad – indeed, as we will see, a moral catastrophe of literally cosmic proportions. This is the central dogma of longtermism: nothing matters more, ethically speaking, than fulfilling our potential as a species of ‘Earth-originating intelligent life’. It matters so much that longtermists have even coined the scary-sounding term ‘existential risk’ for any possibility of our potential being destroyed, and ‘existential catastrophe’ for any event that actually destroys this potential.
Why do I think this ideology is so dangerous? The short answer is that elevating the fulfilment of humanity’s supposed potential above all else could nontrivially increase the probability that actual people – those alive today and in the near future – suffer extreme harms, even death. Consider that, as I noted elsewhere, the longtermist ideology inclines its adherents to take an insouciant attitude towards climate change. Why? Because even if climate change causes island nations to disappear, triggers mass migrations and kills millions of people, it probably isn’t going to compromise our longterm potential over the coming trillions of years. If one takes a cosmic view of the situation, even a climate catastrophe that cuts the human population by 75 per cent for the next two millennia will, in the grand scheme of things, be nothing more than a small blip – the equivalent of a 90-year-old man having stubbed his toe when he was two.”
h/t Thomas Metzinger
https://aeon.co/essays/why-longtermism-is-the-worlds-most-dangerous-secular-credo?utm_source=Aeon+Newsletter&utm_campaign=0d691568e2-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2021_10_18_05_31&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_411a82e59d-0d691568e2-69550449
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I do agree that we should be much more aware of, appreciative of, and careful with what I expect is an extremely rare gig in the universe. Unfortunately after we’ve fought over the remaining drops of fossil energy and a few tribes remain, their amazing intelligence will be constrained to building pyramids and other stone structures by hand. Not what I expect the longtermism people have in mind.
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The needle on my optimism Geiger counter registered slight movement at the mention of pyramids. It must be the Christmas season that you are not forecasting total annihilation and leaving open the possibility of a Paleolithic future.
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It’s a rarely commented on fact that early civilizations converted all of their surplus wealth into piles of rocks they believed would transport their leaders to immortality with the gods. Later we used all of our surplus wealth to build cathedrals also to deny death.
Think about that for a bit and then you might begin to understand why I think Varki’s MORT is so important.
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I keep thinking of Richard Duncan’s Olduvai theory page on dieoff.com, with the quote by Fred Hoyle:
“It has often been said that, if the human species fails to make a go of it here on Earth, some other species will take over the running. In the sense of developing high intelligence this is not correct. We have, or soon will have, exhausted the necessary physical prerequisites so far as this planet is concerned. With coal gone, oil gone, high-grade metallic ores gone, no species however competent can make the long climb from primitive conditions to high-level technology. This is a one-shot affair. If we fail, this planetary system fails so far as intelligence is concerned. The same will be true of other planetary systems. On each of them there will be one chance, and one chance only.” (cosmologist Sir Fred Hoyle, University of Washington, 1964)
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Nice, thanks.
Hoyle wrote that 57 years ago and 99.9 percent of us still don’t understand it and/or deny it, including all of our famous intellectuals.
How is that possible without MORT?
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Nice refresher today from Steve St. Angelo on how close we are to the energy cliff.
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About 15 years ago I visited Israel a few times on business and worked with an Israeli division of my employer for several years.
My general impression of Israelis and their leadership was that they are intelligent, no-nonsense, aggressive, independent, and VERY focused on making themselves and their country successful.
So I find it interesting that Israel is the most aggressive country on vaccination.
What’s going on? Have the Israelis lost their minds over the last 15 years? Or are Fauci/Gates et. al. correct but unable to articulate clearly why they are right?
https://www.jpost.com/health-and-wellness/coronavirus/article-689418
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James Webb telescope is scheduled to launch Christmas day. Impressive accomplishment for our species if it works.
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This was a very interesting video. It’s sad the the video had to start with one of those terrible intros with Hawking making nonsense about god. This is a phenomenal feat of engineering. If it works it might even surpass the Martian landers. They too had engineering that had to work and had could never be tested on earth AND the Martian lander programs had many failures. Rob, I know you think putting people on the moon was tougher, but I think that is debatable. Sadly the lead engineer ends the program with all that Star Trek fantasy stuff (building telescopes in space in the future). NASA must have an official denial theme by refusing to see the impossibility of never enough energy for those dreams. Denial is strong.
AJ
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You’re probably right that Webb is a bigger technical challenge than Apollo, although making a mistake does not kill 3 people.
Can you imagine after working on the Webb project for 20+ years the tension you’d feel on launch day?
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Hi Rob, HNY, thanks for your blog, I’ve learned a lot here.
This telescope is fascinating. I keep thinking that mankind will figure it all out about 10 minutes we snuff ourselves out; the big AH HA moment followed quickly by the big KABOOM!
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10 minutes before
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Satire is the best response.
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I remember in my early days of learning about peak oil the most persuasive argument was that we’re burning more than we’re finding.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Global-Oil-And-Gas-Discoveries-Set-To-Hit-75-Year-Low-In-2021.html
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Merry Christmas to all of you.
Despite our challenges there’s still a lot to be grateful for. Most people throughout most of history would happily trade places with us.
Stay well and be nice to the people you care about.
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Rob,
Thanks for this web site, it is a friendly harbor in the storm of collapse. I remember a post by someone years ago who lived in San Francisco. They talked about leaving work and going out to their 6oo sq.ft. house in the Sunset District (close to the beach on the Pacific ocean in SF). They talked about stopping at a small local market and after some time thinking about what they wanted for dinner buying a bottle of red wine some chicken and assorted vegetables. At his house he then prepared the dinner and thought that in his life (and the choices presented) he had more material comfort and satisfaction than almost any king in any age up until the present. AND he was satisfied.
Amazing what a little fossil energy will do for you.
Merry Christmas
AJ
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https://fpif.org/the-selling-of-degrowth/
“Last year, it was the pandemic,” William Rees agrees. “Before that it was climate change and before that it was the economy. The human brain evolved in very simple times when you only had a few people to deal with and you lived in a relatively small space that you couldn’t influence that much. There’s been no natural selection to think in systems terms. Humans cannot anticipate the nature of behavior of most complex systems. We don’t know about thresholds and tipping points until they occur. The COP negotiators, who were policy wonks, economists, and politicians not climate scientists, had no real understanding of the complexity of interacting climate, economic and ecosphere systems—or else they wouldn’t have come to the conclusions they came to.”
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el mar, great article, thanks.
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I’m on the hunt for intelligent overshoot aware people that support our governments’ covid policies. My assumption is that if someone is capable of breaking through their genetic tendency to deny unpleasant realities to understand human overshoot then the odds are good they may have a clear understanding of the covid picture.
I have high regard for Tad Patzek as I have written on several occasions:
https://un-denial.com/?s=tad+patzek%3A
Today Patzek wrote an essay saying unvaccinated people tend to be right wing and stupid.
https://patzek-lifeitself.blogspot.com/2021/12/the-ascent-of-angry-and-stupid.html
I found his argument to be lame. The only data he provided to support his claim is that a higher percentage of people are dying from covid in red states than blue states. Anyone that has dug into the dozens of complex issues casting doubt on our governments’ covid policies will know that Patzek has not studied the issue.
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After wasting an inordinate amount of time reading Patzek’s post I came to the conclusion he doesn’t understand how tribe oriented he himself is. He self-identifies with the Democratic party and makes them the intelligent tribe whereas the Republican party is the stupid tribe. I see this thinking in many Dems. The problem is not understanding the evolution of tribe identification, psychology, and group think. All tribe thinking has both stupid and intelligent thinking in it (with a lot of denial of opposing views having any legitimacy). Better to be a non-tribe person and look for other non-tribe people and then see if you can have a rational, not steeped in denial, conversation with them. It works at this website and a few others, but obviously not with Patzek.
AJ
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It’s worrying that so many previously wise people have lost their ability to think and instead seek to blame.
Portends bad things when energy depletion and economic collapse soon pick up steam.
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So you think you’re special do you? Above it all? What do you think you’re doing when you’re attracting and curating the views of like-minded “rational” un-denial types? ya got yourself a little tribe here Robbie boy.
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Edit. ha ha… I mean AJ. Follower of Robbie.
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I’m not following you. Are you saying you agree with Patzek?
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I was pointing out what I see as an inconsistency/fallacy in AJ’s comment, “better to look for OTHER non-tribe people.” I dunno…sounds like a social group to me. Some would call it a tribe.
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https://climateandeconomy.com/2021/12/28/28th-december-2021-an-additional-climate-update/
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Bird flu in Israel: https://www.timesofisrael.com/avian-flu-killing-birds-in-israel-could-jump-to-humans-warns-epidemiologist/
Everything is fine, deny it and move on! Meh…
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Listened to Lex Fridman interview Ray Dalio, a rich and famous finance guy, talk about “important” matters like the future of Bitcoin. Not because I expected to learn anything but I’m interested in hearing what our “best and brightest” are thinking.
Both completely missed the most important point about Bitcoin:
What is the value of Bitcoin when the internet becomes unreliable because the electricity grid is unreliable because we’ve burned all of the affordable fossil energy? Zero.
Denial is amazing.
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Denial is amazing.
So is hopium, religion, and a multitude of other human foibles. Kinda depressing (or maybe its SAD – Seasonal Affective Disorder – weeks of no sunlight in the PNW). I too am amazed reading all the economic blogs where no one can see the problems with endless growth, limited resources, Ponzi schemes, rampant inequality or how it is all tied to declining low EROEI fossil fuel and it’s polluting byproducts.
Or Covid: where conflicts of interest are never mentioned (unless it is a blatant illegal kickback); integrity is a dirty word; and conformity to the dominant narrative is rewarded.
The whole of Western Civilization is a Megacancer (to borrow a phrase from James) in denial.
Maybe the sun will come out tomorrow (hopium).
AJ
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I think I’d go crazy without a plausible explanation like MORT for the insanity I see.
We got another 8 inches of snow last night. The trees are beautiful and the sky is clear. Birds are mobbing my feeder. I’m going for a walk.
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Yes, the power walks for 5 or 6 miles (with some sun) are great. The fact that we have had 7 days of rain and snow straight are good for the drought but bad for walking. Have to get out soon for another (endorphins are great).
MORT makes the insanity easier to bare/understand on an intellectual level, but it is still psychologically isolating to see all the denial and lack of rationality.
AJ
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Interesting. Insurance companies were the first businesses to accept the reality and danger of climate change. Now they’re first again with covid.
https://rwmalonemd.substack.com/p/what-if-the-largest-experiment-on
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Are the official death-statistics confirming this 40 % up trend? Should be visible!
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Sometimes I don’t know what to think?
I understand (?) denial and MORT, or think I do. It just seems that when you are faced with brilliant individuals who have credibility (in their fields) that espouse crap you just have to shake your head.
I have over the years read the yearly column (more like a mini-book) of David Collum. Chris Martenson who I respect and has a lot of integrity, always posts Collum’s screed (unfair pejorative?) on his website at the first of the year. By posting it I think it calls into question his credibility too??
Oh well, here’s the link to Collum’s screed: https://www.peakprosperity.com/2021-year-in-review-crisis-of-authority-and-the-age-of-narratives-part-1/
Although I find that Collum has some interesting insights, what taints the whole thing is that he is basically a anthropogenic climate change denier. A few years ago he did an “analysis” of the climate change debate and came away with climate change is not a problem (am I wrong in this characterization?). I have problems with PhD’s making bold statements outside their fields of expertise (even Richard Feyman and Steven Hawking were wrong once in a while). Not that every consensus is correct and that the consensus must never be challenged, BUT if there is anything that appears close to ironclad it would be that humanity is in serious ecological overshoot and climate change is one of the results. Am I wrong?
Am I wrong about Collum? I’m not one to think that I have all the answers, but that I’m here to learn too.
AJ
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I haven’t read this year’s Collum yet but I agree with you. He has the occasional good insight into world political affairs but his chaff to wheat ratio has been rising and is now too high for my tolerance.
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Never heard of Collum before, but his constant self-congratulations in the article make it hard to read. I prefer the humble but informative style of Chris Martenson: https://www.peakprosperity.com/why-2022-is-going-to-suck/
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I’ve read Collum every year since he started about 10 years ago. In the early years he got peak oil and overshoot and spent a lot of time talking about defensive strategies. Some number of years later his denial circuit engaged (I’m guessing grandkids may have had something to do with it) and he decided fracking solved peak oil and climate change is a hoax. Now he mostly focusses on left/right politics and how to get rich from the everything bubble. He’s no longer my cup of tea.
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He wants to grow his fucking investments
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Karl Denninger today rants on EV math and shows it equals denial.
https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=244682
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Does he want to reduce the number of cars on the road? Do I have to read the article to find out?
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He believes we should convert coal to liquids to power our vehicles and in the process extract thorium from the coal to generate nuclear electricity to power everything else which would buy us 200 hundred years to figure out fusion.
https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=183373
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My brains struggles to keep the many threads of covid incompetence and/or malfeasance memorized and organized.
The synchronicity of insanity between western rich countries is still what troubles me most. I don’t care and am not surprised that American leadership is corrupt. I do care that my little Canadian province mimics American policies without any independent rational thought.
It’s very very troubling.
Dr. Robert Malone’s recent interview with Joe Rogan is a much listen:
Kunstler today does a nice short round-up of the issues without too much partisan politics:
https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/crimes-against-our-country/
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Every covid rock has something slimy under it. El gato malo turns another rock over today.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/why-dont-public-health-agencies-and
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So I haven’t watched “Don’t Look Up” yet but I’ve been reading the reviews and I’m pretty sure I already know one of the things my review someday will say.
The producers think they’re clever and aware by satirizing our species’ denial of climate change.
Thing is, low cost energy depletion is going to take out modernity and most of our population long before climate change.
Once again, the amazing power of human denial as explained by MORT is on full display.
Even those who think they see reality, don’t.
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I really enjoyed the movie. I did think it funny that the makers of the film are concerned about climate change, and yet chose to burn lots of carbon making a dumb movie that avoids the issue they really care about, while making fun of people for exhibiting the same behaviour. how meta! I wonder if Leo is still flying private jet to climate change conferences…
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I also chose to waste the carbons by streaming it from Netflix 🙂
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My family and I got COVID last week (all doing fine, minor cold) so I had time to watch it. I agree with all the criticisms about the movie, but I also enjoyed it more than I would have thought. Hipocrisy, denial, etc. is all true – but you can only ask for so much if you’re looking for entertainment these days!
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Glad your covid experience was mild. Same experience for a close relative. Maybe we’ll get lucky and omicron will be the vaccine we hoped for at the beginning.
I will watch DLU. I find it remarkable that almost everyone that worries about our future is oblivious to the threat that is the most certain, the closest, and the most destructive to modern civilization. FYI, I lump war in with peak oil because it will probably be energy induced scarcity that causes a nuclear exchange.
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Yes, I agree with you fully. Doesn’t the US posturing (like we are still the predominant superpower) toward Russia about Ukraine seen kinda stupid/suicidal? I imagine we would sanction them for an invasion and they would turn off all the oil/gas to Europe. Hypersonic weapons anyone?
Nukes in response?
Scary indeed.
AJ
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There were a lot more impressive space achievements this year than this 60+ year old brain was aware of until now. Viewed from an un-denial perspective, we’re celebrating our ever more creative ways of burning the remaining fossil energy even faster, without even dimly acknowledging the consequences.
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It’s commonly said the Arctic is warming up twice as fast as the rest of the planet. Try doubling that.
“We demonstrate the Arctic is likely warming over 4 times faster than the rest of the world, some 3-4 times the global average, with higher rates found both for more recent intervals as well as more accurate latitudinal boundaries.”
Peter Jacobs NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm21/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/898204
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A good example of the fragility of poor countries to energy depletion and price inflation.
Subsidies were removed from propane used for car fuel causing the price to rise from US$0.14 to $0.28 per liter in Kazakhstan resulting in violent riots with many dead.
Imagine what would happen if they had to pay US$0.69 per liter of propane that I pay here in Canada.
https://eurasianet.org/kazakhstan-explainer-why-did-fuel-prices-spike-bringing-protesters-out-onto-the-streets
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Nice tweet by Tim Garrett on the events in Kazakhstan
“Wondering if mass riots are accounted for in Integrated Assessment Models that prescribe carbon pricing”
Also news of a new podcast with him on Planet Critical today.
Also Art Berman has a fantastic article imo on overshoot, population renewables etc. Well worth a read
https://www.artberman.com/2022/01/05/the-climate-change-trip-to-abilene/
Too much information-hard to keep up. I think I need to make a list of essentials (starting with denial of course) to which I always go back to, in the face of the avalanche of information. It sometimes feels like we’re amusing ourselves to death not with trivialities, as feared by Neil Postman, but with information although, of course, that is probably trivial in the scheme of things as well.
Hopefully James has forgotten to pay as usual or even better is preparing a new article and needs a bit of peace and quiet.
The population of Kazakhstan tripled between 1950 and 2020 which is about par for the course.
The Methane chart you posted is pretty eye-catching in a bad way. If the permafrost is giving up its methane reserves because of the heat up North then that seems to be a bit of a problem .
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Excellent article by Art Berman. Thanks for sharing it.
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Thanks for the Art Berman link. Very good.
I think Berman underestimates the oil supply decline rate once the debt bubble pops, and the export land model bites, and social unrest disrupts infrastructure, and wars begin over what remains, but Berman is much more knowledgeable than me so I may be wrong.
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I listened to Garrett’s interview.
His use of the term “capitalism” muddies and confuses the issue. Capitalism includes among other things property rights, contract law, and an opportunity for personal reward. The issue that is central to Garrett’s thesis is the monetary system.
We should focus on whether it is possible to switch from a debt backed fractional reserve monetary system (which every country uses and requires infinite growth) to an energy backed full reserve system (which might be sustainable).
Every “ism” (communism, socialism, fascism, etc.) uses a debt backed fractional reserve monetary system and they’re all unsustainable. Capitalism is the best system for achieving growth when there are no limits to growth like affordable energy depletion and climate change.
The core issue now is how to shrink the economy without destroying civil society and worsening our destruction of the planet’s ecosystems.
https://www.planetcritical.com/p/the-thermodynamics-of-collapse
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It’s beautiful here today. High tide with strong north wind and clear skies. Lots of new driftwood.
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After the tide went out we had a beachcombing bonanza today. Most amount of driftwood anyone has seen here.
I got over a dozen 16′ 4×4’s. I bet they’re worth $100 each. A bundle may have broken loose from a barge.
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El gato malo today reminds us that the most important number to monitor is all cause mortality. I observe that our idiot leaders never discuss it.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/why-are-northern-european-except
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I liked el gato in this piece. He lays out all the data and then says Sweden’s ACM (all cause mortality) is down and they are vaxing about the same as their neighbors. AND like a true scientist he says he doesn’t know why and solicits ideas from readers. Seems like a true lack of hubris there!
AJ
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Yes, I continue to think el gato is doing important original analysis and has high integrity when he stays away from denial triggering overshoot issues.
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Some more hope from el gato.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/is-omicron-mild
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More good news and some really good insights into the flawed thinking of humans from el gato.
In summary, there’s a good chance the pandemic is over, and there’s a near certain probability that most citizens will not have learned a single useful thing from their covid experience.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/covid-policy-and-the-topology-of
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Woohoo. Webb is fully deployed.
https://webb.nasa.gov/content/webbLaunch/whereIsWebb.html
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Anyone feels that the house of cards (also known as economy) will be able to keep up another year? Or will reality set in? I’m a permabear for at least a decade, so a fool in other words, but I’m amazed that somehow there is not a global depression by now.
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All predictions on timing by myself and everyone I follow have been wrong.
There do seem to be a lot of cracks showing right now. I’m expecting a bad year.
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Rob I’d just like to thank you for putting me onto the great cholesterol con. I love cream. All these years of guilt and moderation are now over. I actually feel cheated in a way. I keep thinking how the hell did I get sucked in by all the low fat bullshit!
Along these lines I’ve been listening to prof Tim Noakes the last couple of days and found him very interesting. Here’s a link to one of his many YouTube lectures.
It’s amazing the lengths people in certain professions with opposing (wrong) views have gone to try to discredit him.
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Thanks for the tip on Noakes, I’ll check him out.
The more I listen to Dr. Malcolm Kendrick the more I respect him. He is a wise truth seeker.
I’ve lost what little respect I had for the health care profession. Their leaders are not very intelligent, nor open minded to new evidence, nor ethical.
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I watched the Noakes talk and can confirm it is very good.
Shame on the health care profession.
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My friend Jack Alpert reposted some videos on his channel, perhaps as a refresher course now that the backside of overshoot is a little more visible to those who deny it.
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The word is getting out that Dr. Fauci & Co. knew more than they were letting on:
Click to access Letter-Re.-Feb-1-Emails-011122.pdf
and EcoHealth Alliance was playing fast and loose and not following the rules:
If it wasn’t for conspiracy theories, I would have no idea what was really going on…
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Thanks I saw that. It’s mind boggling that the guy in charge of fixing the problem is also the guy that was unethically or illegally involved in creating the problem. Shame on our leaders for not acting to restore integrity.
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Part of the problem is that our leaders have convinced themselves that they are part of a meritocracy. They have become leaders because they are the smartest in the “room”. So they trust the “scientists” in the same “room” because they must be the smartest too. Sadly they just got to where they are by luck, perseverance and maybe enough intelligence to be dangerous – AND a heaping big dose of denial (on anything that challenges consensus thought). Sad state of affairs.
AJ
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Any non-catatonic citizen still in possession of their faculties ought to be smelling a veritable mass grave of rats by now. There are too many contradictions in the “N-arrative”. For an interesting take on the bizzaro world of what we are supposed to perceive as ‘leaders’ and ‘officials’ and ‘experts’ in this insane trajectory try reading Julius Ruechel’s interpretation. This is no longer about “Public Health” and I am increasingly questioning whether it ever was.
Who’s in Charge? The Rule Makers, Power Brokers, and Influencers of Lockdown Wonderland
https://www.juliusruechel.com/2021/04/whos-in-charge-rule-makers-power.html
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Thanks. We can be certain it’s not about public health given they never discuss losing weight, nor adequate vitamin D, nor simple, safe & inexpensive early treatment.
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And by definition the issuance of EUA for the ‘vaccines’ required that there not to be any alternative interventions – passive or active. I think we’re way beyond the threshold of mere incompetence or blundering stupidity here as some kind of logical explanation, although that still plays a part in it. We’re in a kind of “seal the exits” scenario.
I don’t know if you pay attention to any form of MSM. But if you don’t, you should, if only because that is what the mass of your fellow citizens are tuned in to. And when I take the pulse of public sentiment as promulgated and portrayed by the MSM, I can only conclude that I no longer recognize what I though was my country. People, leaders, institutions – have all gone batshit crazy.
Mattias Desmet’s explanations for all this are becoming more intelligible by the day.
some pertinent examples:
https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2022/01/09/time-to-raise-the-price-for-those-who-still-wont-get-vaxxed.html
https://montrealgazette.com/opinion/tasha-kheiriddin-the-unvaccinated-must-be-deterred-from-harming-others/wcm/ca262dfd-962e-4a8d-b2ed-a91905d73f2d
https://www.thesuburban.com/news/city_news/police-raid-hockey-game/article_8f065919-3358-5010-84dc-179cb529aeca.html#tncms-source=article-nav-next
https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/first-reading-ottawas-180-degree-turn-on-mandatory-vaccination
https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/quebec-government-orders-three-jewish-orthodox-schools-in-montreal-to-shut-down-1.5734616
and here is a short, patronizing (and dare I say chilling) clip from our provincial health minister
https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/video?clipId=2355009
and so on.
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Thanks. Every once in a while I dip into MSM like my local CHEK TV to see what they are thinking. It makes me sick to my stomach. They are unthinking morons who believe the latest cute cat story should be the headline. Zero discussion of data or evidence nor probing questions about anything.
I observe that my few close friends and family mostly agree with what MSM is telling them. I guess it’s a good thing I’m comfortable with my own company.
El gato wrote a interesting piece today making the case that citizens cannot blame our leaders and MSM. We are receiving the leadership and information we demanded. We need to look in the mirror for whom to blame.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/we-wont-get-normality-back-without
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I liked Ruechel’s piece. The problem he has identified in this “Alice in Wonderland” that we find ourselves in with Covid, is that the powers that be can’t afford to not stay in power because if they are out of power they may be held to account for their actions. Here in the U.S. I’m sure that there are plenty of republicans who would want to impeach Biden or prosecute Fauci for what they have done, re: Covid. So, one suspects that something that distracts from Covid shenanigans might be in order: War with Russia (or China or both), economic collapse/depression. Both those would make Covid a fast forgotten memory. IMHO.
AJ
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Here’s a strange thing: If you dig in to our literary inheritance as a culture, you’re likely to unearth gems like this which fortify the old adage “Life imitates art”.
This passage, more or less well known, is a prime example:
“Crimestop means the faculty of stopping short, as though by instinct, at the threshold of any dangerous thought. It includes the power of not grasping analogies, of failing to perceive logical errors, of misunderstanding the simplest arguments if they are inimical to Ingsoc, and of being bored or repelled by any train of thought which is capable of leading in a heretical direction. Crimestop, in short, means protective stupidity. ”
~ George Orwell (aka Eric Blair), 1984
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El gato today with a deep dive into how data is routinely manipulated by the pharmaceutical industry to fool our idiot leaders into believing an outcome that does not exist.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/bayesian-datacrime-defining-vaccine
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Nate Hagens just launched a new podcast “The Great Simplification”.
https://natehagens.substack.com/p/introducingthe-great-simplification
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/
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The Great Simplification podcast episode 2 with Dr. Shanna Swan has good and bad news.
The good news is that human sperm count is down about 50% and is still falling with no end in sight due to chemicals in our environment.
The bad news is that sperm counts are probably also down in all other species.
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/02-shannaswan
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A new catchy slogan.
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Superb graphical overview of natural gas supply to Europe.
https://ig.ft.com/europes-gas-crisis-pipelines-explainer/
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With gas supplies so dependent on Russia, I would think there would be more push back in Europe to any U.S. war posturing with Russia over Ukraine? But then Europe might fell like they are between a rock and a hard place?
AJ
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We live in world where if you apply reason and evidence to make a prediction you will be correct if you assume the opposite. People have lost their minds.
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It got to 50.5 degrees in Roeburne yesterday. Spare a thought for the inmates at the Roeburne correctional facility. They have no air conditioning in their cells.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.abc.net.au/article/100754082
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wow
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Yeah I’m not either although that is by luck really. If I’d lived in Western Australia or Victoria I’d have been forced to. If I’d worked in health care, aged care or been a teacher I’d have been forced to. It’s totally fucking nuts.
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Good news. Dr. Malcolm Kendrick has decided to end his self-imposed silence and is writing about covid again.
In case you don’t know Kendrick, he has shown that all of the advice given by our health profession on cholesterol and heart disease is wrong.
https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2022/01/14/dont-just-do-something-stand-there/
The best part of the essay was the following open letter from Professor Ehud Qimron, head of the Department of Microbiology and Immunology at Tel Aviv University and one of the leading Israeli immunologists:
The letter is very good but I observe he neglected to mention other important points. Such as not providing advice for strengthening immune systems, ignoring early treatment protocols, distorting safety data used to approve the vaccines, and not punishing those responsible for creating the virus.
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Satire is the best antidote for insanity.
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The satire was sooooo good. He does a good job of taking down all those bureaucrats (aka scientists?), politicians and the MSM that have used the Covid pandemic to attempt to control society for their own power/money. Too bad its kinda a distraction from collapse that appears to be accelerating.
Winter is cold in the UK, and Europe doesn’t have enough natural gas. Russia and China see a weakened U.S. with a failed leadership elite. What better time to have a war? The problem is that nothing humans do go according to plans. Things spiral out of control. The short term is looking more bleak and with it the long term looks positively like . . . -and here we want to interrupt with DENIAL (things will really get better (yeah, we could only hope)). Denial seems to be the way everyone around me responds. I think (IMHO) that war is coming and we are in mid 1939. Good luck everyone. One day soon we may have no internet and will truly be on our own.
AJ
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A resource war seems to be low on people’s list of things to worry about. I agree with you AJ, it seems inevitable.
Wait for the cries of, “no one could of seen this coming!” face palm
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In case you were wondering why your packages were not arriving.
https://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2022/01/14/union-pacific-train-robberies-up-356-la-county-da-george-gascons-no-cash-bail-policy/
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Thanks, first I heard of this trend. The rich and poor worlds are equalizing, but not in the direction most hoped. Our western rich governments are also behaving like banana republics. Imagine what it will be like when collapse shifts a gear with a stock market collapse and oil scarcity.
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Yeah I agree w/ your comment and I’m personally offended because I’m still waiting to take delivery of my pizza scissors, quirky egg minder, levitation floating globe and “as seen on TV hat.” It’s been months. Inconsiderate bastards.
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h/t el gato
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I find the threads started by by HHH at pob interesting.
https://peakoilbarrel.com/september-non-opec-oil-production-slips/#comment-733494
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Yeah, there has been an increasing awareness in the last ~1year or so of an expanded understanding of the role of central banks. Between 2009-2019 I was in the very common mainstream camp of “They are printing money.” I think the latest round of inflation concerns gave rise to a counterpoint of people understanding CB operations better. The Eurodollar/shadow banking system is at the heart of many of these questions.
HHH has great comments. I read every comment at POB but mostly lurk as the oil technicals are still beyond me. I do chime in occasionally on the “wind and solar will save us” side of things.
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I dislike the debates over whether printing money is actually happening. They’re muddled I think because everyone has a different definition of printing money. I think it’s much clearer to say they are loaning money that cannot be repaid from real economic growth, and can only be repaid with more loaned money.
It’s not money printing while everyone pretends that the debt will be repaid from growth, but the reality is that we’ve hit limits to growth and so we are buying 1 dollar of growth with several dollars of debt. When we reach the end of this can kicking the effect will be the same as if the money was printed. Do you have a different understanding?
I don’t understand the Eurodollar system. I assume it means European banks loan $US but I also assume that means they do so under the control of the Fed, just like the big US commercial banks. Is my understanding wrong?
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Rob – the Eurodollar system is loosely the “shadow banking system.” It means that banks outside of the USA make loans denominated in US dollars. These loans are not regulated by the US banking system and much of the data is not available. The issue that makes this important is that the dollar value of these shadow banking transactions is actually much more than that of the onshore banking system. So we are in some ways only ever seeing the tip of the iceberg in financial markets.
Regarding your first point I am prone to agree. Money is loaned into existence. In the past this expansionary effect could take place so long as there were profitable activities (the ability to repay principal with a stream of future income). At some point I assume the financial result of the limits to growth means that there are no longer any legitimately profitable activities because the inputs of energy or resources are too expensive to be affordable to consumers.
While things may fall apart sooner for other reasons I think the farthest we can stretch this is best captured by Lacy Hunt: We can continue down this path until debt and declining productivity lead us into deflation, or we can change the laws governing central banks and destroy the currency by backstopping consumption. The underlying reality remains the same – there will be less stuff. Whether or not there is simultaneously less money or way too much is hard to say.
I posted on Tim Morgan’s site about this recently: Who can say what would happen if the concept of degrowth/limits entered the broad consciousness? It seems to me the banking and financial systems would collapse overnight. In this environment I doubt intervention would be possible without the use of unprecedented force and coercion.
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Thanks, I agree with Lacy Hunt. I like to say the only thing we can be certain of is that we will be poorer. Whether poverty comes with less money or money that is worthless is a political decision that cannot be predicted.
I clearly do not understand shadow banking. I like to try to distill the essence of things. I thought the essence of a bank (including shadow banks) was that it is a business legally permitted to simultaneously add offsetting assets and liabilities to it’s balance sheet, provided it abides by rules regarding reserves and collateral.
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It’s a fascinating area as it has a lot of implications to the oil story. The following excerpt gives an idea. The whole article linked below is a good primer, particularly sections 2 and 3:
“Let us look at the institutional evolution of the US monetary area more in detail. Offshore USD creation started with the emergence of the Eurodollar marketFootnote1 in 1956 (Einzig, Reference Einzig1964) – a financial innovation that did not emerge out of systematic planning, but ‘more or less by accident’ (Kindleberger, Reference Kindleberger1970: 173). London bankers, with the vigorous support of the Bank of England and the British treasury (Burn, Reference Burn2006; Helleiner, Reference Helleiner1994), invented Eurodollars as a new form of USD-denominated credit instruments that were not subject to US regulation and oversight – in particular regulation Q, a rule introduced after the Great Depression which capped the interest rates payable on onshore dollar deposits.
In the early years, communist countries were interested in USD business without directly engaging with the US, and global oil trade was organized through the market: petrodollars are Eurodollars…”
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-institutional-economics/article/evolution-of-the-offshore-usdollar-system-past-present-and-four-possible-futures/B36ED9082CECE54F3F5B8E8F40D15148
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Thanks, it looks complex but I’ll read it. I find it remarkable that a currency can be created outside of a country’s control. That used to be grounds for war.
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Finally got around to reading “The Big Short”. Yes, these things are complex, partly on purpose. I suspect that Eurodollars and other financial creations are just more scams and greed driven criminal or near criminal behavior as happened with CDS’s and similar back in 2005-2008.
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Here is HHH’s take on QE and the Eurodollar system.
https://peakoilbarrel.com/opec-update-january-22-2022/#comment-733867
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I missed one key point: As I understand it the fact that the Eurodollar system is not regulated by the FED typically means that the loans are backed by collateral. In a perfect world this tends to be UST’s. However, the risk of the shadow bank system comes from the fact that they create a wild array of financial instruments to serve as collateral. This includes corporate and mortgage backed securities – and various degrees of leveraged instruments based on multiples/fractions of underlying treasuries.
So this system has a desperate need for UST’s in order to expand, and also a desperate risk of not being able to access dollars in times of contraction.
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An apology from an environmentalist
“Maybe I shouldn’t have tried to make a living by campaigning on climate change. Anyone who follows the logic through realises we are actually campaigning against industrial civilisation. For anybody in the industrialised world this is the source of all our wealth. It’s what pays all our wages. Have fun sawing down the tree branch you’re sitting on.”
https://www.darkgreenauckland.nz/posts/an-apology-from-an-environmentalist
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Bingo. That’s why I think the focus should be on overshoot. Once you accept that overshoot is the key issue then you can have an intelligent debate about lifestyle vs. population. Would you prefer 100 million affluent Canadians, or 2 billion poor peasants? But be aware, whatever lifestyle you choose you can’t have 8 billion people with depleted fossil energy.
I’ll vote again when a party has overshoot mitigation as their top policy priority. I fully expect to never vote again. Fucking morons.
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Very interesting analysis from el gato today. I love the way he thinks and criticizes his own hypotheses.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/vaccines-and-boosters-associated
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h/t el gato
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hilarious
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The latest episode of Nate Hagens’ podcast The Great Simplification is pretty good and focusses on the risk of nuclear war.
My summary using less politically correct words:
1) The short term risk of nuclear war is high and much higher than many other risks we worry about.
2) The core problem is that our leaders are idiots because they have to be idiots to get elected.
3) Citizens are idiots and therefore vote for idiots (see point 2).
4) The solution is probably some form of technocracy.
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/04-chuckwatson
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OMG was my first thought on listening to this podcast. I we survive the next few weeks with the idiots in Europe and especially the Biden administration we will be lucky. The Biden establishment doesn’t understand Russia and their concerns and basically (today) flipped off the ultimatum that Russia gave us a few weeks ago. That wouldn’t be fatal EXCEPT that U.S. official policy is NUTS (acronym for Nuclear Utilization Target Selection) and the U.S. thinks they can have a limited nuclear war (probably in Ukraine) with Russia.
I have been trying to improve my health (lost 10 lbs, walking 5 miles a day, no drinking alcohol) but this podcast made me ask why? The future really looks bad. I should have a drink.
AJ
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LOL. Good summary of the threat. I also liked his insight that the rest of the world fears but does not respect the unethical idiot US leaders.
I haven’t had a drink or a cigarette for over 10 years but I’ve got a nice stash waiting for me when it’s clear there’s no point staying healthy.
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NUTS is nuts.
“There was no end to the evil schemes that a thought machine that oversized* couldn’t imagine and execute.” K. Vonnegut
*3kg!
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“So, in the interests of survival, they trained themselves to be agreeing machines instead of thinking machines. All their minds had to do was to discover what other people were thinking, and then they thought that, too.”
― Kurt Vonnegut, “Breakfast of Champions” (1973)
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Yeah, Vonnegut takes a dim view of our big brains. LOL. Maybe shaving off a few IQ points with alcohol isn’t such a bad idea? I know my big brain had led me astray and made me do stupid stuff. Thanks big brain.
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China seems to be tightening covid policies and the west seems to be loosening covid policies.
Chinese leadership is usually much wiser than western leadership.
Do they know something we do not?
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China lowered its interest rate today. The west is raising rates.
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Is this just “Olympic preparations” or just optics for the same?
AJ
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El gato explains how to make yourself a hero.
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Here’s a fascinating case study of our tendency to deny unpleasant realties.
These guys are really smart dot connecting experts on the Eurodollar system. In today’s video they draw a connection between the mass formation (aka psychosis) the world is experiencing and the unprecedented (but unacknowledged) global economic depression the world has been experiencing since 2008.
The amazing thing about the video is that they fumble around looking for an explanation when it’s staring them in the face: energy driven limits to growth.
Doubly fascinating since they have viewed Chris Martenson’s work and still don’t see reality.
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Lithium is useful.
Covid vaccines are not useful in young healthy people.
Proving that our leaders are morons.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/rio-tinto-shares-take-hit-serbia-pulls-plug-24-bln-lithium-project-2022-01-21/
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“Lithium is useful”
For more than batteries Rob. Could be a tool in the toolbox for that mass psychosis you all talking about. Maybe the PTB can get creative and add it to the sulfate aerosols when they do their future geo-engineering sprays.
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Nate Hagens’ podcast with Chuck Watson listed above is a must hear for everyone concerned with collapse. I subsequently went down the rabbit hole yesterday and read some more over on Chuck Watson’s blog: Enki Research. Mostly he is a risk analyst about weather/climate change (which he stated in the podcast). However, he did a blog post that is a short but even more important must read where he fleshes out our immediate nuclear risk with Russia/Ukraine. The U.S. is a weak, “old” collapsing super power that thinks it is still 1990. Nothing worse than collapsing super powers. They do foolish things, re: the U.S. “new” nuclear weapons and our intention to use them. We (the U.S. populace) are fools led by fools. I read Watson’s blog and all the links and it is bad – in the most depressing way. Maybe it’s time to break out the booze?
I wonder, on a purely academic level, how it was at the moment of collapse in other civilizations when you could see the inevitable and you were one of the few who could (and wouldn’t deny it)?
AJ
https://blogenkiops.wordpress.com/2022/01/05/why-the-joint-statement-on-nuclearweapons-doesnt-matter/
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Thanks, I’ll read Watson’s post.
The US seems incapable of empathy. How did the US respond to Russian weapons in Cuba? How would the US respond if Russia and Mexico formed a military alliance and Russia began installing weapons in Mexico? How is the Ukraine any different?
We know from thousands of years of history that our species responds to economic stress and scarcity with war. What’s different this time are weapons that can destroy everything.
Jay Hanson in this rare interview predicts nuclear war around this time frame.
https://un-denial.com/2018/03/26/by-jay-hanson-reality-report-interview-november-3-2008/
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I have Jay Hanson on my blog list for one of the best explanations of the Maximum Power Principle. I will have to listen to the link you gave.
I hate to agree with you, and Chuck Watson had some info on how out of touch the U.S. leadership is with respect to what other countries think of us and how we are seen in the World in general (very badly as ultimate hypocrites and bullies – how true). That is what so infuriates me with the Russia baiting. We (the U.S.) promised Gorbachev (and Yeltsin) that we would not expand NATO into Eastern Europe and then we did. And our response to their protestations is that we (the U.S.) said: “it isn’t in writing so we don’t have to adhere to any verbal agreement” (besides we are the sole Super Power – so there!!). No wonder Russia wants responses in writing now. We (the U.S.) don’t realize that while we wasted money and lives in the Middle East, Russia and China have modernized their weapons where ours are only the most expensive junk money can buy. The U.S. is led by fools.
AJ
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Agreed. I think it’s remarkable that the richest and most powerful country on the planet has had two presidents in a row that can’t form a coherent sentence.
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Maybe this is also a sign of decline of the American super power that politicians are getting dumber and dumber. President Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Camacho seems not that far away in the future as predicted in “Idiocracy”.
I still would not expect that the USA will start a nuclear war against an opponent who is capable of retaliation, as long as the problem of MAD is not solved.
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I also had a listen to Hagen’s interview of Watson. Watson talked about the Joint Chiefs of Staff not being in the chain of command for quite some time. It’s my understanding that during the latter days of the Trump Administration, at some point they informally reinstated themselves into the chain of command by getting the various commanders to agree to not take any action without checking with them first even if Trump ordered it. It was informal but effective.
Re: Enki Research. Unusual name Enki, not something you encounter everyday.
Enki was the Sumerian god of wisdom, fresh water, intelligence, trickery and mischief, crafts, magic, exorcism, healing, creation, virility, fertility. Exorcism no less!
Chuck felt compelled to change the name from Watson Technical Consulting (WTC) after 2003 for obvious reasons. And Methaz (meteorological hazards) was also a no go, again for obvious reasons. Which brings me to The Beaver. Another name change dear to my heart.
The plan to change the title of The Beaver after 90 years to avoid online porn blockers made Canada’s top history magazine an international media sensation — first as joke fodder for Jay Leno and as the subject of an editorial printed in another venerable publication: the British-based newsweekly The Economist.
“The Beaver website was attracting (albeit briefly) readers who had little interest in Samuel de Champlain’s astrolabe or what Prairie settlers ate for breakfast,” the editorial dryly observed, before concluding that the “dull” new name — “Canada’s History” — was necessary to help storytelling about this country’s past escape “Internet obscenity filters” and crude references to “female pubic hair.”
The Economist, not above a naughty pun itself, ran a picture of the tree-chomping rodent alongside its editorial, with the caption: “No, it’s not a pussy.”
Late-night TV host Leno also cracked wise earlier this week about The Beaver, suggesting the magazine has been a hot seller among young Canadian men who were, however, very “disappointed when they got it home.”
It’s a publicity blitz that any company rebranding itself would crave, but the attention generated by the Winnipeg magazine’s makeover has also prompted criticism from some subscribers about the banality of the new name, and made the country’s bucktoothed national symbol a global laughingstock — or, perhaps, even more of a global laughing stock.
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LOL! We also have some wild cougars here, but whenever one gets close to a family home we shoot it. Sad but true.
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Yeah well there are a lot of f…ing idiots out there. Total morons. I’m talking mass psychosis.
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Oh great – more habitat destruction…
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesia-passes-law-relocate-capital-remote-borneo-2022-01-18/
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Do you really think it will get built? I don’t think and hope so.
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Preptip: On the energy conservation benefits of hot water bottles.
https://www.lowtechmagazine.com/2022/01/the-revenge-of-the-hot-water-bottle.html
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And if that doesn’t work you can always make it a three dog night.
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Funny you mentioned that. One of the British natural gas companies had to apologize to their patrons who were complaining about the high cost of natural gas when they suggested that they should sleep with their dogs to conserve heat.
AJ
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We had something similar in Germany but the politicians weren´t that creative. They just said that if you can´t pay the heating bill, just heat less. Awesome advice…
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very german haha
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Please join this march if you are able to do so without burning large quantities of fossil energy to get there.
https://rwmalonemd.substack.com/p/press-release-on-the-eve-of-washington
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A great song from one of my favorite singers.
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Curious minds want to know. How much pain will the fed endure to protect the integrity of its only product?
http://creditbubblebulletin.blogspot.com/2022/01/weekly-commentary-market-structure-in.html
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Here’s another really smart virus guy in the same class as el gato and eugyppius, and with similar wit.
Damn the immune system is complicated, and it’s clear our idiot leaders don’t understand it.
https://hiddenmarkov.substack.com/p/the-beginning-of-the-end-of-the-blogstack
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Interesting article. I especially liked the part which talked about the business model of Substack, as I also have my problems with the payment model. I would really like to donate money to quite a few authors on this platform, but it gets expensive quickly. I currently have around 25 subscriptions at Substack. I am not sure if everyone has payments activated. Even if only 50% have payments activated, I would pay more than 50$ a month (based on 5$ per subscription.) I would never pay that much money for magazines, so why should I pay that much for Substack?
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Must watch discussion between two very good men who got covid right from the beginning and are deeply worried that the bad guys are going to get away with it and citizens won’t learn a thing from this tragic event in our history.
Brought some tears to my eyes.
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Interesting comment by HHH at POB:
https://peakoilbarrel.com/opec-update-january-22-2022/#comment-733841
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https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=244930
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Yeah, and market-ticker goes on to say that the U.S. really hasn’t had any casualties like we had in WWII. What happens if the U.S. loses an aircraft carrier (and they are the epitome of a soft target for a hyper-sonic weapon)? Looking longingly back at the start of WWI most historians think it was foolishness on all sides. If there are any historians left in the future, will they not think the same about the U.S. now?? senile president surrounded by people who personify the “Peter Principle” (idiots who are incompetent).
Just tell me when you start drinking your stash, Rob!!
AJ
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Not drinking yet. 🙂
On a more positive note, I was really moved in a good way yesterday watching the DC protest. I’m frequently critical of US (and Canadian) citizens but there are clearly still some good & wise people out there and they spoke up yesterday.
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I’m thinking we might need a level lower than 1.
Meanwhile, not a single word from the mainstream news sources I monitor on the stop the mandates protest in Washington DC yesterday. I was very impressed by the speeches and think they were fact-filled, heart-felt, and mostly non-partisan. Congrats to the organizers.
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Most of the reporting I’ve come across was dumping on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for his speech re: Anne Frank, Nazis, etc.
https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/newsus/rfk-jr-remarks-on-anne-frank-vaccines-draw-condemnation/ar-AAT62IQ
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I saw that despicable reporting. They focus on 5 seconds and ignore 10 minutes of content.
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I just started Robert F. Kennedy Jr’s book on Fauci.
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I also did not read anything about the mandates protest in the German media. At least the protests within Germany were reported, but I am not sure whether the amount of protestors was counted correctly. My experience is that protests againt the government are undercounted while government approved protests (like Fridays for Future) are overcounted.
My proprosal for a DEFCON level below 1 would be 2G++, as we already have it here in Germany. It means that you need to be vaccinated or recovered, have a current negative Covid test and wear an FFP2 mask, it cannot get more extreme. At least, that is what I am hoping.
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How is the mood in Germany given that Russia may soon invade the Ukraine because the US did not live up to a commitment it made to keep NATO out?
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It is basically the same as when the Russians invaded Crimea. There is a big outcry in the media about the bad Russians, backed with the threat of governmental sanctions. The Green Party sees this possible invasion as a further point of attack against the Nordstream 2 pipeline. Even the chancellor said something along the line, that they will think about not putting this pipeline into operation, if Russia attacks the Ukraine.
I would think that for most of the German citizens it is too far away to really be a concern. Even my mother, who is always watching the news, did not bring up this topic at all, when we met the last time.
On a personal level, I am pretty disappointed by the NATO/US not keeping their promises, but based on my historical understanding, this is not an outlier. If there is no advantage in keeping the promise, it will be “forgotten” quickly.
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Thanks for the update. Let’s hope they keep nukes out of the conflict.
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Man that pharmaceutical advertising money is powerful. News outlets around the world are downplaying the protests. Ditto here in Canada.
https://maajidnawaz.substack.com/p/the-revolution-will-not-be-televised-c9b
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My mother once told me a story about an Iranian friend, who lived in Teheran during the Islamic revolution of 1979. The friend told my mother, that even in the center of the revolution, you did not hear anything about it, if you weren´t directly involved. So I would expect, that reporting on a revolution within the western world would be suppressed by the mainstream media as long as possible.
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Awesome Tweet. I also like the avatar of the poster with the masked Franklin.
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https://www.juliusruechel.com/2022/01/the-false-god-of-central-planning.html?m=1
Long but well worth the read
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Thanks more evidence that our leaders did everything wrong and nothing right. If our leaders were simply morons we would expect a random mix of good decisions and bad decisions, not 100% bad. Something other than pubic health must be the priority.
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A message today from Nate Hagens to his subscribers. We discussed this podcast above.
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